Clearing (Netting) & Settlement: the devil always lurks in the detail
The recent ASX CHESS consultation paper on netting and settlement caught my attention. Why? Well, because it raised some very important changes and raised a few fundamental questions.
Introduction
Issued on February, 21st, the paper describes the new netting and settlement confirmation workflows. Elements of the paper captured my attention (the ‘geek-in-me’), so I thought I’d share some thoughts and some of the key themes that jumped out at me as I read the paper.
Comments are due to be submitted to ASX this week, by Thursday March 18th. I hope some of these comments may be of use to those of you whose job it is to comment on such policy papers, and to those of you who are following this project or just have a curious mind.
Key Points
- Maximizing settlement efficiency is vitally important (YES, obviously)
- Ensuring there are legally enforceable default arrangements in place in a netting market is critically important (YES, without doubt)
- Is ASX creating an international precedent in the distributed ledger space? If so, will the proposed new netting and settlement workflows be robust enough to withstand pressure from a motivated administrator or liquidator, whose priorities may be diametrically opposed to those of a settlement system operator and market counterparties (Ugh? Don’t know)
- Why make the change in direction now? (Not sure, the timing is surprising, but it clearly relates to volume processing considerations).
Background
Netting by novation, with proper set-off (of broker/broker contracts) has been a key feature of the Australian settlement system for a very long time. Netting by novation pre-dates CHESS, launched in 1994.
Giving effect to ‘set-off’ of open settlement obligations, by electronically netting each broker’s net securities and net money position against the central counter party (originally called TNSC) was generally understood to be a critical risk management feature of the settlement system. Offsetting legally novated contracts is, as I understand it, important to prevent a liquidator or administrator from cherry picking (favorble) open trades in the event of a broker default. There is important case law that deals with this type of issue. It isn't unique to Australia. ASX will likely be aware of these.
What's incredibly interesting from my perspective about ASX’s consultation document, is it explains how ASX initially designed and built netting by novation with contractual offset into the new CHESS Replacement platform (as one might expect following three decades of legal and operational practice) yet ASX is now in the process of re-calibrating (“unpicking”) the design to remove this set-off feature. Why?
Instead, as I read it, ASX proposes to leave gross, or line-by-line, broker/broker settlement obligations in new CHESS (acknowledging they will be novated under the new, yet-to-be-published settlement rules), relying only on ‘reporting’ to convey the net settlement positions. Without a clear understanding of the new rules that will govern these new workflow processes, it is very hard for anyone to truly comment on the veracity of this new netting proposal. From the outside looking in, this new workflow feels like it might be no more effective than simple administrative netting. This is something expert legal advisors will need to take look at ‘early on’.
My 'quick and dirty' analysis – and a few questions
Putting the timing of this change aside (remember, less than 12 months ago, the new CHESS platform was due to go live in just 3 or 4 weeks time, in April, 2021), meaning participants and systems providers will likely now need to do-over core parts of their back-office settlement workflows, and their upgraded interfaces to new CHESS.
The proposal raises a number of fundamental questions (for others to answer, in particular the securities, exchange and insolvency legal experts):
- What's the core driver forcing this change in systems design of the netting and pre-settlement process (especially this very late stage in the overall design of the CHESS replacement system)?
- The consultation document notes there is no international precedent for this specific new approach to netting, though it follows the general themes of netting systems (See s5.3, page 27). Why exactly is that the case? Stakeholders should surely seek to better understand why?
- Is this new process legally robust enough to withstand challenges and claims from a highly motivated administrator or liquidator? This is, after all, the overarching rationale for ensuring netting is legally enforceable, sound and robust. Plenty has been written about the need for legal certainty in netting systems; e.g. by central banks, the G30, BIS and IOSCO etc..
- Could ASX revert to its original netting design, should legal ‘set-off’ become necessary to protect the integrity of the new settlement system? It may not be necessary, as ASX appears to be signaling through this consultation, but it is hard to get comfortable looking at the overall system, its design and operation, without a very clear understanding of the overall legal framework that will govern ASX’s proposed netting and the settlement workflows, and its effectiveness to withstand challenge.
- Is the new system also morphing into a continuous netting system? And if so, is this a progressive step to modernize the settlement process? And might other issues flow from such a change? For example, what impact will it have on failed transactions and short positions in the market, if any?
