BRICS Expansion 2024: How the Growing Economic Bloc Aims to Reshape Global Finance
Firuz Alimov
Strategic Visionary | Operational Expert | Global Business Connector | Building Bridges for Growth and Innovation
Introduction
The BRICS economic alliance has marked a pivotal transformation in 2024, evolving from its original five-nation configuration into an expanded bloc that now commands unprecedented global economic influence. This strategic enlargement represents a calculated move to establish a more robust counterweight to traditional Western-dominated financial institutions. With the integration of Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, and the United Arab Emirates, BRICS has effectively positioned itself as the predominant voice of the Global South, now representing an impressive 50% of the world's population and controlling more than a quarter of global GDP.
The bloc's economic footprint has grown substantially, with member states collectively wielding greater influence than the G7 nations in terms of population representation and resource control. While the G7 economies account for 44% of global economic output, they represent merely 10% of the world's population – a stark contrast to BRICS' more comprehensive demographic reach. This disparity highlights the shifting balance of global economic power, particularly as emerging markets continue to gain momentum in international trade and financial systems.
The expansion has strategically incorporated nations with significant economic potential and natural resource wealth. From Iran's vast energy reserves to the UAE's financial hub status, Ethiopia's rapid growth trajectory, and Egypt's strategic geographic position, each new member brings unique strengths to the alliance. This diversification of economic capabilities has strengthened BRICS' collective bargaining power in global markets and enhanced its ability to influence international economic policies.
The alliance's financial cooperation has reached new heights, with the BRICS New Development Bank emerging as a crucial institution for member states' development initiatives. Since its inception in 2015, the bank has facilitated nearly $33 billion in loans, demonstrating the bloc's commitment to creating alternative funding mechanisms outside traditional Western-dominated institutions. Trade between member states has experienced remarkable growth, surging more than 50% since 2017, indicating increasing economic integration and cooperation within the bloc.
Notably, BRICS has embarked on ambitious initiatives to reduce global dependence on the US dollar, with member states actively exploring mechanisms for conducting trade in local currencies. This push for de-dollarization is complemented by efforts to establish an alternative to the SWIFT international payment system, aiming to create more autonomous financial infrastructure for member states. The development of local currency credit lines through the New Development Bank is particularly significant for small and medium-sized enterprises, reducing transaction costs and facilitating more efficient cross-border trade.
The bloc's strategic initiatives extend beyond financial systems, encompassing crucial infrastructure and trade developments. Russia's promotion of the Arctic Sea Route as an alternative transportation corridor, Iran's proposed energy transportation network, and the establishment of a new Grain Exchange demonstrate BRICS' commitment to creating comprehensive economic alternatives. These initiatives aim to establish fair and predictable price indicators for raw materials while reducing dependence on traditional Western-controlled trade routes and mechanisms.
Despite its expanding influence, BRICS operates on a consensus-based approach that acknowledges and accommodates the diverse interests of its member states. This governance model, while potentially limiting the speed of decision-making, ensures that the alliance maintains its non-aligned, non-confrontational stance while pursuing its objectives. The bloc's relationship with other international bodies, particularly the G20, reflects its pragmatic approach to global economic governance, seeking complementary rather than antagonistic roles in the international financial system.
The addition of new members has necessitated careful balancing of priorities and interests within the alliance. Rather than diminishing its effectiveness, this diversity has encouraged BRICS to identify and focus on common denominators that unite member states while maintaining flexibility on areas of divergence. This approach has enabled the bloc to present a unified voice on key international issues while accommodating the varying economic and political priorities of its expanded membership.
Looking ahead, BRICS faces both opportunities and challenges in its quest to reshape the global economic order. With additional nations including Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Turkey expressing interest in membership, the bloc's influence appears set to grow further. This expansion trajectory, combined with increasing trade volumes and financial cooperation among member states, positions BRICS as a significant force in shaping the evolution of international economic governance and the transition toward a more multipolar world order.
BRICS Expansion and New Membership
The BRICS bloc, originally formed by Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, has grown significantly since its inception. What began as a loose grouping of five major emerging economies has transformed into a significant global force, representing a major share of both the world's population and economic output.
