Cyber Security - Trends, Tips and Predictions
Brett Gallant
Founder, Technology Leader & Cyber Security Expert| Best Selling-Author | Join me on my next Cyber Security Webinar - Secure your spot today!
Welcome to the forefront of cybersecurity, where the ever-shifting landscape demands our constant attention and proactive measures. In this article, we’ll dive into the realm of cybersecurity, exploring the latest trends that shape the defense mechanisms of the digital world, offering practical tips to fortify your digital fortress, and making informed predictions about the future of cyber threats.?
In cybersecurity, knowledge is power, and proactive strategies are the keys to safeguarding our interconnected world.
From the transformative influence of generative AI to the relentless evolution of ransomware, social engineering, and the imperative shift towards a zero-trust architecture, this narrative aims to equip you with insights, predictions, and practical strategies to fortify your digital fortress. As we navigate the complexities of the cybersecurity landscape, one thing remains clear – the future demands vigilance, adaptability, and a strategic approach to safeguarding our interconnected world.
2023 Rewind — Cyber Trends and Threats
In excerpts from an article by Zscaler , they wrote, “This past year set a profound stage, from the advent of stringent cyber regulations to the convergence of generative AI, social engineering, and ransomware.
Let's delve into the rewind of 2023, exploring five influential trends and threats that molded the cyberthreat landscape and are poised to resonate throughout enterprises in 2024.
The generative AI (r)evolution
2023 will be remembered as the year artificial intelligence (AI) rose to the forefront of our collective consciousness, ushering in never before seen opportunities and risks. The release of generative AI-powered applications like ChatGPT highlights the potential for AI and machine learning (ML) to reshape how organizations operate. In September, the Zscaler ThreatLabz team conducted an analysis of AI/ML and ChatGPT trends amongst enterprises stretching back across 2023 and, unsurprisingly, discovered upward trajectories in AI/ML traffic and usage.
This adoption brings us to the flip side of the generative AI coin: attackers are leveraging AI tools to elevate and automate phishing campaigns, craft extremely evasive malware, and reduce the development time of threats across the board. Security leaders and enterprises find themselves at a new crossroads, tasked with delicately navigating the interplay of securely leveraging AI’s evolutionary advancements while confronting the unforeseen revolutionary challenges of safeguarding against AI-powered threats.
Rampant ransomware — again
The pervasive impact of ransomware resonated widely in 2023. ThreatLabz research revealed a 37% surge in ransomware attacks, accompanied by an average enterprise ransom demand of $5.3 million and an average payment exceeding $100,000. 2023 also saw the rise of Ransomware-as-a-Service (RaaS), a business model in which ransomware authors or gangs sell or lease their services on the dark web. The ransomware family BlackCat group, or ALPHV, emerged as a significant contributor to this unsettling trend, linking back to multiple high-profile attacks against casinos.
Ransomware gangs also got stealthier in 2023, with ThreatLabz observing an increase in encryption-less extortion attacks. The absence of encryption allows attackers to eliminate development cycles and decryption support and quietly exfiltrate data before making ransom demands.
Clop ransomware’s zero day attack on the file transfer tool MOVEit was the largest data theft of 2023, impacting 83 million individuals and nearly 3,000 organizations. This hack served as a stark reminder that the supply chain remains a critical vulnerability in enterprise security.
More sophisticated social engineering?
Social engineering attacks were adept at exploiting human vulnerability before—now, with AI part of the equation, these attacks are more of a threat than ever. While AI enhanced the sophistication and effectiveness of common social engineering tactics like phishing and smishing scams, there was a notable shift towards vishing (voice phishing) attacks in 2023. The use of voice communications to deceive victims was particularly effective for the BlackCat affiliate ScatteredSpider—and damaging for the gaming industry. Last year, we witnessed the fast-evolving nature of social engineering attacks, and this evolution poses greater challenges for detection and defense.
The fall of VPNs and firewalls?