Summary
It’s very hard to form a clear view of ASX’s proposed new netting solution without a deep understanding of the proposed operating rules. These won’t follow for some months.
I am not a lawyer, but it seems to me this new proposal, on the surface, represents a significant departure from the accepted norm (in Australia) of over three decades. Why that’s the case is not completely clear. Will the proposed new workflow create a global precedent for netting pre-settlement obligations on a ‘distributed ledger’? Or might it be a consequence of a technology that may not readily scale up to ‘net’ peak trade volumes (and with sufficient headroom to further scale up to a multiple of the March '20 peak), noting that the '20 peak was itself a significant multiple of the prior peaks when 'distributed ledger' technology was first considered and commissioned for the CHESS Replacement Project in 2016/17?
Whether the netting proposal will deliver both the efficiency and integrity needs of the Australian market remains to be seen. Without the proposed rules it is hard for anyone (even ASX) to deliver certainty, at this stage. As such, this seems like an important area where all key stakeholders, including securities and insolvency lawyers, and indeed ASX's regulators may need to dig deeper to test the robustness of the new system from a legal as well as an operational perspective --- assuming it isn't already obvious how it'll work under pressure from a motivated administrator. In any event, its best for some of us to ask the questions now, just in case.
I trust these comments are helpful to that group of people across the market whose job it is to comment on market structure change, regulatory proposals, new technology, new workflows and / or new operating rules.
Feel free to reach out to me by direct message if you'd like to discuss any of the points above.
Thanks for reading, if you got this far...
Paul Conn
President, Global Capital Markets | Capital Markets Expert
2 年Having another read of this post. It seems pretty clear, looking back, the proposed late change in #netting #functionality was a 'red flag' (2 years ago). It is fascinating to read the report prepared by Accenture that essentially says - if I understand it correctly - that the proposed system fails, caps out, however you'd like to phrase it (e.g. certain non-functional elements fail) at 100,000 net settlements. At these levels, ASX would theoretically need to halve the number of trades it facilitates each day. That would require a significant step back in time. Alternatively, trades done in the morning could be ok for net settlement on the ledger, but trades done in the afternoon would need an alternate settlement approach. Not being serious here, obviously --- just for context. This project will definitely be a case study, sadly for all the wrong reasons. Writing this reminds me of that old adage, “The more things change the more they stay the same,” coined in 1849 by French author, Jean-Baptiste?Alphonse Karr. #scalability #resilience #redflag Access "the Accenture report" here. https://www2.asx.com.au/content/dam/asx/markets/clearing-and-settlement-services/asx-chess-replacement-application-delivery-review-2022.pdf
Georgeson - Managing Director, Australia & New Zealand
4 年High level comments from Stockbrokers and Financial Advisers Association “SAFAA is concerned that this fundamental change is being implemented at such a late stage in the CHESS replacement project, only two years prior to go live date. We understand that the proposed change is a reinvention of the way the system operates and will require significant changes to systems, processes and work that has already been completed by participants and that will need to be redone. In turn, this introduces additional costs. Furthermore, all additional change at this stage in the project incurs additional delivery risk.” https://mk0safaabplrha3fkjo.kinstacdn.com/wp-content/uploads/Final_Submission_Netting_settlement_170321.pdf
Author, Consultant, Dr. Business Administration
4 年Paul Conn Remember in the mists of time (ASX 2018 Macquarie Australia Conference, Sydney) the CEO said the Chess Replacement would go-live "late 2020 -early 2021" That is the project should be live by now! Now that was always a joke (except to #ASX) but it is interesting that potential problems with netting volumes were never mentioned. Is that because the #ASX Board and Management didn't actually know what they were doing in 2018? Do they 'know' now?
Finance. Post Trade. Blockchain.
4 年Hi Paul - always interesting to look at how things have moved on... It seems to me that there is no change proposed to the novation process, and therefore to the legal standing of each party; rather, it is proposed that a complex report be replaced by a simpler one. How the clearing house accounts for it internally (by keeping track of individual trades, as is proposed; or by replacing them with a "merged" trade, as it does now), makes no difference to each party's position, once novation has taken place. And while I am no expert, I do believe it brings it closer to global practice, and allows for greater granularity in risk management analytics. Best, Francois