In 2024, BRICS undertook a significant expansion, incorporating four new members: Iran, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Ethiopia, and Egypt. These additions underscore the bloc's commitment to uniting nations of the Global South and strengthening cooperation among emerging economies. Each of these new members brings strategic value, not just in terms of economic power but also in terms of political influence and natural resources.
- Iran, with its vast energy reserves, particularly oil and natural gas, offers an important strategic resource base for BRICS, complementing existing members like Russia and Brazil.
- The UAE, a major financial hub and a significant player in global energy markets, adds both wealth and geopolitical importance, particularly in terms of bridging the Middle East and Asia.
- Ethiopia and Egypt represent Africa's growing influence in global economics, with Ethiopia being one of the fastest-growing economies on the continent and Egypt holding significant sway over the Suez Canal, one of the world’s most critical maritime routes.
As BRICS expands, potential future members include Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Turkey. Saudi Arabia, with its dominant position in global oil markets, could further strengthen BRICS’ energy capabilities, while Turkey’s strategic location at the crossroads of Europe and Asia, and its growing economy, would add a critical geopolitical dimension. Malaysia and Thailand, as key players in Southeast Asia, offer strong regional influence, diversified economies, and growing trade ties with both China and India, key BRICS members.
The bloc’s expansion has sparked comparisons with other major economic groups, particularly the G7. While the G7 nations—comprising the United States, Canada, Japan, Germany, France, Italy, and the United Kingdom—represent advanced economies with high per capita income, BRICS is distinguished by its representation of emerging markets and developing economies, which together hold immense potential for future growth. In terms of sheer population size, BRICS now represents more than 50% of the global population, vastly outstripping the G7. Economically, BRICS accounts for over 25% of global GDP, and this share is poised to grow as the new members integrate into the bloc’s initiatives.
This widening gap in representation between the developed and developing world in global economic forums highlights BRICS’ ambition to challenge the established economic order dominated by the G7, signaling a shift towards a more multipolar world economy.
Key Economic Objectives
As BRICS expands, one of its core objectives is to reshape the global economic landscape by addressing long-standing concerns of emerging economies, particularly the dominance of the US dollar in international trade and finance. This objective has gained greater urgency in light of recent geopolitical shifts and growing calls for economic multipolarity. In this context, BRICS is pursuing a series of initiatives aimed at reducing dependence on the US dollar, developing alternative payment systems, promoting local currency settlements, and enhancing the role of the New Development Bank (NDB) as a key financial institution for the Global South.
Reducing US Dollar Dependence
The global financial system is largely anchored by the US dollar, with a significant portion of international trade and financial transactions conducted in this currency. This dominance has provided the United States with unparalleled leverage over the global economy, as well as the ability to impose economic sanctions that can have far-reaching consequences. For many BRICS members and other emerging economies, this has been a point of vulnerability. Over-reliance on the US dollar exposes their economies to fluctuations in US monetary policy, which can trigger inflationary pressures or capital flight. Additionally, the use of the dollar in trade settlements often leads to higher transaction costs, currency mismatches, and increased dependence on US-controlled financial institutions.
BRICS’ goal of de-dollarization is designed to mitigate these risks. The idea is not to eliminate the US dollar entirely from the global system but rather to offer alternative pathways for trade and financial transactions that reduce reliance on a single currency. This is particularly important for BRICS countries like China and Russia, which have been vocal advocates for a more diversified global monetary system. By encouraging trade in local currencies, BRICS aims to give member states more control over their economic policies, reduce exposure to external financial shocks, and limit the geopolitical leverage of the US over their economies.
Development of Alternative Payment Systems
At the heart of this effort to reduce dollar dependence is the development of alternative payment systems. BRICS nations have recognized that the existing international payment system, dominated by the US and Europe, is inherently skewed towards the interests of developed economies. The Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT), a global messaging network that facilitates cross-border payments, is one such system that BRICS seeks to diversify away from.