The cyberthreats and trends of 2023 send a clear message to organizations: they must evolve their security strategies to the times and embrace a zero trust architecture. Legacy, perimeter-based architectures like traditional virtual private networks (VPNs) and firewalls are not only expanding the attack surface, but also exacerbating challenges for organizations that are up against increasingly sophisticated threats and cloud-first demands.
In fact, 2023 saw an increase in VPN vulnerabilities and, accordingly, nearly 1 in 2 organizations reported that they experienced VPN-related attacks.
With 92% of those organizations considering, planning, or in the midst of a zero trust implementation, it’s an encouraging sign that zero trust grew as a priority in 2023.?
Enterprise tools under attack
2023 saw threat actors, groups, and families pivot to targeting providers of core enterprise tools. These incidents highlight the increasing vulnerability of the broader digital supply chain and the interconnected nature of enterprise tools that are crucial to daily business operations. Whether driven by financial motives, the theft of valuable credentials, or even geopolitical interests in the case of nation-state attacks, the focus on these tools emphasizes the need for organizations to extend their cybersecurity protocol beyond their organizational walls. The solution? A more mature third party risk management program.
2024 Predictions — AI, RaaS, MiTM (and more)
Many of the past year's most impactful trends and threats will persist, evolve, and shape the enterprise security landscape in the year ahead. Let’s explore five predictions that should be top of mind for security leaders and organizations.
Prediction 1: Generative AI-Driven Attacks
Generative AI-driven reconnaissance, exploitation, and phishing attacks will grow in volume. There is good reason for AI to be at the top of security experts’ predictions list again this year. GenAI and large language mode (LLM) tools will be the great enablers of 2024, continuing to lower the barrier to entry for threat actors. AI empowers threat actors to automate diverse tasks at scale, from identifying exposed assets like firewalls, VPNs, and VDIs to effortlessly compiling lists of known vulnerabilities or crafting sophisticated phishing emails.?
This level of scalability afforded by AI automation will undoubtedly continue to enhance the efficiency and reach of malicious activities this year. Reports of malicious versions of ChatGPT, like WormGPT, circulating on the dark web in 2023 signify two concerning trends: the potential for the development of new malicious LLMs without any built-in ethical restraints, and the emergence of their use in threat campaigns. From suggesting attack ideas to automating development and execution processes, these AI tools have the potential to catapult cyberthreat evolution years into the future in mere months.?
What’s more, 2024 is an election year in the United States, and it is a strategic imperative as such to ensure the resilience of critical infrastructure against AI-powered misinformation and other elusive attacks.
Organizations of every type will have to be more vigilant and take proactive security measures, from refreshed employee security training tailored to social engineering and AI-specific threats to holding vendors accountable for delivering AI-powered cybersecurity. We must fight fire with fire and use generative AI, machine learning, and deep learning techniques to protect data, devices, and networks against AI-powered threats.
Prediction 2: Ransomware-as-a-Service Innovation
Ransomware-as-a-Service will innovate and assist in the volume of successful attacks. The RaaS model is poised to further elevate cybercrime and empower less-skilled crime groups in 2024. In addition, we should anticipate a new wave and an increasing prevalence of initial access brokers, similar to Scattered Spider, that specialize in facilitating unauthorized access to target networks. Encryption-less attacks will continue to be a popular strategic tactic used by ransomware operators to evade detection, putting the onus on organizations to focus on detecting anomalous activity beyond the typical patterns associated with encryption-based ransomware.
In navigating these evolving ransomware threats and trends, organizations must prioritize comprehensive zero trust protection strategies for every stage of the attack chain, from initial compromise to execution.
Prediction 3: Rise in Man-in-the-Middle Attacks
Failure to implement a zero trust architecture will result in an increase in man-in-the-middle (MiTM) attacks. MiTM threats will remain a significant concern for enterprises in 2024, exacerbated by Phishing-as-a-Service toolkits that democratize sophisticated MiTM attacks, making them accessible to a broader range of threat actors. This tactic targets users of a specific server or system and captures data in transit, such as user authentication credentials or cookies, by mimicking online services through proxy servers.
