CO2+Climate=>Panic ...<=>Hope=Solar Cooling ...
Joannes Sevenhans
Alcatel Academy Distinguished Member 2001 ...IEEE Fellow 2000 for contributions to the design of solid state telecommunication transceivers ...PhD 1984 KULeuven ...Semi-retired ...Always looking for a next project ...
Hope is better than panic ...
Panic does not lead to solutions.
Oil is still today the dominant source of energy for world wide modern humanity.
For the inconvenient truth, Al Gore then clearly made himself something like the self-elected president of UCE="United Climate Emergency" instead of president of USA.
To make energy from oil and other fossils you need to burn the carbon hydrides as fossils are chains of carbon atoms C and hydrogen atoms H.
Burning the C-atoms makes CO2=Carbon Dioxide. Burning the H-atoms makes H2O=Water Vapor.
Greenhouse gas number 1 is H2O=WaterVapor=GHG1.
Greenhouse gas number 2 is CO2=CabonDioxide=GHG2.
Al Gore decided to go against GHG2=CO2 instead of going against GHG1=H2O=Water Vapor although fossil energy makes both GHG1 and GHG2 as you can not burn the C-atoms without burning the H-atoms at the same time in the same fire.
But the persistent panic about the modern 1950_CO2_Peak is understandable because the peak correlates with the introduction of plenty of cars and more industrial activity after WW2.
Energy use increased by a factor of +4X=400% and CO2 in the air by a factor 416ppmV/250ppmV=166% and CO2 is still increasing with 2ppmV per year on the Keeling curve measured on the Mauna Loa Volcano since 1958.
The yearly +6ppmV winter CO2-source gets nicely compensated by the yearly -6ppmV summer CO2-sink but still there is the superimposed +2ppmV rising slope on the atmospheric CO2 concentration.
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So world wide nature can absorb and sink 6ppmV CO2 in the yearly NH_summer=SH_winter but the remaining +2ppmV per year says that there is a CO2 source on earth of : +8ppmV=+2ppmV+6ppmV.
Ocean can source CO2 as well as sink CO2, depending on sea surface water temperature.
So :
But :
Conclusion :
As we see the South Pole ocean warming around the Antarctic pole cooling center with pole ice extent gain since half a century, we should not be surprised to see that the above rule W2 applies here although the South Pole center is cooling and the Antarctic pole ice extent gain is the hidden latent heat source for the surrounding polar ocean warming so worsening the Antarctic_CO2_sink by Antarctic Ocean warming as a result of half a century Antarctic ice extent gain.
The +0,8% per decade Antarctic ice extent gain brings hope for solar climate cooling to be in progress ...
Anyway :
In climate science there are too many unanswered questions and too many unquestioned answers ...
But :
Health & Climate & Energy are really very complicated and delicate politico-scientific stuff and also socio-economic stuff but we do the best we can and try to explain it as simple as possible but not simpler than that in the group :
Senior Partner at Mountain Ash Collective
1 年Where did you get the Solar Irradiance graph from and what proxy was used to determine values older than 1950?