The comma after Roe
What Could Go Right? is a free weekly newsletter from?The Progress Network ?written by our executive director, Emma Varvaloucas. In addition to this newsletter, which collects substantive progress news from around the world, The Progress Network publishes an?anti-apocalypse conversational podcast also called What Could Go Right? .
The comma after Roe
There are metrics of progress that are “safely” nonpartisan: a flourishing economy, personal happiness and well-being, low crime, better public health. But then there are things that we?have to make a personal call on when writing this newsletter, and one of those is abortion. So while we write from a pro-choice perspective today, it is without malice or disrespect for those who disagree with us, whom we understand are coming from their own ethically formulated position. With emotions running high right now, we're heeding?Substacker Bari Weiss’ measured?The Post-Roe Era Begins , where she writes, “We know that it’s chic these days to write off virtues like civility and decency and humility and grace. We believe those things are the only way forward.”
By all means, let’s get involved in the democratic process. Let’s?not?contribute to an?increasingly volatile environment ?by, for example, sharing the home addresses of the Supreme Court justices on social media. The Progress Network (TPN) Member Matthew Yglesias has great, pragmatic suggestions for how to do the former?here . One spoiler: "Most people are more open to being persuaded by peers and family members than by politicians and pundits, so your part-time amateur political communications work has real power," he writes. (But there's a strategy for how to do it well. Yglesias will tell you about it.)
After 50 years, abortion itself has gone back to the democratic process. Many have referred to Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s worry that the?Roe v. Wade?decision was too “swiftly shaped,” eventually proving to be unstable and suspending the debate around abortion rights, essentially freezing American public opinion on the matter in?the 1970s. Pro-choice and pro-life sides are on a journey to change hearts and minds now. The debate has reopened.
What's going on now and correcting confusion
You can see our list of the states with trigger laws and those that will restrict abortion access to earlier than 24 weeks, the standard?Roe?set,?here . Some updates to that list:
There are currently no laws prohibiting out-of-state travel to seek an abortion. Justice Brett Kavanaugh suggested in his concurring opinion on Friday that women doing so would be?protected by the constitutional right to interstate travel ,?although some states may try to test that in the future.
Abortion pills are also still legal. Nineteen states do have restrictions in place around them that prevent their prescription via telemedicine, despite?Attorney General Merrick Garland?coming out swinging ?that the Food and Drug Administration’s rules regarding this—which allow the abortion pill Mifepristone to be distributed by mail as of December 2021, a shift in policy we can thank pandemic lockdowns for—take precedence over the states'. GZERO Media has a good explainer of the?likely upcoming fight over abortion pills .
There is a?lot?of worry out there that the Court will “come for” same-sex marriage, interracial marriage, or contraception access next. We’ve?discussed in previous editions ?why we don’t think this will happen—for one, support for the first two is very high across the American public—and judging by what the justices wrote themselves in Friday’s decision, only Justice Clarence Thomas was interested in revisiting any of them. “Roberts didn't even want to strike down?Roe; Kavanaugh said?explicitly ?that this ruling should not cast doubt on those precedents. Even Thomas himself conceded there are other constitutional defenses for those rights,”?explained independent politics reporter Isaac Saul . Plus, the Court has also already announced the?next cases they’ll consider this year , and none of those are on the docket.
Beyond the bans
We vehemently disagree with the further criminalization of Americans with laws that would punish women and abortion providers.?As TPN Member?Judge Victoria Pratt told us ?on the What Could Go Right? podcast, “we’re criminalizing the people that we’ve already been penalizing—the poor, the marginalized, the abused at our lowest rungs of society. . . . Instead of creating a space where we’re actually dealing with the social ills that make many of these women need to exercise their right to have an abortion, we’re now going to find ways to once again put them in our criminal justice system.”
