Clean Energy Competitive Race: US vs China
Tariqullah Khan
Managing Director, VentureEthica |Circular-ESG| Sustainability Transition Management, Islamic Economy & Finance
In an era where clean energy is poised to shape the future of economic prosperity and environmental health, the U.S. stands at a crossroads. The country has spent years investing in green technology through public and private initiatives, helping fuel the growth of American innovators like Tesla and other clean energy companies. But as U.S. companies lead in technological advancements, they now face an unprecedented challenge: competing with China, which is rapidly positioning itself as the global leader in green technologies. For America to stay competitive, it is essential that policymakers understand the economic implications of supporting green tech and act decisively to ensure the U.S. does not lose its edge.
The Market Opportunity
The clean energy sector represents one of the largest economic opportunities of the 21st century. According to the International Energy Agency, the global market for clean energy technologies — including electric vehicles (EVs), solar panels, inverters, wind turbines, carbon capturing, hydrogen technologies and energy storage systems and infrastructures — is expected to be worth $1.2 trillion annually by 2030. This sector has potential for substantial job creation, technological advancement, and economic growth. From energy independence to environmental stewardship, green technology isn’t just a moral imperative but a crucial pathway for economic strength and security.
However, China is moving aggressively to dominate this market. The Chinese government has implemented long-term subsidies, extensive financing, and strategic planning to accelerate green technology development and manufacturing. Chinese companies already control 80% of the global solar supply chain and lead in battery production and EV sales, often undercutting American products on price due to massive state support. While American firms have seen successes — thanks in large part to U.S. subsidies, incentives, and a market-friendly innovation and regulatory environment — this head start could quickly vanish without continued support and policy uncertainty.
Policies Matters
The clean energy race is not just about environmental commitments; it’s about securing the future of high-paying, high-skilled jobs and ensuring that the U.S. remains economically competitive. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which includes billions in incentives for renewable energy, represents a powerful first step. Yet policy instability threatens the momentum created by this legislation. As new administrations can alter the course of green technology support, companies are left uncertain about the future, which can inhibit investment and innovation.
China, on the other hand, is outpacing the U.S. not just with government incentives but with a clear, unwavering commitment to securing dominance in the clean energy sector. Through a blend of subsidies, industrial planning, and foreign investment, China has managed to achieve economies of scale that allow its green tech products to flood global markets at competitive prices. In the EV sector, for instance, Chinese companies like BYD and CATL have emerged as powerful players. Without consistent U.S. support for domestic manufacturers, the U.S. risks ceding control of these high-growth industries to Chinese competitors.
?Economics of Leadership in Green Technology
Support for green technology in the U.S. isn’t about “picking winners”; it’s about understanding economic trends and investing in the future. For every dollar spent on green tech subsidies, there is a potential multiplier effect — from job creation and technological advancement to long-term energy savings and improved environmental health. The economic benefits of a robust green technology sector extend beyond the obvious — they ripple into other industries, from mining for rare earth materials to advanced research and development in energy storage and smart grid technology.
Furthermore, green technology industries are critical for securing America’s energy independence. Transitioning to renewable energy means reducing reliance on foreign oil and gas, which comes with economic and geopolitical benefits. A U.S. economy less reliant on fossil fuels is one more resilient to global supply chain shocks, international conflicts, and the volatile pricing of traditional energy sources.
How America Can Compete
To secure America’s place in the global green technology landscape, policymakers must take a long-term view. This involves more than offering tax credits or temporary subsidies. There is a need for comprehensive policies that support all stages of green technology development, from research and innovation to manufacturing and deployment.
Stable and Long-Term Subsidies:
Creating a stable environment for green tech investments will enable companies to plan. This stability attracts private capital, encourages public-private partnerships, and builds confidence within the industry.
R&D Investment:
The U.S. government has a history of funding research that fuels private innovation, as seen with the internet and GPS. Expanding funding for clean tech R&D can lead to breakthroughs that set American companies apart from competitors.
Workforce Development:
As green technology becomes a larger part of the economy, America must ensure it has a skilled workforce ready to lead. This means investing in STEM education and green job training programs.
Supply Chain Resilience:
Developing domestic supply chains for critical materials, like lithium and rare earth elements, reduces dependence on imports and ensures we have access to the resources needed for green tech manufacturing.
International Collaboration:
Competing with China doesn’t mean isolating the U.S. Partnerships with other countries committed to clean energy can create new markets for American technology and help counterbalance China’s influence.
Looking Ahead
The stakes are high, and America has a choice: continue to lead the way in green technology or watch as other nations, especially China, reap the economic rewards. This is not just an environmental issue; it’s a matter of economic stability, market share and presence in global marketplace. America’s leadership in green technology is within reach, but only if the U.S. recognizes the importance of consistent, strategic support for the industry.
?In short, the clean energy race is on. For the U.S., the time to act is now — not just to compete with China but to secure its own economic future. If the U.S. didn’t invest in this future, it risks falling behind in one of the most important technological transformations of our time.