Climate Change + Decaying Infrastructure?+?Failure to Plan = Disasters.
In the midst of the worst climate change-induced disaster in the US state of Texas, we are resorting to doing the things we seem to be most adept at doing these days; blaming, shaming and, misinforming. Instead of rushing to provide help and assistance to the people most in need, essentially everyone in Texas right now, leaders are going about sharing false information on a Green New Deal that doesn't exist. And shaming the people who do not have the means to get through the blackouts and water shortages. And most news outlets are just plain wrong about why a broad swathe of Texas has lost power and water. It’s a shame.
The reason why, according to Poweroutage.us, 4.2M Texans have lost power is because of poor infrastructure and bad planning. It’s that simple. I’ve worked in the utility industry for 20 years, in plant operations and technology deployment in power for 17 years and now in technology deployment for water utilities for the last 2 years. I've learned that our ability to kick the can down the road, regarding planning for a future that serves our communities and fixing our infrastructure, is second-to-none. American exceptionalism? Yes, we are exceptional at not addressing the complex issues that are in front of us.
Even as Texas has basked in the innovation of its deregulated electricity markets - where residents could buy power from 100’s of retail electricity marketers/providers -, even as the generation and distribution layers were kept in the hands of a few participants, decision-makers failed to upgrade the distribution and transmission systems. Grifters were allowed to offer perks (free weekends, free car tires, etc) to sign up retail electricity customers and then promptly sold those customers to the next grifter. All the while nothing was done to strengthen the underlying infrastructure required to actually generate and deliver that electricity.
As user demand for power and heat has spiked due to the inclement weather, that infrastructure layer has crumbled under the weight. While some are blaming energy from wind and solar, which provides only ~20% of power in Texas, the statewide power supply (at some points) dropped to ~25%, a catastrophic shortfall that can (and should) be attributed to fossil fuel energy generation infrastructure failure. Texas was minutes away from requiring black starts - starting the grid from zero - that would have lasted a couple of months. But we knew this was coming. This is not the first time ERCOT has had to deal with extreme weather-related outages; there were reports after the February 2011 outages due to (guess) cold weather conditions [PDF]! But even then we didn't think beyond the immediate cash benefits accruable to the retail end of the industry.
One unknown, or ignored, fact about the US is that the treatment and transportation of water account for 20% of energy consumption. That energy consumption number rises as high as 30% in California [PDF]. So what happens when a state loses 75% of its power supply? It stops being able to power the water plants that treat and transport the water residents need to survive. It’s why towns like Pflugerville and Abilene have either issued boil water warnings or shut off water to residents. This situation, lack of potable drinking water in the midst of a winter storm, is a compounding issue in an already dire situation. Most have not paid attention to the fact that the US power system infrastructure is inadequate for addressing the needs of Americans in a world where climate change is worsening. We ignored the news out of California and too quickly forgot the impact of Hurricane Sandy. Meanwhile, the current state of the water industry is worse than the state of the power infrastructure.
As we move forward, let's avoid the tendency to blame, shame, and misinform and instead do the work necessary to bring our systems back up to a level that serves the people. For our collective good...
I build top-tier analytic platforms for infrastructure companies to improve operating margins & de-risk climate investments
3 年Thank you for taking the time & leadership to write up this article. It's shocking how quickly utilities & regulators forget how nearby disasters can also affect them. Wonderful dig up finding that 2011 report which further proves the point. I hope your family & friends were safe during this period, and that you are all beginning the road of recovery.
Experienced operations and consulting executive helping Utility companies realize their digital vision.
3 年Always educating us. Thank you!
Senior Software Engineer, SRE II at Tempus AI
3 年I hope you and your family is able to be safe, Seyi. I'm very sorry to hear about the situation in Texas. Your insights are needed more now than ever before. I completely agree that we all need to work together to build an antifragile grid and resilient systems of infrastructure. It's a necessity to save lives, not a nice-to-have.
Consumer Marketer and Business Builder I Go To Market Leader I DTC, CPG I P&G Alum
3 年I woke up this morning literally asking myself "I wonder what Seyi's perspective is on the disaster in Texas.". Here it is.
Real Time Information and Transaction Specialist
3 年What jumped out at me was .... “One unknown, or ignored, fact about the US is that the treatment and transportation of water account for 20% of energy consumption. That energy consumption number rises as high as 30% in California [PDF]. So what happens when a state loses 75% of its power supply? It stops being able to power the water plants that treat and transport the water residents need to survive.” Why don’t these plants have their own resiliency via backup generation. That would not only ensure the provision of that essential service (at all times like localised network outages not just rare system events) but would support the energy grid in those rare cases of system security events. Bloody ‘ell - Google (and AWS) does it for their data centres abd says that the cost, and crucially, the GHG liability, of diesel backup generation is negligible. Something just doesn’t make sense!