The risks associated with MiTM phishing attacks—unauthorized access, data theft, and compromise of critical information—call for zero trust and advanced security measures. Without a proxy-based zero trust architecture, full TLS inspection, and FIDO2 multifactor authentication (MFA), organizations remain exposed to vulnerabilities in communication channels and user authentication. As such, it is imperative to prioritize these security measures in 2024.
Prediction 4: Supply Chain Attacks on Generative AI Ecosystems & Development Environments
Supply chain attacks will target vulnerable generative AI ecosystems. As supply chains become more interconnected and attacks more sophisticated in 2024, both upstream and downstream components of supply chains will be increasingly at risk.?
Namely, attackers will leverage new ways to strategically exploit weaknesses in various components beyond traditional attack vectors. As organizations integrate more AI components to their supply chains, LLMs and AI will increasingly be part of supply chain security conversations. If not adequately secured, an AI-powered supply chain can become a target for attackers seeking to poison AI training data, manipulate updates, inject malicious algorithms, engage in prompt engineering, or exploit vulnerabilities as an entry point to compromise organizations' data or systems.
Organizations must recognize the critical role of a resilient supply chain in ensuring business continuity and overall resilience and prioritize investments to safeguard against the far-reaching consequences of supply chain compromise. Eliminating the internet-facing attack surface will be critical, and implementing zero trust security controls to stop lateral movement and block command-and-control activities will be instrumental in doing so. In short, enterprises must adopt a comprehensive approach to safeguard not only their internal AI applications but those of their suppliers, as well.
Prediction 5: Attackers Respond to SEC Regulations
Attacks will shift in response to the cyber regulations imposed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Anticipating the impact of the new SEC regulations mandating disclosure of material breaches, it's likely that attackers will further hone their already adept stealth methods. Expect a heightened focus on covert strategies, leveraging sophisticated evasion techniques and encryption to prolong undetected access. Additionally, attackers may target non-material systems more frequently to navigate under the radar, gather intelligence, and discreetly escalate privileges. With an eye on evading immediate disclosure obligations, we could see a surge in third-party and supply chain vulnerability exploitation. In essence, the future threat landscape may dictate a predictive shift toward even more strategic and discreet approaches as attackers adapt to emerging regulatory frameworks.
The SEC cyber regulations will also drive strategic shifts in security teams. The mandates for timely reporting of material incidents and annual reporting on cyber risk management will be a catalyst for more cross-functional collaboration in 2024. How will organizations prepare and comply with the reporting process? Do they have sufficient defense in depth and security governance? These questions—and their legal implications—will be a forcing function for cyber and corporate alignment. For many companies, this means that CISOs and security leaders will work closer than ever with CEOs, legal teams, and boards to develop processes for disclosure and strengthen their organization’s security posture.”
Top 8 Cyber Security Trends And Predictions For 2024
According to excerpts from a Splashtop article , they wrote, “Cyber threats are not just escalating in frequency but are also becoming more sophisticated, challenging traditional security paradigms. In this rapidly evolving digital landscape, understanding the upcoming trends is a matter of foresight and a necessity for preparedness.
This article aims to unravel the top 10 cybersecurity trends and predictions for the coming year, offering insights into how technologies are aligning with these changes to fortify digital defenses. From the rise of AI in cybersecurity to the increasing significance of mobile security, we'll dive deep into what the future holds for this critical field.
Trend 1: Increased Focus on AI and Machine Learning in Cybersecurity
In 2024, AI and Machine Learning (ML) are set to play a more critical role in cybersecurity. AI's advanced data analysis capabilities are increasingly used for identifying and predicting cyber threats, enhancing early detection systems. ML algorithms are evolving to better recognize and respond to new threats, improving defensive measures over time. Expect to see AI algorithms providing real-time threat analysis in 2024, enabling faster and more accurate responses to cyber incidents. ML will likely advance to adapt and update cybersecurity protocols autonomously, reducing reliance on manual updates.
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We may also witness the emergence of AI-driven security bots, programmed to independently identify and neutralize cyber threats, making network security more proactive and less reactive. These developments signify a shift towards more intelligent and autonomous cybersecurity systems, driven by the advancements in AI and ML.
