Crypto hits mainstream: record activity & infra advances mark industry maturity ????; Klarna's valuation doubles to $14.6B ahead of 2025 IPO ????
Linas Beliūnas
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Last week (28 October - 1 November) was just an insane week in FinTech. We will take a deeper dive into record crypto activity and infrastructure advances that mark the industry’s maturity (breaking down the latest state of crypto report from a16z, focusing on key insights & what's next); Klarna whose valuation just doubled to $14.6B ahead of 2025 IPO (what it means & what it tells us about FinTech + more bonus reads on Klarna inside); Bitstamp which just secured a landmark EU crypto derivatives license (what it means for both Bitstamp & Robinhood, and what can we expect next), and explore other interesting news and developments.
Without further ado, let us dive into what happened in the financial technology sector last week. Let’s connect the dots.
Crypto hits mainstream: record activity and infrastructure advances mark industry maturity ????
Following the money ?? Unprecedented user activity, major infrastructure improvements, and growing political significance show that the cryptocurrency industry has never been more alive.
More importantly, the sector's evolution from a niche technology to a mainstream financial force is becoming increasingly evident, as seen in the a16z's latest State of Crypto report.
Let’s take a look at the most important insights, what they mean, and what’s next.
More on this ?? The 55-page+ report is full of good insights and data but the following trends and themes caught most of my attention:
Record-breaking usage and global adoption ??
The crypto ecosystem has witnessed extraordinary growth, with active monthly addresses surging to 220 million in September, more than triple the figure from late 2023.
Solana leads this expansion with approximately 100 million active addresses, followed by NEAR (31 million) and Coinbase 's Base network (22 million).
Mobile crypto wallet users reached an all-time high of 29 million in June 2024, with the United States representing 12% of users, though its share is declining as global adoption increases.
Infrastructure improvements drive efficiency ??
Significant technological advances have dramatically reduced transaction costs and increased network capacity. Blockchain networks now process over 50 times more transactions per second compared to four years ago. Let that sink in ??
The implementation of Ethereum's Dencun upgrade in March 2024 has substantially decreased fees for Layer 2 networks while maintaining growing activity levels.
These improvements have made practical applications more viable, particularly in areas like stablecoins and DeFi.
Stablecoins: a proven use case ??
Stablecoins have emerged as one of crypto's most successful applications, processing $8.5 trillion in transaction volume across 1.1 billion transactions in Q2 2024 – more than double Visa 's $3.9 trillion during the same period. Wild ??
Transaction costs have plummeted, with USDC transfers on the Base network costing less than a cent, compared to average international wire transfer fees of $44.
Political landscape and regulatory progress ??????
Crypto has become a significant political issue ahead of the U.S. election, with swing states showing varying levels of interest. The approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs, holding $65 billion in combined assets, marks a major regulatory milestone.
Bipartisan support for crypto legislation is growing, exemplified by the House's passage of the FIT21 Act.
?? THE TAKEAWAY
What’s next? ?? All in all, it’s clear that the crypto industry appears to be entering a new phase of maturity and practical utility. Looking ahead, we can expect the following:
Zooming out, these developments clearly indicate that crypto is transitioning from speculative investment to practical financial infrastructure. More importantly, the industry's focus on solving real-world problems through improved efficiency, reduced costs, and innovative applications suggests a more sustainable growth trajectory. As infrastructure continues to mature and regulatory frameworks solidify, we may see accelerated adoption across both institutional and retail sectors, potentially reshaping significant aspects of the global financial system. Bullish.
ICYMI: Coinbase is solidly diversifying beyond just trading but valuation demands growth acceleration ???? [unpacking the key facts and figures from Q3 2024, what they mean, what to look out for next & whether Coinbase is worth your time & money in 2024 and beyond]
Klarna's valuation doubles to $14.6B as IPO preparations heat up for 2025 ????
The news ??? BNPL pioneer Klarna's implied valuation has just surged to a whopping $14.6 billion, marking a dramatic recovery from its 2022 low point. This latest valuation boost comes from Chrysalis Investments, which has increased the value of its stake from £100.3 million to £120.6 million, reflecting growing confidence in the FinTech giant's prospects ahead of its anticipated 2025 IPO.
Let’s take a quick look at this.
More on this ?? The valuation increase represents more than double the $6.7 billion price tag Klarna secured during its 2022 funding round, though it remains significantly below its peak 2021 valuation of $46 billion.
Chrysalis attributes this upward revision to the strong performance of other BNPL providers in the public markets, with companies like Affirm and PayPal seeing their shares climb by 145% and 59% respectively over the past year.
This positive momentum comes despite recent boardroom tensions, which saw shareholders vote to remove board member Mikael Walther following conflicts with Chairman Mike Moritz and CEO Sebastian Siemiatkowski.
Despite these challenges, Klarna appears to be steadily advancing toward its public debut, with sources suggesting it may seek a valuation of around $20 billion in its IPO.