In recent years, the weaponization of SWIFT as a tool for economic sanctions—particularly in the case of Russia—has highlighted its vulnerabilities. In response, BRICS countries are working on developing their own mechanisms for international payments. Russia has already launched the SPFS (System for Transfer of Financial Messages), its alternative to SWIFT, while China has developed the CIPS (Cross-Border Interbank Payment System) to settle international payments in yuan. These initiatives are part of a broader BRICS agenda to ensure that member states have access to secure and independent payment infrastructures that are insulated from external political pressures.
A major focus of BRICS' efforts in this area is to establish a network of interconnected payment systems across member countries. By creating a BRICS-wide framework for cross-border transactions, these nations can reduce their reliance on Western financial infrastructures and facilitate trade within the bloc. Over time, these alternative systems may evolve into a more robust global framework for international payments, offering a viable alternative to SWIFT for other countries as well.
SWIFT Alternative Exploration
Exploring a SWIFT alternative is not just about creating new payment platforms; it is also about enhancing the resilience of the global financial system by reducing vulnerabilities to disruptions. BRICS nations have frequently been at the receiving end of economic sanctions, especially Russia and Iran, which have found themselves excluded from the SWIFT network in recent years. Such actions disrupt the smooth flow of cross-border payments, hinder trade, and create uncertainty in global markets.
A BRICS alternative to SWIFT would involve integrating national systems, such as Russia’s SPFS and China’s CIPS, into a more cohesive framework that could be used by all BRICS members. This would not only strengthen economic ties within the bloc but also create opportunities for BRICS countries to extend this system to other non-Western economies that seek independence from the dollar-dominated financial order. Additionally, the BRICS alternative could offer lower transaction costs and faster settlement times, further incentivizing its adoption by businesses and governments alike.
Local Currency Settlement Promotion
A critical component of de-dollarization and financial autonomy is the promotion of local currency settlement within BRICS. By encouraging the use of local currencies in trade between member states, BRICS can avoid the exchange rate volatility and transaction costs associated with converting local currencies into US dollars for trade.
China and Russia have already begun conducting significant portions of their bilateral trade in yuan and ruble, reducing their need for US dollars in energy and commodity transactions. Brazil has also expressed interest in conducting trade with China, its largest trading partner, in yuan. The goal is to expand this model across the BRICS network and beyond, encouraging all members to settle more of their trade in local currencies.
This shift to local currency settlements not only lowers costs but also enhances economic resilience by reducing exposure to external financial shocks. It allows countries to manage their trade imbalances more effectively, align monetary policies more closely with domestic economic conditions, and build up reserves in their own currencies rather than relying on the dollar. Over time, this could lead to the gradual erosion of the US dollar's global hegemony, creating a more balanced international monetary system.
New Development Bank Initiatives
The New Development Bank (NDB), established in 2015 as part of the BRICS framework, plays a pivotal role in supporting the bloc’s economic objectives. The NDB was founded with the mission of providing financial assistance to emerging economies for infrastructure and sustainable development projects, with a particular focus on supporting the BRICS countries themselves.
Since its inception, the NDB has approved over $33 billion in loans for projects across its member states, ranging from renewable energy to transportation infrastructure. One of the key objectives of the bank is to provide an alternative to traditional Western-dominated financial institutions such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which have often imposed restrictive conditions on loans. The NDB offers a more flexible and less politically driven source of funding for developing economies, helping them finance critical projects without becoming overly dependent on Western capital.
Looking ahead, the NDB is likely to play an even greater role in BRICS' efforts to promote financial autonomy. The bank is expected to expand its lending capacity, offering credit lines in local currencies and supporting cross-border infrastructure projects that strengthen trade ties within BRICS and beyond. For example, the NDB could play a key role in financing the development of alternative transport routes, such as the Arctic Sea Route, and energy transportation networks, both of which are strategic priorities for the bloc. By mobilizing resources from across the BRICS nations, the NDB has the potential to serve as a key engine for economic development in the Global South, further cementing BRICS' role in the global financial system.
The key economic objectives of BRICS—reducing dependence on the US dollar, developing alternative payment systems, promoting local currency settlements, and expanding the role of the New Development Bank—are all part of a broader strategy to reshape global finance. By pursuing these initiatives, BRICS aims to reduce the economic vulnerabilities of its members, strengthen intra-bloc trade, and create a more balanced and multipolar global economic order.
