The Clock Is Ticking: Why German Automakers Are Failing to Keep Pace in the EV Revolution
Dr. Michael Gebert
Believing in a bright future and our ability to build it together.
Lets look at the numbers—they’re hard to ignore. Audi’s electric vehicle sales are down 28%, BMW has dropped 6%, Mercedes has seen a 9% decline, Porsche is down 24%, and Volkswagen is suffering the most with a staggering 58% drop. These aren’t just minor setbacks; they represent a significant downturn for Germany’s automotive giants, particularly in the U.S. market, where competitors like Tesla and Rivian are rapidly pulling ahead.
These aren’t global figures or isolated to emerging markets. These are the third-quarter losses in electric vehicle (EV) sales for Germany's automotive powerhouses in the U.S., where TESLA , Rivian , and Hyundai Motor Company (?????) are leading the charge. It's worth noting that Tesla’s futuristic Cybertruck outsold the combined EV sales of 奥迪 , Mercedes-Benz AG , and Porsche AG in that same period. So what’s happening here? Why are these iconic German brands—synonymous with engineering excellence—falling behind in one of the most crucial markets of the future?
This is more than a sales slump. It’s a wake-up call, and if Germany’s auto industry doesn’t heed it, the consequences will be irreversible.
The Fallacy of the Comfort Zone
Germany’s automakers didn’t just stumble into this situation; they’ve been sleepwalking toward it for years. While rivals were racing ahead in EV technology, many German manufacturers clung to the familiar comfort of combustion engines, fine-tuning internal parts while the rest of the world embraced software-driven innovation. The global pivot toward electric mobility and digital transformation has been crystal clear for some time, but German auto leaders were caught flat-footed.
The reality is harsh: the global EV market is exploding, but the share held by German automakers is now below 10%. Competitors, particularly in the U.S. and China, are scaling rapidly, leaving Germany’s auto giants far behind. Economies of scale and rapid innovation are widening the gap daily. The longer they wait, the harder it will be to catch up. Every day that passes is a lost opportunity, and there’s no magic switch that will reverse this trend overnight.
Dangerous Nostalgia for Combustion Engines
There’s a dangerous narrative floating around Germany—a belief that internal combustion engines (ICEs) might make a comeback. It's a nostalgic fantasy that completely ignores where the global market is heading. Look at the U.S. and China: they’re not slowing down in their transition to electric vehicles. In fact, they’re accelerating. The longer German automakers entertain the notion of a return to ICE dominance, the more they jeopardize their future.
As Stella. Li , BYD EUROPE ′s head, warned, "If the world shifts to electric cars in the next five years and German companies aren’t ready, they’ll be left behind because they didn’t invest when it mattered." Her words ring true, and they should strike fear into the heart of Germany’s auto executives. The global momentum towards EVs is undeniable, and clinging to the past will only ensure that Germany gets left behind in the dust.
The Future is Autonomous—and It’s Already Here
Electric vehicles aren’t the only disruptive force reshaping the automotive landscape. Autonomous driving is the next frontier, and here again, German automakers are trailing far behind. In the U.S. and China, autonomous vehicles are becoming increasingly common, with tech giants like 谷歌 , 英伟达 , 亚马逊 , and Baidu USA leading the charge. These companies aren’t automakers in the traditional sense, but they understand where the future of mobility is headed: toward smart, software-defined, autonomous vehicles.
The German auto industry, with its deep roots in hardware and mechanical excellence, has struggled to adapt to this shift. The expertise needed for autonomous driving—AI, machine learning, cloud computing—doesn’t reside within the walls of traditional car manufacturers. Instead, it lives with the tech giants, who are moving faster and investing more aggressively.
Autonomous driving isn’t some distant science fiction concept—it’s happening now. The longer German automakers take to catch up, the more entrenched the competition will become. If Germany’s automakers continue to sit on the sidelines, they risk missing out on the next big wave in automotive history.
The silent enablers—German media's soft coverage shields Automakers from accountability
The role of the German media in this unfolding crisis can’t be overlooked either. For years, the press has played an inglorious part in softening the blow, often portraying the situation in a more favorable light than it warrants. Whether out of nationalistic idealism or due to the considerable influence of automakers as major advertisers, much of the coverage has been cautious, even optimistic, about the industry's future. Instead of delivering the hard truths about the strategic missteps and technological stagnation, some media outlets have clung to the narrative that German engineering will, eventually, prevail. This reluctance to face the facts has only served to mask the real depth of the problem, enabling automakers to delay the urgent, forward-looking changes that are desperately needed. By failing to critically challenge the industry, the media has contributed to a false sense of security, allowing these iconic brands to slip further behind in the race for the future of mobility. It’s time for the press to ask tougher questions and expose the uncomfortable realities, rather than acting as a protective shield for companies that should be held accountable.
It’s Time to Innovate or Die
The situation is dire, but it’s not hopeless. German automakers still have a chance to reclaim their place at the forefront of the global automotive industry—but only if they act decisively and soon. This isn't the time for incremental improvements or short-term profit thinking. It’s time to fully commit to the future: electric vehicles, autonomous technology, and the digital transformation of mobility.
German automakers need to do more than play catch-up; they need to leapfrog the competition. This means investing heavily in EV production, partnering with tech firms to develop software expertise, and embracing the challenges and opportunities of autonomous driving. Most importantly, it means letting go of the past and fully embracing the future. Nostalgia for combustion engines or dreams of holding onto shrinking market shares in traditional segments will only lead to one thing—obsolescence.
The path forward requires bold, visionary leadership. It requires risk-taking. And most of all, it requires a recognition that the old ways of doing business are no longer enough. The automotive industry is undergoing a seismic shift, and those who fail to adapt will be left behind.
A Call to Action
The message is clear: the future belongs to those who are brave enough to seize it. German automakers have a storied history of innovation, but history alone won’t save them. The world is moving at a breakneck pace, and waiting on the sidelines is not an option.
Executives in boardrooms across Germany need to ask themselves: are we willing to make the tough decisions today that will ensure our survival tomorrow? Are we ready to invest in the technologies that will define the next era of mobility, even if it means short-term sacrifices?
The time to act is now. There won’t be a second chance. If Germany’s automotive industry wants to remain relevant, it must stop looking backward and start driving forward—faster than ever.
In a world where the pace of change is relentless, the greatest risk is standing still. The future is electric, it’s autonomous, and it’s digital. And it's coming whether German automakers are ready or not.
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About the Author: Dr. Michael Gebert is a renowned entrepreneur and executive passionate about innovation, particularly in artificial intelligence. With a keen eye for innovation and a critical approach to technology, Michael explores the intersection of AI and industries, challenging readers to consider the broader implications of technological advancements.
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4 个月I just finished a lecture on "Introduction to Technology Journalism" at the university I teach at. Your article touched on several important points (IMHO) that would have been right at home in my lecture. The pithy statements of first generation Internet leaders are still valid: Software is eating the world, and innovation happens elsewhere.