Cloud computing - short-term and long-term trends

Fancy Wang 1031 2022

The short-term development trend of cloud computing

Before discussing short-term trends in cloud computing, let's take a look at how a product is accepted by the market and becomes popular.

Under the normal market mechanism, the three factors of function, performance and price will play a decisive role in the sales of a product. Among them, the function and performance factors represent the practicality of the product, and the price determines the popularity of the product. Of course, the market mechanism is more complicated, and there are various factors involved, such as marketing strategies, business alliances, ecological construction, company strategies, the emergence of new technologies, etc., which may affect the development trend of this product.

Only the main factors that have a direct impact on consumers, namely functionality, performance and price, are discussed here, and only when these three factors together reach a tipping point will this product gain mass adoption. At the same time, if this product can iterate at the speed expected by the market to improve functions and performance, then it will have a very good trend.

Going back to cloud computing, cloud computing is now in a period of relatively high market acceptance. Small individuals are aware of the importance of cloud computing. At present, its functions and performance have met the market demand, and the price is also decreasing year by year. Overall, the short-term development trends of cloud computing include the following aspects.

• Verticalization: In various vertical fields, due to their individual requirements, public clouds will partially customize them. For example, financial clouds and government affairs clouds have higher security requirements, and cloud vendors will perform more advanced security customization at the physical level.
• Hybrid cloud: After more than ten years of development in two parallel fields, public cloud and private cloud have surpassed private cloud in terms of product abundance and price. However, in terms of data security and legal compliance, private cloud has a short-term The internal cloud cannot be replaced, so the hybrid of public cloud and private cloud has become an inevitable trend at this stage.
• Microservices: Although IaaS has long occupied a large proportion of cloud computing services, in recent years, with the popularity and maturity of the Kubernetes-based microservice model, many users' application services will gradually migrate to the Kubernetes platform.

IoT: As 5G slowly matures, more and more smart devices will be connected to the cloud, and cloud platforms for IoT will flourish.

AI: AI-based intelligent cloud will infiltrate various applications with services.

• Ecologicalization: IaaS and PaaS have basically matured. Especially with the popularity of cloud native, more and more developers will choose cloud platforms for development and deployment. At the same time, around cloud native software vendors, users will gradually form a good ecosystem.

Long-term development trend of cloud computing

We believe that cloud computing will have the following development trends in the next 5-10 years

Cloud computing still exists and will be further enhanced. The reason is still that the von Neumann architecture is difficult to break through, which means that when there are more and more data, the required computing power will become larger and larger, so that the calculation will become more and more centralized, and the data will also be transferred to the calculation. As the center moves closer, this force acts like gravity. This trend changes at two points in time:

Internet speeds increase dramatically to the point when data migration costs are negligible.

When computing and storage costs drop significantly.

New technologies that can increase computing power will explode in the cloud first. The expansion of computing clusters will bring huge challenges to technology, cost, management and even energy consumption, and it also accelerates the rapid iteration of cloud software and hardware.

Any technology that can improve computing power will be applied to the cloud first, because the technology that can improve computing power They will be applied to the cloud first, because only the cloud user base is the most extensive and comprehensive. In the future, applications such as quantum computing and 5G will also appear in the cloud first.

Low prices make cloud computing popular in all aspects of life and truly become a social infrastructure. Cloud development is still on the rise and follows Moore's Law, which means that the price of this unit of computing power will drop year by year, thereby attracting services that were not originally on the cloud, allowing the cloud to gradually penetrate into various fields, including individuals.

Cloud deployment architecture tends to develop from centralized to distributed. The current cloud deployment architecture is concentrated in some physical locations called "regions", and each region is an independent computing unit that is not technically related to each other. Due to the acceleration of the network, the technical connection of various regions will be strengthened in the future.

In addition, the node capabilities of edge computing for various purposes will be greatly enhanced, and these nodes will form a distributed cloud architecture.

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