Bulk Annuity Market Update 26/06/23

Bulk Annuity Market Update 26/06/23

As we approach the mid-point of 2023, the BPA market continues to be very active, and there have been a couple of key regulatory updates in the last week or so. Here's a round-up of the key headlines from the last couple of weeks. As always, please do reach out if there's anything below that you'd like to discuss.

People News

There have been a number of team announcements across insurers over recent weeks including:

Transactions

Current market expectations are for record volumes of £45bn-£60bn over the full year 2023.

Since my last update, there have a been a few further publicly announced transactions which have taken place

Investment News

PIC have completed the UK’s largest urban regeneration project by completing the topping out of the construction of 500 sustainable waterfront apartments at Miller’s Quay. The development cost £130m and includes 100 affordable homes, which has been funded by PIC. Following completion, Wirral Council will lease the building for 50 years providing annual rent which increases linked to inflation. These cashflows will help to pay the pensions of PIC’s policyholders over the next 50 years.

L&G completed their first Build to Rent investment in Northern Ireland with this being the largest real estate investment in Belfast for two decades. L&G highlighted the regions rising demand and the need for high-quality residential property.

Regulatory News

The PRA have published a “Dear CRO” letter summarising findings of their preliminary thematic review into Funded Reinsurance. In summary the PRA has raised a number of material concerns with funded reinsurance as it is being used in the bulk annuity market, including issues with collateral valuation and risk limits. We expect firms to be re-evaluating their risk management practices here and potentially changing how they use funded reinsurance going forward.

HM Treasury has published draft regulations to reform Solvency II, which is the first time we have seen a legal text of reinsurance reform. The draft rules confirm that:

  • The risk margin changes will be effective from the end of 2023, and will see the calculation updated to use a 4% cost of capital and to add a “lambda” taper factor of 90% for life insurance business, subject to a floor of 25%
  • Wording on asset cash flows for MA eligibility has been updated to state that cash flows must be fixed except “where the risks of the quality of matching are not material” and “where only a limited proportion of the portfolio as determined by the PRA is affected”. This would appear to pave the way for “highly predictable” cash flow assets to be included in the portfolio
  • The rules around revoking the MA if a breach isn’t resolved within 2 months has been softened to allow more flexibility to the PRA in dealing with breaches (i.e. the PRA may or may not revoke and can decide to impose a lower MA benefit for a time period of its choosing)
  • The calculation of the fundamental spread has had several changes which appear to be setting up firms to move away from data provided by the regulator and able/required to use a wider range of data in setting the FS. It is also specified that “at the option of the insurance or reinsurance undertaking” the fundamental spread may be increased to ensure it covers all retained risks.
  • The PRA is given several powers to make rules, including the conditions under which a firm is eligibkle to apply the MA and to determine the definition of “material” when considering assets with highly predictable cash flows

Other News

The CMI (part of the IFoA) has published the latest of its mortality projection models (CMI_2022) which are the industry standard model used in calibrating future life expectancies for BPA scheme members. As expected, the “standard calibration” of the model will see life expectancies reduce by c. 6-7 months compared to the previous model. Insurers will typically use a bespoke calibration of the model, however the standard calibration is usually a good guide to the direction of life expectancies used by providers in the market

Owen Griffiths

Senior Manager & BPA Proposition Lead

1 年

Nice one Chris!

回复
Douglas Anderson

Helping businesses serving the silver economy to find valuable new longevity insights

1 年

Thanks Chris. A great round-up of developments, as ever.

Ilona Roberts

Pension Risk Transfer

1 年

Really interesting, thanks Chris!

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