Daily Pulse: US Nudges Into 'Full Employment', What Disasters Could Cost, Millennial Self-Loathing
Isabelle Roughol
Building news organisations where people love to work|Journalist & media executive|Public historian
[Updated at 9:44 am ET with the report] US job growth slowed, but the headline unemployment number dropped to 5.1% — within the range economists consider "full employment." And there was finally some indication that the desired effect of labor outstripping demand is starting to take effect: average hourly earnings increased 8 cents, the biggest rise since January, and the workweek rose to 34.6 hours.
According to the August jobs report the private sector added 173,000 jobs last month, the lowest uptick in five months and well below July's revised 245k. "The report, however, may have been tarnished by a statistical fluke that in recent years has frequently led to sharp upward revisions to payroll figures for August after initial weak readings," writes Lucia Mukitani for Reuters. Indeed: "Payrolls data for June and July were revised to show 44,000 more jobs created than previously reported."
A broader measure of joblessness that includes part-timers and people who want to work but have given up searching also fell, to 10.3% from 10.4%. [ — John C Abell, for Isabelle, hopefully fast asleep on the other side of the world.]
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World powers are meeting to talk about the misbehaving kid in the group. G20 finance ministers and central bankers are meeting in Turkey. As Reuters puts it, “China's market turmoil is likely to be the biggest problem they do nothing about.” The IMF warned Wednesday that Chinese stocks’ wild mood swings and the volatility it brings to global markets is endangering worldwide growth, weighing down on emerging market currencies and commodity prices. Japan’s finance minister called for a “frank debate” on China’s economic policy, but that’s rarely what happens at G20 meetings.
Brazil’s own finance minister, the influential Joaquim Levy, canceled his travel plans to Turkey for a minute, which spurred rumors he was about to resign and rocked the country’s fragile markets. With an 8.8% fiscal deficit and a currency that’s dropped nearly a third of its value in the past year, Brazil might well be the center of attention at the next G20 meeting…
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Americans should feel free to drive home this Labor Day weekend. Gas is at its cheapest for the holiday in 11 years. The national average, according to the AAA, is $2.44 a gallon, down a full buck from a year ago. More than 30 million people are expected on the road.
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Anxious personalities, avert your eyes. Lloyd’s and the University of Cambridge Judge Business School collaborated on estimating the financial risks born by 301 cities around the world from 18 natural and man-made threats. (Disclaimer: this research is meant to help sell insurance.) In total, $4.56 trillion are at risk, more than 70% of that in emerging economies. The top threat is, unsurprisingly, a market crash, which accounts for nearly a quarter of potential losses. Half of the risk is from things human do to themselves or can control: market crashes, nuclear accidents, power outages and cyber attacks. These particularly affect developed economies, while emerging countries are more sensitive to natural disasters. An earthquake could for instance cost Lima, Peru $70 billion; a market crash $15 billion in New York and a drought nearly $4 billion to LA. Explore data for your city here.
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#Stat
422
Trees per human on Earth, for a total of 3.04 trillion trees. The number of trees on our planet has halved since the advent of human civilization, a Yale study estimates.
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Every horrible thing you think about Millennials… they think them too. In a survey by the Pew Research Center, 59% of 18-34 year olds interviewed qualified their generation as “self-absorbed;” 49% opted for “wasteful” and 43% for “greedy.” The best they could come up with to describe themselves and their peers is “environmentally conscious” (40%) and “idealistic” (39%). Maybe for those reasons, they also hesitated to identify as Millennials: 60% rejected the irksome label and a third, presumably older Gen Y’ers like myself, preferred to align with Gen X.
Boomers and “Silent Generation” Americans surveyed generally thought much better of themselves than Gen X and Millennials. Since the idea that one generation is better than the next is as old as humanity, and systematically disproved by the generation after that, one must conclude that media narratives have been well assimilated even by those they seek to stereotype. Millennials, meet me at camera 3: You’re not so special. You’re not so bad either.
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Missed the last update? Then check out John C. Abell's 'Friday's Big $tar War$ Premiere, Tom Brady Can Go to Work, Where's My 2015 Raise?'
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Photo: Farmers steering tractors take part in a national demonstration in Paris, on September 3, 2015, to protest against the falling prices that they say are endangering their livelihoods. The protest comes after months of unrest as farmers in the dairy and meat industries become increasingly desperate in the face of plummeting food prices which they blame on foreign competition, as well as supermarkets and distributors. AFP PHOTO / THOMAS SAMSON
Owner, Healthcare Process Consulting
9 年Full employment? You are dreaming. If they calculated the unemployment rate like they did 15 years ago, it would be well over 10%.
Escondido Downtown Business Association
9 年If that 8 cent income rise is Year over Year, a one dollar increase in the min wage in California (7/2014) and other large cities probably explains it better. That non participation population rises to 94 million is similarly illustrative
Why would you even use a headline that leads someone to believe we're close to full-employment when over 90M (yes, some are retired or in college) are sitting on the sidelines?
Retired from building things that make people's lives better.
9 年Please check the US Government's other unemployment figures. Specifically the U-6 unemployment rate. The rate is 10.6% for August 2015. It was 17.1% in late 2009. The definition includes underemployed, part time workers that should be full time, those out of work for so long they have fallen off the records, etc. Even these more accurate numbers are adjusted down to paint a brighter picture. Still improved but not nearly as rosey as the main stream press would have us believe.
Owner/Independent at T. M. Bolton & Associates, LLC
9 年Where is the number of people who have been completely omitted from this picture? I find this information to be lacking