Currency innovations like bitcoin could render bank deregulation moot
A few years before the Great Recession, I was an advisor to the Federal Reserve Bank. I provided some limited advice on how to stimulate growth through innovation. It was too little, too late. Many financial experts far more capable than myself tried to help prevent the imminent collapse. But the politicians were sure they knew more about our economic system than the experts. Hindsight proves they knew very little and it was the everyday American who suffered from their ignorance and arrogance.
So here we are again. Less than a decade away from our brush with economic Armageddon, we are deregulating the financial industry. We don’t need the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act because the same financial institutions that were too big to fail (but required trillions of dollars to bail out) will apparently regulate and police themselves. It’s like returning to the honor system when half of the class was caught cheating and still failed the exam.
On top of that, the big investment banks have now invented something called spread networks. Author Michael Lewis brought these to light via his bestseller, Flash Boys. Basically, these networks give big banks an advantage by executing trades faster than everyone else, allowing them to buy lower and sell higher than the average Joe. While these spread networks game the system that the banks themselves created, the bigger problem is that they trip trading algorithms in other financial institutions. Forget irrational exuberance – this is artificial exuberance. These systems are not responding to market dynamics. They are creating them.
Ironically, investment banking itself was created from the outside-in. In the eighteenth century, inherited property was the only pathway to wealth. Mayer Amschel Rothschild, a Jew from Frankfurt, helped create many of the financial innovations we still recognize today: global banking, bond markets, foreign exchange and arbitrage. Rothschild, who endured pogroms and daily doses of anti-Semitism, developed imaginative ways to infiltrate a system designed to keep people like him out. Today, the biggest innovations in finance are largely happening outside of the financial community, as well. Digital cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin, are emerging as viable financial alternatives. They’re basically managed via a continuously growing distributed database called a block chain. All users have a record of all transactions all the time, which means no hidden fees, accounting errors or hacked accounts. In other words: No bank needed.
Innovations like Bitcoin can disrupt more than just financial institutions. They can move independently of borders and the laws that govern nations. They can be used for illicit purposes without detection. Most importantly, since the government has no line of sight, collecting tax on these transactions is almost impossible.
Increasingly, digital innovations are being used to bypass ATM fees, deflect overage charges, and switch credit card debt to lower cost alternatives. They provide lending networks that are an affordable substitute to predatory payday loans, as well as algorithms that predict the credit worthiness of people with no credit history. And these are just the beginning. In the near future, artificial intelligence software, along with open and pervasive internet access, will make it easier to disintermediate the big banks. The ability to connect lenders with borrowers, manage complex corporate transactions like mergers, and invest capital productively will no longer be the monopoly of the banks.
While our largest financial institutions are lobbying to recover the freedoms they enjoyed before they destroyed the economy a decade ago, entrepreneurs are innovating their way around them, creating a financial future that will make banks more and more irrelevant. Which makes one wonder if someday, we’ll hear the phrase “Too Slow to Fail.”
The Innovation Code is a rigorous but highly accessible guide for achieving breakthrough solutions by utilizing the full—and seemingly contradictory—spectrum of innovative thinking.
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7 年me too
General Manager at APPREC OASIS LIMITED
7 年The advent of bitcoin marks the beginning of true democracy
Control system and automation engineer and project manager
7 年The value of fiat currencies are often artificially manipulated for political expediency. This, of course, favors well-connected special interest groups over the rest of us. Examples of this include the FED's so-called "dual" mandate (when this mandate should be limited to one - price stability only) as well as the ZIRP of the recent years. It has always been clear to me that the aggregate free market itself, not any governing body, ought to determine interest rates. It has also been clear to me since I was a college student that the growth of the total supply of money should always be the same as the economic growth rate. Neither of these rules have been followed over the past 70 years, with a gradually deteriorating U.S. Dollar as a result. Traditional libertarians such as Ron Paul have argued for a return to a Gold standard as the way to correct these deficiencies. However, a commodity-based currency also has problems. Having the currency based on a basket of commodities (Gold, Silver, various Platinum Group Metals, etc.) on partially reduces these problem. The other option my friends and I have discussed for 20 years is the creation of private currencies. The existing cyber-currencies represent a step in the direction of private currencies. This is the first step towards the development of "depoliticized" money and, ultimately, an economic system liberated from the constraint of politics.
VP, Appraisal Manager
7 年Litecoin is cheaper entry.
VP, Appraisal Manager
7 年Major speculation. Millennials love this 'currency'. No critical losses to date. Just ask your server next time out about why they are buying.