Economic Significance
The expanding BRICS bloc is rapidly becoming a cornerstone of the global economy, with its economic significance growing exponentially. The five original members—Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa—already commanded a significant share of the world’s population and gross domestic product (GDP), but the inclusion of new members in 2024 and the possibility of future expansions have further elevated BRICS’ importance on the world stage. With over 50% of the global population now represented and a combined GDP exceeding 25% of global output, BRICS is emerging as a powerful counterbalance to the established economic powers of the Global North.
Population Representation (50% of Global Population)
One of the most striking features of the BRICS alliance is the sheer size of its population. With the 2024 expansion, BRICS countries now collectively represent 50% of the global population, giving the bloc a demographic heft unmatched by any other economic group. This vast population base offers enormous potential in terms of both labor markets and consumer demand.
India and China, the two most populous countries in the world, anchor this demographic power. Together, they account for over 2.8 billion people, with massive labor forces that drive their manufacturing and service sectors. Countries like Brazil and South Africa add to this mix with their youthful populations and growing middle classes, while new members such as Ethiopia bring in a rapidly expanding population and one of the fastest-growing economies in Africa.
This population advantage gives BRICS a unique ability to influence global labor markets, consumer trends, and technological development. As these countries continue to industrialize and urbanize, their growing middle classes are becoming increasingly important drivers of global consumption. Companies and investors around the world are paying close attention to these emerging markets, recognizing that the future of global economic growth may well be driven by the populations within the BRICS bloc.
GDP Share (>25% of Global GDP)
BRICS’ economic clout is equally impressive when it comes to GDP share. As of 2024, the combined GDP of the BRICS nations exceeds 25% of global GDP, a figure that will likely increase as the new members integrate their economies with the existing BRICS framework. This positions BRICS as a formidable economic bloc on par with traditional powerhouses such as the G7.
China’s GDP, the largest within BRICS, is the second-largest in the world, trailing only the United States. India follows closely behind, with its economy projected to grow faster than most other major economies in the coming decades. Russia, despite facing sanctions and economic challenges, remains a key player due to its vast energy resources and technological capabilities. Brazil, with its agricultural might and industrial base, continues to anchor South America’s economy, while South Africa remains the most industrialized economy in Africa.
The addition of new members like Iran and the UAE enhances this economic diversity. Iran’s economy, while still constrained by sanctions, has the potential to grow significantly as it integrates with the BRICS bloc, particularly in the energy sector. The UAE, as a global financial and trading hub, brings immense wealth and access to Middle Eastern markets, further boosting BRICS' global influence.
This growing GDP share enables BRICS to exert more influence over global trade policies, negotiations, and economic governance. It also positions the bloc as a critical player in shaping the future of global economic governance, especially in areas like trade regulation, monetary policy, and financial reform.
Natural Resource Advantages
In addition to its demographic and economic power, BRICS possesses an abundance of natural resources, making it a vital player in global supply chains. The member states are rich in essential resources, including energy, minerals, agriculture, and raw materials. This abundance gives BRICS significant leverage in sectors such as energy, agriculture, and commodities—key drivers of the global economy.
- Russia and Iran are major exporters of oil and natural gas, crucial for global energy security. Russia holds some of the largest natural gas reserves in the world, while Iran possesses vast oil reserves. Together, they offer BRICS critical leverage in the energy markets, especially as global demand for energy continues to rise.
- Brazil is a powerhouse in agriculture, being one of the largest exporters of soybeans, sugar, coffee, and beef. Its vast fertile land and favorable climate make it an agricultural superpower, ensuring food security within the bloc and beyond.
- South Africa and Russia are rich in minerals and metals, including gold, platinum, diamonds, and other strategic minerals critical for modern industries, including technology, manufacturing, and defense.
- China, the world’s largest producer and consumer of many industrial commodities, dominates the production of rare earth metals, essential for high-tech industries such as smartphones, electric vehicles, and renewable energy technologies.
These natural resources provide BRICS with the capability to not only ensure domestic economic stability but also to exert influence on global supply chains, particularly in critical industries such as energy, agriculture, and technology.
