Company Turnaround: when there is no margin
Celso Fernández Llorens
Helping Business Owners scale their operations for profit and cash flow |Business Operations Mentor @ESADE |Engineering Director, Northvolt |
Sam could only say: "This is ridiculous".
Five seconds past and nobody in the call said nothing.
Just a shy cough from Emma, the controller, broke the uncomfortable silence.
"Well, at least we know".
The ask was to remake the numbers on their product costing.
But not to repeat them to check for any mistakes.
Remake them in a way, that we could really understand what was going on.
That is, for each product sold, separate in:
And then we asked to collect all operating expenses, including all the direct labour payroll.
Once done we played unit economics...
Sam was surprised because, the numbers were painting a different situation of what they've been following.
They were growing 25% from the previous year, yet, they needed still another 15% more sales to fill the gap on operating expenses.
We'll use that case to guide this edition.
Let's go!
HOW DO WE MAKE MONEY?
It is quite fundamental, but we need to understand how a company makes money.
And every-time I bring this up, I get weird looks.
But do the trial, ask in your company a random colleague and ask: "how is this company making money?".
You will be surprised on how complex answers, or plain wrong answers you will get.
Now, it is not a problem of those who you ask, is that we tend to overcomplicate this.
Plus one thing is know how and then be able to articulate the numbers behind.
But in essence:
We sell a product or a service, in exchange for money, assuming we will make a profit in return.
And here is when we like to make things complicated.
Because we start with direct and indirect labour, with cost classification, amortizations, etc....
Let's make it easier:
Profit = Revenue - Costs. (hey, remember to pay your taxes).
There is just one problem with that. "Cost" is one of those words that mean multiple things, and this causes all kind of problems.
For the sake of this article, and following the problem diagram of the first edition, we will ignore the cash flow topic in here.
Let's make it a little bit more specific:
Profit = Revenue - Variable Costs - Operating Expenses.
With some definitions:
Here both revenue and Variable costs are a multiplier for each one of your units.
As an example. We sell leather wallets.
Sales Price = $200.
Variable Costs = $100. We include here: material, transports, etc...
Operating Expenses = $20,000/month.
Now we can play unit economics.
We'll use words first.
"For each wallet we sell, we make $100". That is still not profit. That is Contribution Margin.
"That means that to cover our Operating Expenses we need to sell 200 wallets a month".
Simple, right?
Well, the thing is, we tend to overcomplicate that calculation.
And we do it maybe for good reasons, but we end up in a bunch of numbers that nobody understands.
We average things, we mix things, we try to be super detailed on the costs and classify them in multiple ways.
We want to sound smart maybe?
The end result is that the truth is hidden under those numbers.
In Sam's business that was the main problem.
When we went through the numbers in that way, we discovered that:
But how this can happen?
Let's see.
NO CONTRIBUTION MARGIN
How this can even happen?
I mean, who would sell a product without making a profit?
Well, it does happen.
And in some places it even happens on purpose, as a way to attract customers, setting on their minds "this is a place where everything is the cheapest", and make a profit in other products.
领英推荐
Common in big consumer retailers. But they know what they are doing...
But it does happens for multiple reasons, without even realizing it.
In case of Sam's business, some of the products were not reviewed for months.
And as material prices changed significantly, products that a few months back were the cash-cows, they were now a black hole.
Also they had a system to quote the products (semi customised) and get the sale, but not a review process to understand if they were hitting their targets.
In other words: they said:
"We will sell for $1,000 , will cost us $800, so $200 to the pocket"
The reality was.
"We are selling for $975, is costing us $830, so $145 to the pocket"
That is a deviation of 2750 basis points from the original target.
Not a problem if you forecast that, but a problem if you were crunching numbers with the not updated figure...
In our experience, those are the main drivers of this problem:
Another example of missing costs. Sometimes a strategy to sell more, is to sell more units, at discounted price.
It is all good, but the needs to manage a significant more volume, at times means increased Operating Expenses.
Managing 50% more orders, is not a problem only on production capacity, but also you need to handle the logistics, the claims, the quality controls, etc...
OPERATING EXPENSES TOO HIGH
Growing companies face this quite frequently.
They start spending like there is no tomorrow, for the sake of "growth", but in an uncontrolled way.
The end result is operating expenses that can't be sustained.
How do we know they are "too high"?. When our unit economics tell us that we are not selling enough to cover them. That simple.
If we had to sell 200 wallets and our data tells us we are hitting 150 a month, we are in trouble. Either we sell more or we need to start looking into cost cutting. Not nice, not fun but...what are the options?
Sam's business experienced a healthy growth, but they took some decisions that lead to excessive Operating Expenses.
A new office space they could not afford on the long run, IT equipment not used...
Yes, the growth was good, but not enough to pay for all of that.
The main calculation to do is:
How much of X, Y, Z we need to sell, to pay for all of our operating expenses.
From there two approaches, that they work in tandem:
But whatever you do: make sure you run your numbers to understand those unit economics.
Now, some of you might say. Well, my business is more complicated than that.
I have multiple products, a product mix, etc...
And you are right.
But you need to run those numbers and see how it looks like.
How those product mix affect your overall margin and answer that question:
What is the minimum we need to do, to pay for our Operating Expenses.
That's it.
One remark on the Operating Expenses: they behave a little bit like that cabinet that you have somewhere full of things you do not even recall.
They pile up, specially in the modern world where everything is sold "as a service" and as "subscription".
Businesses evolve, and when you do evolve some of the things you were doing no longer apply. The same for expenses. Question and review them, you will find gold...
FINAL NOTES
If you made it all the way to the end, thanks for that.
You would also realise that I emphasised twice that you move your direct labour to Operating Expenses, and I linked a previous article.
There is a simple reason for that. Do you fire people every time you stop production or make a change over? Hopefully not, and hopefully you pay them.
Do you fire people every time you have less production than another day? Hopefully not.
So the reality is that those are Operating Expenses and not variable costs.
Think about them as Operating Expenses and you will not be surprised...
I do hope also that the article helps you unlock some of the hidden problems your company might go through, so you can fix them.
Still confused?
Still in pain and need some help?
Ping me, I am available for you.
Thanks for reading me!
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8 个月Your article sounds like a must-read for anyone involved in company turnarounds Celso Fernández Llorens
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8 个月I liked cost calculation and also how to count variable cost and its effects on the selling price. YES Celso Fernández Llorens pricing policy is very important and beside all the market and competitor's price is a very important item in our policy also.
OK Bo?tjan Dolin?ek