Trend 2: Growing Importance of IoT Security
As 2024 unfolds, the Internet of Things (IoT) continues its exponential growth, interconnecting an ever-increasing number of devices. This expansion, however, brings with it a host of security challenges. The diversity and ubiquity of IoT devices make them attractive targets for cyberattacks, and their interconnected nature can lead to widespread vulnerabilities.
A key focus in 2024 will be on enhancing IoT security through various means. One significant advancement is expected in the development of more robust, standardized security protocols for IoT devices. This could include universal encryption standards and mandatory security certifications for new devices. Another area of enhancement could be the integration of AI and ML algorithms into IoT systems. These technologies can monitor for unusual patterns indicative of a breach, enabling quicker response to threats.
Additionally, there will likely be a greater emphasis on user education about IoT security. As users become more aware of potential risks and best practices, the overall security posture of IoT networks will improve. Finally, we might see an increase in the use of blockchain technology to decentralize and secure IoT networks, making them less vulnerable to attacks that target centralized systems. Collectively, these advancements point towards a more secure and resilient IoT ecosystem in 2024.
Trend 3: The Rise of Quantum Computing and Its Impact on Cybersecurity
Quantum computing, a rapidly advancing field in 2024, is revolutionizing how we think about data processing and problem-solving. Unlike classical computing, which uses bits represented as 0s or 1s, quantum computing utilizes qubits. Qubits can exist in multiple states simultaneously, thanks to quantum superposition. This allows quantum computers to process vast amounts of data at unprecedented speeds, solving complex problems much faster than traditional computers.
The rise of quantum computing presents both opportunities and challenges for cybersecurity. On the one hand, its immense processing power offers the potential to strengthen cybersecurity measures. Quantum computing can enhance encryption methods, develop more sophisticated algorithms for detecting cyber threats, and efficiently manage large-scale, secure data operations.
On the other hand, quantum computing poses significant threats to current cybersecurity protocols. Its ability to quickly break traditional encryption methods, such as RSA and ECC, could leave many existing security systems vulnerable. This vulnerability highlights the urgent need for developing quantum-resistant encryption techniques, a field known as post-quantum cryptography.
As we advance into 2024, the cybersecurity landscape will need to evolve rapidly to harness the benefits and mitigate the risks presented by quantum computing. This includes upgrading current encryption methods and preparing systems to be resilient against the advanced capabilities of quantum technologies.
Trend 4: Evolution of Phishing Attacks
Phishing attacks have long been a persistent threat in the cybersecurity world, and in 2024, they continue to evolve in sophistication and effectiveness. Modern phishing attacks have become adept at bypassing traditional security measures, using more personalized and technically advanced tactics to deceive users. In the face of these advanced phishing attacks, robust authentication systems are key to enhancing security.
Solutions that can bolster defenses against phishing by implementing strong, multi-factor authentication (MFA) systems are recommended. MFA requires users to provide two or more verification factors to gain access to a resource, making it much harder for attackers to gain unauthorized access, even if they have tricked a user into revealing one set of credentials.?
Additionally, you should also restrict access privileges, ensuring that users have the minimum necessary access to perform their tasks. This principle of least privilege can limit the potential damage caused by compromised credentials. Solutions should integrate with existing systems and offer detailed access logs provides an additional layer of security.?
By monitoring and analyzing access patterns, you can help identify unusual activities that may indicate a phishing-induced breach. As phishing techniques continue to evolve, the importance of incorporating advanced authentication solutions becomes ever more vital in safeguarding systems and data.
Trend 5: Enhanced Focus on Mobile Security
In 2024, as mobile devices become increasingly integral to both personal and professional life, the focus on mobile security has intensified. The enhanced reliance on mobile devices for various tasks, including remote work, financial transactions, and personal communications, makes them attractive targets for cyber threats. This scenario underscores the necessity for robust mobile security solutions.