It’s a great time to start the conversation to address those ills. There are folks?on the pro-life side of things that?back what they term a “pro-life culture” ?whose values would necessitate redressing them. As pro-life activist David French—whom you may recognize from?two newsletters ago on guns —wrote on his Substack , “the commitment to life carries with it a commitment to love, to care for the most vulnerable members of society, both mother and child.”?(What he says about the disquiet he feels around the levels of animosity in some parts of pro-life red America is also worth reading.) Regardless of politics, we can encourage a solid sexual education along with the?widespread use of birth control, emergency contraceptives, and pregnancy tests ?to both prevent pregnancy and catch unwanted pregnancies early.?
We do have to wonder about where in the story we are when it comes to abortion rights in the United States, because it doesn’t seem like a period at the moment. How much?money and effort is about to be poured into the pro-choice movement , which was lulled into a complacent sleep by?Roe?for years? In the long run, will it eventually lead to a more stable state of affairs?
Commentator David Frum,?comparing the post-Roe?reaction to Prohibition , has one argument for that outcome. Substacker Sarah Haider?has another . “People will now face the consequences of their own politics,” she writes. Frum echoes, “Abortion politics is about to transition from being the conservative ideologue’s proof of purity to the Republican politician’s most vexed and intractable quagmire. We may all be surprised at how rapidly the politicians start looking for some escape.” We’re already seeing signs of this in Arkansas, where you can’t help but wonder,?reading this , if the governor didn’t think the law he signed in 2019 to ban?abortions without exceptions for rape and incest would actually ever go into effect.??
Meanwhile, Israel?nixed their requirement ?that women appear in front of a committee in order to receive an abortion, and made abortion pills available. Germany is?moving to decriminalize abortion .?
As for the rest of the unwritten story here in the States, we'll end with words from Yglesias. "Expect fights to play out in every state, and try to stay aware and active," he says.?"There isn’t going to be some deus ex machina win here, just a brutal series of state-by-state, bill-by-bill struggles. And the effort each of us put in as individuals is going to matter."
Living in a vaccine paradise
Malaria is a global killer for young children and pregnant women. Last year, a new, modestly effective vaccine was added to the arsenal of weapons in the fight?against it. We ran an interview at the time with an expert who?wasn’t sure if we’d eradicate malaria ?by 2040 or even 2050. This year, we have a?new vaccine with an efficacy of 77% , the first to meet the World Health Organization target of 75%. Even better, “The Serum Institute of India, the world’s largest vaccine manufacturer, stands ready to deliver at least 200m doses annually—a scale necessary to beat malaria.” This looks like a game changer.
We’ve had naught but failure on developing a vaccine for Respiratory Syncytial Virus (parents will know it by its acronym RSV) since the 1960s.?Soon we’ll have several working ones , given news this month from GlaxoSmithKline and Pfizer. In 2019,?RSV killed more than 100,000 children ?worldwide.
Before we go
Did you see this bonkers video of a?Montana house collapsing?into the Yellowstone River ? Well, it's not the only place where dwellings are falling into bodies of water. In Puerto Rico, homes are being lost to the sea due to erosion and flooding.?This software company ?is trying to give a heads up of where that may happen, up to 30 years into the future. It's like "Google Maps on steroids."
领英推荐
Japan is coming through with a Pride Month win in the nick of time. While the country still does not recognize same-sex partnerships, Tokyo said “screw that” and will?start to do so in November . Happy Pride!
Kazakhstan voters have backed a series of democracy-strengthening reforms and?abolished?the death penalty ?there.
Last but not least,?is Indonesia the most amazing development story ?on Earth?
Below in the links section,?$100 human genomes, car-free cities, sunsetting gas stations, and more.?
—Emma Varvaloucas
Other good stuff in the news
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TPN Member?originals??
Department of Ideas?
How we got bipartisan gun reform :?After the Supreme Court expanded gun access, can recent legislation be a model for bipartisan compromise on urgent issues? |?Persuasion
Why we picked it:?For its cautious optimism that if we can get something done on as difficult a front as gun safety, then compromise on other issues is possible, too, and the reminder that responsible governance “is almost always boring, that it always requires persuasion and compromise, and that positive changes must often come in small doses.”?—Emma Varvaloucas
Until next Thursday,?point your awe ?at this guy's "unskilled labor."