?? THE TAKEAWAY
What’s next? ?? At the core, the surge in Klarna's valuation signals a broader revival in the FinTech sector, particularly for BNPL services. This recovery suggests several interesting developments for the industry. First, market maturation. The BNPL sector is showing signs of evolving from a high-growth, high-risk investment to a more stable financial services category. This maturation could attract more institutional investors who previously viewed the sector as too volatile. Second, we might anticipate some industry consolidation. As Klarna prepares for its IPO, we may see increased consolidation in the BNPL space as smaller players might seek strategic partnerships or exits, while larger financial institutions could look to acquire BNPL capabilities. Finally, the renewed investor confidence will likely fuel another wave of innovation in payment solutions. Klarna and its competitors have already expanded beyond traditional BNPL offerings to capture more of the digital payments ecosystem in a bid to dominate all things commerce. Looking ahead, Klarna's planned IPO in the first half of 2025 could serve as a crucial benchmark for the entire FinTech sector. A successful public debut would not only validate the BNPL business model but could also pave the way for other FinTech companies considering public listings. Great times ahead ??
Bitstamp secures landmark EU crypto derivatives license ??????
The news ??? In a significant development for the cryptocurrency trading landscape, crypto exchange and pioneer Bitstamp has obtained a MiFID Multilateral Trading Facility (MTF) license from Slovenia's Securities Market Agency.
This regulatory milestone positions the exchange to expand its offerings significantly within the European Union's regulated financial framework.
Let’s take a quick look at this.
More on this ?? The license enables Bitstamp to offer sophisticated crypto derivatives products, including perpetual swaps, to both retail and institutional clients. This expansion moves beyond the exchange's traditional spot trading services, allowing traders to speculate on cryptocurrency price movements without directly holding the assets.
More importantly, the MTF license also opens doors for Bitstamp to potentially offer trading in stocks, bonds, commodities, and structured products.
Zoom out ?? This regulatory achievement comes at a pivotal time for Bitstamp, as the exchange is set to be acquired by U.S.-based Robinhood in a $200 million deal expected to close in early 2025. The acquisition aims to strengthen Robinhood's presence in key markets, particularly in Asia, the UK, and the European Union.
The timing is particularly noteworthy as it coincides with broader regulatory developments in the EU crypto space, including Bitstamp's recent platform adaptations to comply with MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets) regulations.
This positions the exchange among a select few cryptocurrency platforms authorized under the MiFID framework, which traditionally oversees conventional financial markets in the European Union.
?? THE TAKEAWAY
What’s next? ?? This development carries several important implications for the cryptocurrency industry. First and foremost, the MTF license could accelerate institutional adoption of crypto derivatives in Europe. As one of the first exchanges to secure this authorization, Bitstamp is positioned to capture a growing market for regulated crypto derivatives products. Furthermore, the license establishes a framework for how traditional financial market regulations can be applied to crypto platforms. This could thus influence how other exchanges approach regulatory compliance in the EU and globally. Lastly, we must think about Robinhood and its strategic position. Despite facing regulatory challenges in the U.S., including a recent SEC Wells notice, Robinhood's acquisition of a regulated EU crypto platform could help the company diversify its regulatory exposure and expand its global footprint. Looking ahead, we can expect other major cryptocurrency exchanges pursuing similar licenses to remain competitive in the European market. More importantly, the combination of Bitstamp's regulatory compliance and Robinhood's retail trading expertise could lead to innovative regulated crypto products. This could thus spark a trend toward greater integration between traditional financial services and cryptocurrency markets, particularly in regulated derivatives trading.
ICYMI: Robinhood's mixed Q3: growing pains cloud near-term outlook ???? [unpacking the most important numbers & what they mean & how growing pains cloud trading giant’s near-term outlook]
Extra Reads & Quick Bites for Curious Minds ??
Money Moves ??
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About: I am a business developer, sales professional, and FinTech strategist, as well as a Cryptocurrency and Blockchain enthusiast. I'm highly passionate about Financial Technology and Digital Innovation and strongly believe that it will change the world for the better. Apart from my daily job at the world’s leading digital asset infrastructure startup where I’m responsible for revenue operations, I'm an active member of the FinTech community and a TechFin evangelist.
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OK Bo?tjan Dolin?ek
Chairman FINGO, Board Member of Flutterwave, KCB IB, Ponea Health BV, Association of Fintechs in Kenya, Consultant at Kasada Capital Management - GMP Harvard Business School
1 周Great insights Linas Beliūnas
Deployment Strategist at Palantir Technologies
1 周I love your newsletters Linas Beliūnas - thank you! Do you do a podcast version? If not, you should!
Financial Markets Analyst | Day Trader | Entrepreneur | Innovator | Technical Analyst | Founder ?? The Trade Space Z Limited
1 周You leave so much information and insights Linas Beliūnas All these can be used in decision making for so many things. Thank you!!!!
Managing Partner at ATD Homes
1 周Government may not trade internationally but that doesn't mean the private sector can't.