Daily global market review
Today, the major indices all experienced significant declines of more than 1.0%, erasing yesterday's modest rebound. This negative trend was primarily attributed to ongoing concerns about rising interest rates. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note increased by two basis points to 4.56%, despite the release of weaker-than-expected data on new home sales and consumer confidence earlier in the day, which had initially pushed yields down to 4.48%. The 2-year note yield also rose by two basis points to 5.12%.
The worries about higher interest rates were exacerbated by remarks from JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, who expressed uncertainty about whether the world is prepared for rates as high as 7%. Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari, a voter on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), added to the concerns by suggesting that another rate hike might be necessary before the end of the year if the economy performs better than expected.
Market observers also cited seasonality as a potential factor contributing to the negative price action. Historically, September has been the worst month of the year for the S&P 500, and this month has seen losses of 5.2%, 6.9%, and 7.2% for the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Russell 2000, respectively.
In terms of sectors, mega-cap stocks and semiconductor companies led the broad-based losses, while the rate-sensitive utilities sector experienced the most significant decline of 3.1%. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF fell by 1.7%, and the PHLX Semiconductor Index declined by 1.8%. The S&P 500, weighted by market capitalization, closed down 1.5% and ended the day below 4,300 for the first time since early June.
Decliners outnumbered advancers significantly, with a nearly 6-to-1 lead at the NYSE and a greater than 2-to-1 lead at the Nasdaq. Trading volume increased compared to the previous day but remained below average at both exchanges.
All 11 sectors of the S&P 500 ended the day in negative territory, with the energy sector showing the smallest decline of 0.5%, thanks to higher oil prices. The consumer discretionary sector (-2.0%) and the information technology (-1.8%) and real estate (-1.8%) sectors were notable laggards.
In other news, Amazon saw a notable decline of 4.0% after the FTC and 17 state attorneys general filed a lawsuit against the company for allegedly maintaining an illegal monopoly.
In summary, the market faced a challenging day with significant declines driven by concerns about rising interest rates, seasonal factors, and weakness in mega-cap and tech stocks. The S&P 500 slipped below the 4,300 mark, and the specter of higher rates for a longer period weighed on investor sentiment.
In the global financial markets on the given day, several key indices and assets displayed varying degrees of performance. In the United States, the Dow recorded a price of 33,618.88, marking a decrease of -388.00 points, equivalent to a 1.14% drop. Similarly, the S&P 500 closed at 4,273.53, reflecting a decline of -63.91 points, translating to a 1.47% decrease. The NASDAQ index also experienced a decrease, ending at 13,063.61 with a -207.71 point change, representing a 1.57% loss. In contrast, the VIX index, measuring market volatility, increased by 2.45 points, or 14.50%, closing at 19.35. The Russell 2000 index in the U.S. showed a decrease of -22.63 points, marking a 1.27% decline. In Canada, the S&P/TSX Composite index exhibited a decrease of -233.81 points, or 1.18%, closing at 19,566.80, while the S&P/TSX 60 index dropped by -12.88 points, or 1.08%, ending at 1,174.44. In Brazil, the BOVESPA index experienced a decrease of -1,670.11 points, equivalent to a 1.44% loss, closing at 114,254.50. The S&P IPSA index in Chile recorded a decrease of -23.26 points, marking a 0.40% drop, with a closing value of 5,762.58. In Mexico, the S&P/BMV IPC index declined by -247.19 points, or 0.48%, closing at 51,120.27.
Moving to European markets, the STOXX Europe 50 index closed at 3,902.46, reflecting a decrease of -24.07 points, or 0.61%. Similarly, the STOXX Europe 600 index exhibited a 0.61% decrease, with a change of -2.74 points, closing at 447.70. The FTSE 100 index in the United Kingdom showed a minimal change, with a gain of +1.73 points, or 0.02%, ending at 7,625.72. Meanwhile, the FTSE MIB index in Italy recorded a decline of -283.31 points, marking a 1.00% decrease, closing at 28,098.88. In France, the CAC 40 index decreased by -49.86 points, equivalent to a 0.70% drop, closing at 7,074.02.
