A Co-investment Network Analysis [Update Q3-2024]: Finding the Most Influential and Connected Investors in the Netherlands
Mustafa Torun
Data strategy and management for investment firms | Data science for carbon negative economy | Data driven investing
Mustafa Torun, Senior Data Scientist, Invest-NL
Second reading: Mieke Paalvast, Data Scientist, Invest-NL
Article Highlights
Introduction
Venture capital (VC) is not just about capital deployment; it's a dynamic ecosystem where co-investments and strategic alliances play pivotal roles in innovation investments. Exploring these co-investments can reveal crucial insights about key influencers, emerging sectors, and potential market trajectories.
Venture capitalists frequently engage in co-investments to diversify risk and leverage shared expertise. These co-investment networks are complex webs where investors collaborate, often creating synergies that carry startups to success. Understanding these relations requires in depth analysis one of which can be delving into network graphs and knowledge graphs, which map out the connections and interactions among investors, in terms of co-investing.
Network graphs, in this context, visually represent the relationships and collaboration between entities, with nodes symbolizing investors and edges representing their co-investment links. Knowledge graphs go a step further by incorporating additional layers of information, such as the nature of the investments, industry focus, and historical performance, providing a richer context for analysis.
Centrality measures within these graphs—such as degree centrality, eigenvector centrality, betweenness centrality, and closeness centrality—are critical for identifying the most influential players in the VC landscape. These metrics help us pinpoint which investors have the broadest reach, the most strategic alliances, and the greatest influence over the flow of capital and information.
This article aims to navigate you through the complex corridors of co-investment networks, highlighting the power players and their strategic alliances. Whether you are an investor looking to understand your position in the market, an entrepreneur seeking support, or an enthusiast eager to learn about the intricacies of VC investments, this exploration can lead to some actionable insights. And we are more than happy to hear reader’s comments and considerations about the topics discussed in this article.
Methodology
Network Graphs and Centrality Metrics
The investment ecosystem thrives on collaborations. Decoding co-investment networks provides a panoramic view of these strategic alliances, enabling us to:
Imagine a web where entities, represented as nodes, are interconnected. In our narrative, these nodes symbolize investors, with co-investments forming the interconnecting threads or edges.
So, how do we pinpoint the linchpins in this web? This is where centrality metrics come into play, acting as compasses to navigate the network maze:
Centrality scores, while indicative of influence, need contextual anchoring:
Data Collection and Processing
We began with a structured dataset highlighting primary investors, their co-investors, and the collaborative deals. Using Dealroom's transactions endpoint, we extracted deal data for VC investments specifically in the Netherlands. The processed dataframe, complete with DealID, Company, Amount, Investors, and more, serves as the foundation.
To transform this data into a co-investment matrix, investors were segregated into pairwise combinations. For instance, a trio of investors (A, B, and C) in a single round would lead to combinations like A-B, B-C, and A-C, painting a mutual, undirected network picture. It's crucial to remember that a single connection doesn't always denote a unique investment round. So the dataset format looks like the following table:
Choosing the Network Paradigm
We considered two options for constructing networks from this data:
Our focus on exploring investor collaborations made the investor-investor paradigm the preferred choice.
Decoding Industry Categorization: A Necessary Conundrum
The core challenge lies in the variety of definitions. What one data provider or investor considers 'biotech’; another might classify as 'healthcare technology' for example. Data vendors, with their extensive repositories, have their own taxonomies that may not align with standard industry classifications. This divergence isn't due to oversight; it's an inherent complexity. The business landscape is ever-changing, with companies often spanning multiple sectors, making it difficult to fit them into a single category.
To impose some order on this chaos, we've adopted a pragmatic strategy. Using data from Dealroom, we utilize a keyword search and similarity analysis method. This approach offers a reasonable level of accuracy. Companies often use specific terms in their descriptions, mission statements, and product listings. By focusing on these keywords, we can assign industry labels with higher confidence. In Invest-NL we have been also developing a methodology for entity classification based on fine tuning LLMs but this approach is in the making right now.
