Is cash really king?
Chris Treadwell
Head of Asset Management at Nextius Capital | Ex-military | 2 PWRR
It still amazes me how many investors and developers scrap around for cash last minute in order to seize an opportunity and complete on a transaction. It causes fear, panic and emotional decisions that don't always work out for the best - overpaying for land is the best example.
It's fully understandable that opportunities arise at the eleventh-hour and cash is not always readily available. Well, what if it could be with more planning? In answer to my own question, it can.
These points may seem basic to individuals working in finance but we have to remember this is what we do day in, day out. So if it's common sense then why doesn't every investor and developer adopt these principles? It's not rocket science. If you have been operating a successful development business in a similar fashion over the past 10 years, it won't necessarily change over night.
The one fundamental difference now is many 'younger' developers didn't feel the last financial crash or experience soaring inflation. It's now 9.1% - far beyond the Bank of England's 2% target rate. Personally, I was insulated by the British Army and felt zero impact whatsoever. In actual fact, I remembering wondering why so many people were queuing up outside Northern Rock on Bromley High Street. Still slightly embarrassed actually at my naivety. To be fair Wetherspoons was still open so every cloud...
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A few common points to ponder on:
With expensive land, increased build costs, a labour shortage, soaring inflation and a looming recession. Liquidity and more cash in the bank surely makes sense to combat unforeseen cost overruns or to simply seize opportunities that arise when others fail?
Ray Dalio believes "cash is still trash". Well, unless you're worth $22,000,000,000 and you're an SME developer, then cash is pretty important.
"Cash is king in uncertain times".
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2 年Every developer in the land should read number 3 on your list. Every funder in the land will hate number 3 on your list. No other business sector in the world would accept as normal an "equity cost" on a project by project basis. No other sector would ever give away 50% plus costs of their profits for delivering any product. SO WHY SHOULD DEVELOPERS GIVE AWAY 50% OF THE RETURN ON EVERY BRICK THEY USE. ITS NOT EQUITY! Its a scam designed to maximise funders profits! And it turns Developers into mere Project Managers for the lending institutions!