De-Dollarization & Selling US Treasury Bonds is a Declaration of War.
Abraham Kulajian
Partner Investments Advisor | President (ACA - RJ) | Diaspora Ambassador
De-Dollarization and the Strategic Shift in Global Finance
The act of de-dollarization and the systematic selling of U.S. Treasury bonds is, in essence, a declaration of war. This is not mere speculation; it is a calculated move by global powers seeking to challenge the United States’ financial dominance. The combined forces of Russia, China, and their allies, when strategically aligned, present a formidable counterweight to the U.S. military. Russia alone possesses nearly double the nuclear capability of the United States, not even factoring in China's growing arsenal, a critical aspect of this financial maneuvering is China’s consistent reduction of its U.S. Treasury holdings. Every month, China has been divesting its investments in U.S. government debt, methodically withdrawing its capital from American markets. The strategic intent behind this move is clear: Beijing seeks to safeguard its assets ahead of any potential geopolitical conflict, particularly regarding Taiwan. China has observed Russia’s predicament, having over $300 billion in foreign assets frozen following the Ukraine invasion, and is taking proactive steps to ensure it does not face a similar economic stranglehold.
However, this withdrawal is being conducted in a measured manner. Dumping U.S. bonds en masse would trigger a liquidity crisis, causing a sharp decline in bond prices due to an oversupply and a lack of demand. Such a scenario would result in significant financial losses for China. Instead, Beijing is executing a gradual and calculated strategy, offloading its holdings incrementally to mitigate potential economic fallout.
The Global Shift Towards De-Dollarization
The U.S. dollar has long been the world’s dominant reserve currency, historically comprising over 80% of global foreign exchange reserves and international transactions. Today, that figure has declined to approximately 67%, a notable shift signaling a global realignment. Nations such as China, India, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and others within the BRICS+ economic alliance are actively seeking alternatives to the dollar-dominated system.
Former U.S. President Donald Trump aptly stated that an attack on the dollar is an attack on the United States. The strength of the U.S. is not derived from its natural resources or industrial capacity, those advantages belong to nations like China (manufacturing), Russia (energy resources), and Brazil (agriculture). Instead, America’s unparalleled power stems from its control over the global financial system, largely due to the dollar’s status as the primary medium of international trade and investment. If the world ceases to use the dollar for transactions and reserves, the consequences for the U.S. economy would be catastrophic, leading to financial collapse, declining living standards, political instability, and potentially even revolution.
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The Implications of a Weakened Dollar
A weakened dollar directly undermines U.S. geopolitical influence. As more nations opt for alternative financial mechanisms, such as the BRICS-led initiatives for cross-border settlements in national currencies, the dollar’s supremacy is at risk. Countries like Saudi Arabia, long considered a cornerstone of the petrodollar system, have begun engaging in trade agreements using alternative currencies, further eroding U.S. financial hegemony, Should this trend continue, the U.S. faces dire economic consequences. A diminished global reliance on the dollar would drastically reduce demand for U.S. debt, driving up borrowing costs and triggering inflationary pressures. Domestically, this would lead to an erosion of purchasing power, making imported goods more expensive and contributing to economic hardship for American citizens, who are unaccustomed to the living standards of many developing nations. Such a scenario could breed social unrest and force Washington to take drastic measures to preserve economic stability.
The U.S. Response: Defending the Dollar
Ensuring the dollar remains the world’s reserve currency is not merely an economic priority; it is a matter of national security. Any attempt to undermine it will be met with resistance from the U.S. government, particularly under leadership that understands the ramifications of de-dollarization. The legislative and executive branches will likely work in unison to counteract this shift, employing economic, diplomatic, and potentially military strategies to maintain financial dominance.
In conclusion, China's methodical divestment from U.S. bonds is not an isolated financial decision; it is a precursor to a larger geopolitical strategy. De-dollarization is a calculated mechanism designed to weaken U.S. economic power, making it vulnerable in an increasingly multipolar world. As history has shown, financial warfare often precedes military confrontation. The battle for global financial supremacy is well underway, and the outcome will shape the geopolitical landscape for decades to come.
Disclaimer: Everything I write in my articles is my own work and reflects my ideas. I use AI solely for reorganizing and refining the text to align with a professional article format.
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2 周USA is cutting 2 trillion dollars it self is in de dollarazation process, we are heading towards multiple poler world from unipolar world