Deaths and international health care expenditure

This short paper examines the effect of spatial size on the apparent magnitude of infectious-like outbreaks of a new kind of disease agent.

The maximum increase in deaths is reported for sub-national geographies in Australia, England & Wales, New Zealand, Northern Ireland, Scotland, all countries in the EU and counties in Arizona, i.e. across the whole Western world.

In the smallest spatial units (which approximate to a single social network) maximum possible increase in deaths is around +300%. Obviously a 300% increase only occurs on isolated occasions, however, given the ability of biological agents to mutate the possibility exists for plague-like outbreaks given the right set of environmental conditions and the right combination of mutations.

Far be it for me to suggest that Public Health departments around the world need to get a move on .........

https://www.hcaf.biz/2015/Deaths_international.pdf