COVID Data - 15 Months Later

Charting COVID: 15 Months In!

We are now more than 15 months into COVID. As I mentioned in earlier versions of this report, I began tracking COVID on March 20,2020. I tracked the daily number of new cases, deaths and recoveries, undertaking this hobby for several reasons: I enjoy data, I wasn’t going anywhere for a while, but more specifically so that I could discuss the numbers intelligently.

Clearly discernible trends have emerged over the 15 months. “Waves,” as some call them, are evident in the charts.

Within this paper I provide the charts that have developed from nightly tracking. Although I have developed my own opinions and conclusions, NO conclusions are drawn, NO commentary is given, and NO opinion is provided in this report. This is purely data for data sake. You must draw your own conclusions, provide your own commentary and develop your own opinion.

Methodology

Information used to develop these charts has been tracked and recorded NIGHTLY since March 20, 2020. All information used as part of this tracking program is taken from WorldOMeter.com, Johns Hopkins and several state health and human services websites. Although each of these information sources undertake to provide correct data, neither they nor I can guarantee the information.?

Because one day does not constitute a trend, these charts apply a 14-day rolling average. A 14-day rolling average was chosen because it removes the extreme spikes and valleys that are present in daily counts and even the spikes found in a 7-day rolling average. When this 14-day rolling average is NOT used, the description for that chart specifies the time period applied.

Data reported in these charts represents slightly more than 15 months between March 20, 2020, and June 30, 2021.

The only commentary provided is a description of the information graphed by each chart.

Shall we begin? I hope you find this information interesting if not valuable.

Daily New Cases

This charts the daily new case count, again based on a 14-day rolling average from March 20, 2020, to June 30, 2021.

Daily Deaths

The following charts daily new deaths applying the 14-day rolling average from March 20, 2020, to June 30, 2021.

Recoveries

Following is the 14-day rolling recovery average between March 20, 2020, and June 30, 2021.

New Cases Compared to Recoveries

Two data points are compared in the following chart: 1) the daily new cases; and 2) the daily recoveries. The daily new cases are represented by the blue line and the orange line tracks recoveries. Again, these are using the 14-day rolling averages between March 20, 2020, and June 30, 2021.

Combined Comparison

Three key data points are compared in the following chart: 1) Total reported cases; 2) Total recoveries; and 3) Total active. UNLIKE prior charts, this chart does NOT use a 14-day rolling average – this graphic charts actual daily numbers between March 20, 2020, and June 30, 2021.

The blue line is total reported cases; the orange indicates recoveries; and gray tracks active cases.

US Percentage of Total Deaths

According to WorldOMeter, COVID has affected 216 countries and territories – truly worldwide. The US accounts for approximately 4.29% of the world’s population. This chart tracks the percentage of worldwide COVID deaths occurred in the US.

Like the previous comparison chart, this chart is NOT on a 14-day rolling, this tracks the daily percentage from March 20, 2020 to June 30, 2021.?

MONTHLY CHARTS

Following are three charts providing monthly information rather than a 14-day rolling average or even a daily charting of numbers. The following charts compare new cases, new deaths, and new recoveries for the months April 2020 through June 2021 (15 months).

Monthly New Cases

Monthly New Deaths

Monthly New Recoveries

Overall Comparison

This last chart is essentially a tracking of the overall COVID numbers from March 21, 2020, through June 30, 2021. This chart compares all COVID numbers to the US population. The color codes applicable are:

·??????Dark Blue (at top): US Population

·??????Red/Orange: Total Number of Reported Cases

·??????Yellow: Total Recoveries

·??????Gray: Active Cases (Total Current)

·??????Light Blue: Total Deaths (although this looks like it’s on “0,” it is not. As of June 30, 2021, 0.188% of the US population has died due directly or indirectly to COVID).

The vertical axis is in 5 million increments. (See Next Page)

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