Splashtop has responded to this growing need by offering secure mobile access solutions. Its platform is designed to provide secure and seamless remote access from mobile devices to computers or networks. Key features include strong encryption protocols, ensuring that data transmitted between devices remains protected from unauthorized interception or access. Moreover, Splashtop's mobile solutions incorporate multi-factor authentication and session logging features, further enhancing security. These features are crucial in preventing unauthorized access and monitoring for any suspicious activity that may occur during a remote session.
Additionally, Splashtop's emphasis on user-friendly interfaces ensures that enhanced security does not come at the cost of convenience. Users can safely access their work or personal environments from their mobile devices without navigating complex security procedures. As mobile device usage continues to rise, the role of solutions like Splashtop in providing secure mobile access becomes increasingly vital. Their ability to blend high-level security with ease of use positions them as a key player in addressing the mobile security challenges of 2024.
Trend 6: Zero Trust Security
The concept of Zero Trust security has gained significant momentum in 2023, evolving from a niche approach to a fundamental aspect of cybersecurity strategy. At its core, Zero Trust operates on the principle of "never trust, always verify." Unlike traditional security models that focus on securing the perimeter, Zero Trust assumes that threats can exist both outside and inside the network.
In a Zero Trust model, every access request, regardless of its origin or the network it’s on, is treated as a potential threat. This requires rigorous identity verification, strict access controls, and continuous monitoring of network activities. Implementing Zero Trust involves a comprehensive approach encompassing various aspects of cybersecurity, including user authentication, endpoint security, and least-privilege access.
One of the key benefits of Zero Trust is its effectiveness in mitigating the risks posed by insider threats and lateral movement of attackers within a network. As organizations increasingly adopt cloud services and remote work models, the relevance of Zero Trust security becomes more pronounced, offering a flexible and adaptive approach to securing diverse and distributed IT environments.
The transition to a Zero Trust framework in 2024 represents a paradigm shift in cybersecurity, focusing on continuous verification and minimal access rights to reduce vulnerabilities and enhance overall network security.
Trend 7: Cybersecurity Skills Gap and Education
In 2024, the cybersecurity sector continues to grapple with a significant challenge: the skills gap. As cyber threats become more sophisticated, the demand for skilled cybersecurity professionals surges. However, there is a noticeable shortage of individuals equipped with the necessary skills and knowledge to effectively combat these evolving threats. This gap poses a risk not only to individual organizations but also to global cyberinfrastructure.
To address this issue, a variety of initiatives have been put in place. Educational institutions are expanding their cybersecurity curricula, offering specialized degrees and certifications designed to equip students with the latest knowledge and skills in cyber defense. These programs increasingly focus on practical, hands-on training, preparing students for the real-world challenges they will face in cybersecurity.
Additionally, professional development and continuous learning are becoming integral parts of a cybersecurity career. Organizations and industry bodies offer various training programs, workshops, and seminars to help current professionals stay abreast of the latest cybersecurity trends, tools, and techniques. These programs are often tailored to cover specific aspects of cybersecurity, such as network security, threat intelligence, or incident response.
Moreover, there is a growing emphasis on public-private partnerships in cybersecurity education. Businesses are collaborating with educational institutions to develop training programs that are directly aligned with industry needs. These partnerships are not only beneficial for students, who gain relevant and up-to-date skills, but also for the industry, which gains access to a workforce that is better prepared to tackle current and future cyber challenges. As we advance through 2024, these educational and training initiatives will play a crucial role in narrowing the cybersecurity skills gap, ultimately leading to a more robust and resilient digital ecosystem.
Trend 8: Blockchain and Cybersecurity
As we progress through 2024, blockchain technology is increasingly being recognized for its potential to significantly enhance cybersecurity measures. Blockchain, at its core, is a decentralized ledger technology known for its inherent security features like immutability, transparency, and resistance to tampering. These characteristics make it an appealing option for securing digital transactions and protecting data from cyber threats.
