Change Underway -Hitting the ground running ..

Change Underway -Hitting the ground running ..

The Results are In in both the UK and now in France with potential deadlock..

The Labour Government is hitting the ground running, with a number of levers needing to be pulled, and finding out how constrained the resources are.

The timings are rough at this stage but a few guidelines are starting to appear .

Parliament is due to reconvene on Tuesday, with The Kings Speech on the 17th July, and the first Prime Ministers Questions on the 24th July. Parliamentary Recess looks to be from July 31st till 2nd September and the Labour Government budget looks set to be in Mid September.

The early wish list for action is long....and we can expect early signs of intent.

NHS (now deemed to be broken) https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/statement-from-the-secretary-of-state-for-health-and-social-care

Housing .. Likely to be early moves/statements on Planning announced very quickly so that Housing can be increased .. and the moves in planning will extend to other areas..

Industry/Investment .. Investment summit due in the near term to indicate potential opportunities for public private investment. Early issue Steel Subsidies at Port Talbot

Energy ..Huge policy area and all sorts of potential opportunities and first steps and initial direction keenly awaited ..GB Energy etc. Interesting discussion paper on Climate Policy as Social Policy and expect to hear more on this this week.

Also sowing the seed of the thought of Climate Policy as Social Policy

https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s13412-024-00955-9.pdf

Immigration .. Rwanda Policy is dead in the water and alternatives awaited. Early statement already appeared.

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/home-secretary-launches-new-border-security-command

Defence & Europe ..Nato Summit this week and the relations with Europe also being watched . https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-defence-secretary-pledges-to-step-up-support-for-ukraine-on-visit-to-odesa

https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/its-time-to-reset-britains-relations-with-europe-article-by-david-lammy

Transport ....Rail one of the many issues to be targeted


Mapping the Change

which might illustrate some of the pressures the Labour Government will face.

The changing colours in the UK

London sees the removal of the Conservatives entirely from central london for the first time. Expectations will be high that some early low hanging fruit can be be targeted.


London Calling

Scotland saw a dramatic change in fortunes with a violent swing from the SNP (losing 39 of 48 seats ) and swinging to Labour. The SNP moved from 1st to a distant 2nd, The Conservatives from 2nd to 4th, and Labour from 4th to 1st. All eyes are now on the Scottish Parliament Elections in 2026 where the SNP have a lead to defend.

It now looks like an SNP Highland sandwich and notably being removed from both Edinburgh and Glasgow

Both the SNP and Conservatives have scour through the wreckage of the hefty defeats which may take time. The Greens and Reform will bed down their seats and the Liberals clearly have a much stronger third party position to build on.

Wales.. Conservatives eliminated completely losing 12 seats.

Wales.. Red for Labour , Green for Plaid, And Orange for the Liberals


Labour now has the most seats in England, Scotland and Wales and early visits by the PM are taking place.

There will be a flood of announcements to follow up on.

France -- The left wing manages to get its act together and looks like being the biggest party. Negotiations on how to form a government will get underway which could be protracted, noting three separate major blocks.


The Second round map is more colourful than the first

A busy few weeks lies ahead.

Philip Kerr













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