On Complexity and why it's not that bad

On Complexity and why it's not that bad

The word complexity has been heavily used recently to describe today’s conditions. Things are becoming more complex due to an ever increasing connectedness, the world’s entropy is increasing. In the business world we hear a lot about removing, reducing complexity, streamlining things.

First of all let’s define complexity as a sum of the behaviour of system components. It has its own science “science of complexity” and its Mecca is the Santa Fe Institute. The interesting thing about studying complexity is that it gives a framework to understand systems as a collection of behaviours. As opposed to mainstream science which study subjects by discipline (physics, medicine, economics…), complexity science is interested in the level of interaction. This explains why complexity scientists work on a variety of subjects: the immune system, brain, ant colonies, ecosystems, and so on… Understanding how these complex system, also coined complex adaptive systems, work is key to building sustainable organisations. However there is a legacy of more than a century of the efficiency quest as popularised by traditional economics theory which regards economics and organisations as machines subjects to optimization and engineering and in which complexity is an issue to get rid of. After the industrial revolution, many economists have used physics and Newtonian concepts and applied them to economics and organisations. While this has served in a low complexity environment, today it is becoming clear that organisations are facing a complex environment in which planned machines are more of a liability.

We used to hear in business schools that companies need to develop a 3 to 5 year strategic plan to achieve a vision communicated throughout the organisation. Operational and support functions alignment would follow suit. It seems logical, rational as with a machine. This however is not the ideal design in a complex and ever changing environment. One example to illustrate the case is that strategy starts with the environment scan whose results are fed into the organisation to develop strategic options. Assuming that during the scan the company has access to all relevant information about the environment in which it operates (which is not true in almost all cases but we assume this for the sake of the example), proper strategies are then developed and implemented which takes several months even years and a lot of resources. As the environment is a lively and complex animal, future and frequent changes are not easily integrated into the strategy and this engenders strategic shifts. In this context complexity is perceived as threat to the organisation and as we can still reduce internal complexity, we have no power to influence external complexity and even if we succeed to do so, it’s a recipe for failure as it leads to a mismatch between internal and external complexity.

So what the solution then? Setting up an organisation as a complex adaptive system which is able to adapt to its changing environment at a specific scale (very important), while at the same time use machine-like concepts to low complex environment to take the most out of streamlining and optimization. This obviously starts with the evaluation of the level of internal and external complexities. This way companies will recognize and capitalize on complexity to generate value and succeed in adapting to murky conditions.

Complexity is a fertile ground for tinkering and innovation. It’s the best remedy for inequality of status and resources. It helps the weak get stronger and strong get weaker hence vertical mobility. It should be espoused and whose power harnessed. It’s one of the best thing out there to thrive. 

Achraf Tiouali

Entrepreneur | Executive | Advisor @ Thinking Advisory

5 å¹´

Indeed Olivier Chateau, MSc MBA, you describe it well (short sprints). Many companies in Silicon Valley use "Zoom in Zoom out" as described by John Hagel. They set a very ambitious target say in 20 years and plan only for 1 year at the time.? ?

赞
回复
Olivier Chateau, MSc MBA

Finance Executive | Digital Finance Transformation | Performance Improvement and Business Resilience |

5 å¹´

Great article Achraf. One could also argue that pluriannuel strategic plans are more meant to formulate strategic intentions (legacy to cloud, new target operating models, cost cutting, improve customer experience) which are not self supporting by themselves. 5 year business plans with functional and financial targets are dead. The big change is that organizations are now setting up agile organizations working in short (low budget) sprints to achieve short term benefits and milestones. Strategy is the goal, agility is key to manage complexity and leverage external factors as opportunities rather than threats.

要查看或添加评论,请登录

Achraf Tiouali的更多文章

  • The Simple and The Complex

    The Simple and The Complex

    How to describe current times ? We have been living through two of the main consequential crises in modern time. We had…

    3 条评论
  • On Social Sciences

    On Social Sciences

    For a long time I have been struggling to understand why theories taught in business schools on management, economics…

    5 条评论
  • On Managing Paradoxes

    On Managing Paradoxes

    How many times have you hoped, dreamed of doing something just to found out later that it didn’t turn the way you…

    3 条评论
  • Here we go again

    Here we go again

    As the number of new confirmed Covid-19 cases is exploding with numbers doubling every week or so you can feel the…

  • On Economics and Organisations

    On Economics and Organisations

    In the movie The Matrix, Thomas A. Anderson alias “Neo” has for a long time been looking for the answer.

  • Are we doomed ?

    Are we doomed ?

    A Belgian top official said recently in relation to COVID-19 that we did all we could given what we knew. In just one…

    2 条评论
  • On risk and risk

    On risk and risk

    Garden of Eden and black box, these are two different worlds that we live in according to Benoit Mandelbrot, an applied…

    2 条评论
  • On Decision Making

    On Decision Making

    We all make millions of decisions throughout our lives from trivial ones such as what to eat for lunch to more…

    2 条评论
  • On a Messy World

    On a Messy World

    Ray Dalio wrote recently an article on LinkedIn saying the world has gone mad and the system is broken. The high…

    2 条评论
  • On Knowledge

    On Knowledge

    Having completed an MBA years ago where I had the chance to absorb a load of knowledge on the corporate world I came to…

    4 条评论

社区洞察

其他会员也浏览了