Across Asian markets, Japan's Nikkei 225 index closed at 32,315.05, with a decrease of -363.57 points, reflecting a 1.11% loss. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index exhibited a decrease of -262.39 points, or 1.48%, closing at 17,466.90. The Shanghai Composite index in China showed a smaller decline, with a change of -13.33 points, marking a 0.43% decrease, closing at 3,102.27. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index remained relatively stable with no net change. South Korea's KOSPI index recorded a decrease of -32.79 points, equivalent to a 1.31% drop, closing at 2,462.97. The Taiwan SE index exhibited a decrease of -176.16 points, reflecting a 1.07% loss, ending at 16,276.07.
In the Indian stock market, various indices displayed mixed performance on September 26th. The BSE MidCap index recorded a slight decrease of 0.09%, closing at 32,066.50. The BSE Sensex also experienced a minor decline of 0.12%, ending at 65,945.47. In contrast, the BSE SmallCap index showed a gain of 0.33%, reaching 37,225.00. The India VIX, a measure of market volatility, increased by 2.61% to 11.1850. Among the highest gainers, the NIFTY Smallcap 100 index saw a notable increase of 0.57%, rising to 12,552.15. The Nifty Smallcap 50 index also performed well, gaining 0.72% and reaching 5,799.35. Additionally, the Nifty 50 Value 20 index showed a slight gain of 0.02%, closing at 10,443.25. The Nifty Smallcap 250 index recorded a gain of 0.43%, closing at 12,100.75. Lastly, the S&P BSE ALLCAP index increased by 0.02% to 7,946.70. On the other hand, some of the indices that experienced declines include the NIFTY Midcap 100, which decreased by 0.17% to 40,338.85, and the Nifty Midcap 50, which saw a decline of 0.40%, closing at 11,554.70. The Nifty 200 index also recorded a minor decrease of 0.03%, ending at 10,515.65. The Nifty 50 and Nifty 50 USD indices both declined by 0.05% and 0.17%, respectively, closing at 19,664.70 and 8,185.62. Furthermore, the S&P BSE-100 and S&P BSE-200 indices exhibited small decreases of 0.03% and 0.04%, respectively.
In the realm of cryptocurrencies, the Nasdaq Crypto Index closed at 1,502.35, with a minor increase of +0.42 points, or 0.03%. Bitcoin recorded a price of 26,269.00, showing a slight decrease of -27.00 points, equivalent to a 0.10% drop. Ether, another prominent cryptocurrency, exhibited a gain of +2.20 points, marking a 0.14% increase, with a closing price of 1,590.40. Litecoin showed a decrease of -0.36 points, representing a 0.56% loss, closing at 63.91. Lastly, XRP remained stable with no net change, closing at 0.51.
In the currency markets, the Euro to US Dollar exchange rate was 1.0574, showing a minimal decrease of -0.00 points, or 0.18%. The British Pound to US Dollar exchange rate recorded a slight decline of -0.01 points, marking a 0.44% decrease, with a rate of 1.2158. The US Dollar to Canadian Dollar exchange rate was 1.3519, reflecting a minor increase of +0.01 points, equivalent to a 0.48% gain. Similarly, the US Dollar to Swiss Franc exchange rate remained relatively stable, with no net change, closing at 0.9154. The US Dollar to Japanese Yen exchange rate increased by +0.17 points, or 0.12%, with a rate of 149.0275.
Finally, in the bond market, yields for various Treasury bonds experienced fluctuations. The 3 Month Treasury bond yield stood at 5.327%, with no net change. The 2 Year Treasury bond yield recorded a yield of 5.136%, showing a yield change of +0.017 points. The 5 Year Treasury bond yielded 4.625%, with a yield change of +0.009 points. The 10 Year Treasury bond had a yield of 4.553%, reflecting a yield change of +0.016 points. Lastly, the 30 Year Treasury bond yielded 4.689%, with a yield change of +0.022 points.
On Wednesday, September 27, 2023, there will be several key economic events. At 7:00 AM ET, the MBA Mortgage Applications data will be released, covering the Composite Index, Purchase Index, and Refinance Index with a low expected impact. At 8:30 AM ET, the Durable Goods Orders report will provide information on Excluding Transportation, Core Capital Goods, and New Orders, with a high expected impact. The State Street Investor Confidence Index will follow at 10:00 AM ET, but no forecast is available for this low-impact event. At 10:30 AM ET, the EIA Petroleum Status Report will include data on Distillate Inventories, Gasoline Inventories, and Crude Oil Inventories, carrying a high expected impact. Lastly, at 11:00 AM ET, the Survey of Business Uncertainty will disclose figures on Employment Growth and Sales Growth, with a low expected impact.