It's important to recognize that industry categorization is not a one-time task. As businesses pivot, diversify, or evolve, their industry classifications might change. Our keyword-based approach, while effective now, will need periodic updates to remain relevant. Therefore, more advanced solutions like leveraging large language models (LLMs), clustering, or unsupervised learning could be considered based on the use cases.
Finally, it is important to note that this article focuses on Invest-NL’s key areas of interest, specifically: Energy, Biocircular, Agrifood, Life Sciences & Health, and Deep Tech.
Results
Energy Co-Investments Network
Compared to the same analysis with data from 6 months ago;
Biocircular Co-Investments Network
领英推荐
Compared to the same analysis with data from 6 months ago;
Agrifood Co-Investments Network
Compared to the same analysis with data from 6 months ago;
Life Sciences and Health (LSH) Co-Investments Network
Compared to the same analysis with data from 6 months ago;
Deeptech Co-Investments Network
Deeptech classification is a bit cumbersome. For example, in this study we excluded companies which use AI as an enabler tech. This made a significant difference then the study we did six months ago.
Compared to the same analysis with data from 6 months ago;
Entire Co-Investments Network
Compared to the same analysis with data from 6 months ago;
Overall, the rise of Invest-NL across various sectors highlights its growing influence and strategic importance in the Netherlands' investment ecosystem. BOM and Innovation Quarter also remain critical players, underlining their extensive collaborative strategies.
Conclusion
An interpretation of high degree centrality but low eigenvector centrality:
High Degree Centrality: This VC has co-invested in many rounds with a variety of other VCs. They are very active in terms of collaborations and have a broad network of co-investors.
Low Eigenvector Centrality: Even though this VC is active and collaborates with many other VCs, the VCs they collaborate with are not themselves very central or influential in the overall network. In other words, they frequently co-invest with VCs who have fewer co-investments overall or who don't collaborate with other influential VCs.
The VC in question is very active and likely has a diverse portfolio, given the many co-investments. However, they might be operating more on the periphery of the "main action" in the VC community, co-investing with VCs who aren't the major players or don't have strong influence in the broader VC network. This could suggest a niche focus, a different investment thesis, or a strategy that diverges from the main VC clusters. Alternatively, it could also mean that this VC is newer or is yet to form strong collaborative ties with the most influential VCs in the ecosystem.
Navigational Tips and Traps
While the analysis provides a roadmap, it is essential to tread with caution:
Implications
In the nuanced tapestry of co-investment networks, understanding centrality measures offers a unique lens to discern the patterns, influence, and roles of various investors in different sectors. The updated results compared to six months ago reveal significant shifts, especially with the rise of Invest-NL across multiple sectors.
For Investors: This analysis helps investors identify key players in different sectors, understand their collaborative networks, and make informed decisions about potential partners. Recognizing influential investors and their roles can enhance networks, access better deal flows, and mitigate risks.
For Founders: Founders seeking funding can target well-connected and influential investors in their specific industry. Understanding centrality measures can guide them in approaching investors who not only provide capital but also add strategic value through extensive networks.
For Policy Makers: Policy makers can leverage this analysis to understand the dynamics of the investment ecosystem and identify key players driving innovation and economic growth. By recognizing influential investors and their sectors of focus, policies can be tailored to support and stimulate investment activities, foster collaboration, and drive sectoral development. This approach can also help policy makers to identify funding gaps and market failure, when combined with other methodologies.
By wielding network analysis as a beacon, stakeholders can adeptly traverse the multifaceted investment terrains. Continuous monitoring and adaptive strategies are paramount to staying ahead in the investment arena. The evolving landscape, driven by strategic investments and dynamic collaborations, underscores the need for a keen understanding of co-investment networks and their implications.
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