One of the primary ways blockchain is enhancing cybersecurity is through its ability to prevent data tampering. Once data is recorded on a blockchain, it cannot be altered without the consensus of the network, making it nearly impossible for hackers to manipulate. This feature is particularly useful for securing sensitive data, such as personal identity information, financial transactions, and critical infrastructure data. Blockchain is also being utilized to create more secure and decentralized identity management systems. By storing identity data on a blockchain, individuals and organizations can have greater control over who accesses their information, reducing the risk of identity theft and fraud.
Looking forward to the rest of 2024, blockchain is predicted to play a more integral role in securing Internet of Things (IoT) devices. Integrating blockchain into IoT networks allows each device to operate as a secure, independent node, making the entire network more resilient to attacks that typically exploit centralized security weaknesses. Furthermore, blockchain-based smart contracts are expected to see increased use in automating and securing digital agreements. These self-executing contracts can enhance security in various online transactions, ensuring compliance and reducing the risk of breaches.
In summary, as blockchain technology continues to mature in 2024, its role in cybersecurity is expected to expand, offering innovative solutions to secure digital data, manage identities, and protect IoT networks, thus fortifying the digital landscape against evolving cyber threats.”
Summary
We hope this information has provided an in-depth exploration of cybersecurity trends, tips, and predictions, covering both retrospective insights from 2023 and forward-looking forecasts for 2024. In 2023, generative AI, rampant ransomware, more sophisticated social engineering, the fall of VPNs and firewalls, and attacks on enterprise tools shaped the cybersecurity landscape. The piece emphasizes the need for organizations to adapt to evolving threats, such as adopting a zero-trust architecture and implementing mature third-party risk management programs.
Looking ahead to 2024, the article outlines five predictions for the cybersecurity landscape. These include a growth in generative AI-driven attacks, continued innovation in Ransomware-as-a-Service, an increase in man-in-the-middle attacks, supply chain attacks on generative AI ecosystems, and a shift in attacks responding to SEC regulations. The predictions underscore the importance of organizations adopting proactive security measures, leveraging AI for defense, and focusing on comprehensive strategies to safeguard against emerging threats.
In a supplementary section, the article presents additional cybersecurity trends for 2024, highlighting the increased role of AI and machine learning, the growing importance of IoT security, the impact of quantum computing, the evolution of phishing attacks, enhanced focus on mobile security, the adoption of zero-trust security models, addressing the cybersecurity skills gap, and the integration of blockchain technology.
Conclusion
As the digital landscape evolves, it’s imperative that organizations stay ahead of cybersecurity challenges. The retrospective analysis of 2023 highlights the severity of threats such as AI-driven attacks, ransomware, and social engineering. Looking forward to 2024, the predictions suggest a continued reliance on AI, challenges posed by new ransomware models, the risk of man-in-the-middle attacks, supply chain vulnerabilities, and shifts in attack strategies responding to regulatory changes.
Adaptive Office Solutions recommends a proactive approach, incorporating measures like zero-trust architecture, comprehensive security strategies, and awareness of emerging technologies like blockchain. Lastly, the persistent cybersecurity skills gap stresses the importance of education and training initiatives to build a skilled workforce capable of addressing the dynamic and sophisticated cyber threats that lie ahead.
At Adaptive Office Solutions , cybersecurity is our specialty. We keep cybercrimes at bay by using analysis, forensics, and reverse engineering to prevent malware attempts and patch vulnerability issues. By making an investment in multilayered cybersecurity, you can leverage our expertise to boost your defenses, mitigate risks, and protect your data with next-gen IT security solutions.
Every device connecting to the internet poses a cyber security threat, including that innocent-looking smartwatch you’re wearing. Adaptive’s wide range of experience and certifications fills the gaps in your business's IT infrastructure and dramatically increases the effectiveness of your cybersecurity posture.
Using our proactive cybersecurity management, cutting-edge network security tools, and comprehensive business IT solutions, you can lower your costs through systems that are running at their prime, creating greater efficiency and preventing data loss and costly downtime. With Adaptive Office Solutions by your side, we’ll help you navigate the complexities of cybersecurity so you can achieve business success without worrying about online threats.
To schedule a Cyber Security Risk Review, call the Adaptive Office Solutions’ hotline at 506-624-9480 or email us at [email protected]