Trade Growth Statistics Since 2017
BRICS’ global trade presence has grown significantly since 2017, with intra-BRICS trade and exports to non-member countries rising sharply. Between 2017 and 2024, trade among BRICS nations has increased by over 35%, driven by both traditional sectors like agriculture and energy, and newer sectors such as technology and renewable energy.
China and India have become increasingly significant trading partners for countries like Brazil and Russia, particularly in the fields of energy, raw materials, and manufacturing goods. Brazilian exports of soybeans and meat to China have surged, while Russian oil and natural gas continue to be critical supplies for both China and India. Meanwhile, China’s exports of consumer goods, machinery, and technology products to the other BRICS members continue to grow, solidifying its role as a global manufacturing hub.
Moreover, the BRICS New Development Bank has been instrumental in financing infrastructure projects that facilitate trade within the bloc. This includes new railways, ports, and highways designed to increase trade efficiency, as well as energy and digital infrastructure to support the growth of tech industries within the bloc.
New Development Bank Lending ($33B Since 2015)
Since its establishment in 2015, the New Development Bank (NDB) has approved loans totaling more than $33 billion for development projects across BRICS countries. These funds have been primarily directed towards infrastructure development, a critical area for emerging economies looking to boost their industrial capacity and integrate more fully into global trade networks.
The NDB plays a crucial role in providing financing for infrastructure, energy, and sustainable development projects, areas often underfunded by traditional Western-dominated financial institutions like the World Bank or the International Monetary Fund (IMF). By focusing on the unique needs of BRICS countries, the NDB helps bridge critical funding gaps and supports projects that align with the bloc’s broader economic objectives.
For example, the NDB has financed renewable energy projects in India, transport infrastructure in Brazil, and agriculture development in South Africa. These projects not only help drive economic growth within the member countries but also enhance intra-BRICS cooperation by improving trade routes, energy grids, and technology sharing.
Looking ahead, the NDB’s lending capacity is expected to grow as new members like Egypt and the UAE join the bloc. These countries bring additional capital to the bank, enabling it to finance even larger projects and play an increasingly significant role in global development finance.
The BRICS bloc’s economic significance is undeniable. With a population representing half of the world, a GDP share exceeding 25%, an abundance of natural resources, and rapidly growing trade, BRICS is a rising force in global economics. The New Development Bank's financial contributions further underscore BRICS' ambitions to lead in areas of infrastructure, sustainability, and financial reform, positioning the bloc as a serious contender in shaping the future of global economic governance. As BRICS continues to grow and expand, its influence on international trade, finance, and development will only deepen, offering new opportunities and challenges for the global economy.
Strategic Initiatives
The BRICS bloc, with its growing influence in the global economy, has been actively pursuing a series of strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing its infrastructure, trade, and financial independence. These initiatives are part of a broader effort to increase intra-BRICS cooperation, promote economic development across member states, and reduce reliance on Western-dominated institutions and systems. The initiatives include alternative transport routes, new energy transportation networks, the establishment of a grain exchange, support for small and medium enterprises (SMEs), and the creation of local currency credit lines.
Alternative Transport Routes (Arctic Sea Route)
One of the most ambitious strategic initiatives pursued by the BRICS bloc is the exploration and development of alternative transport routes, with the Arctic Sea Route being a prominent example. This route, which runs along Russia's northern coastline, is seen as a crucial alternative to traditional maritime trade routes such as the Suez Canal and Panama Canal.
As global warming continues to reduce sea ice in the Arctic, this route becomes increasingly viable for commercial shipping. The Arctic Sea Route offers several key advantages:
- Shorter transit times: The route can significantly reduce the time it takes to ship goods between Asia and Europe, cutting journey times by up to 40%.
- Lower costs: Shorter routes translate into reduced fuel consumption and lower shipping costs, making it a cost-effective alternative for international trade.
- Avoidance of chokepoints: Traditional maritime routes often pass through geopolitically sensitive chokepoints like the Suez Canal, which can be vulnerable to blockages and political instability. The Arctic Sea Route offers a more stable and secure alternative.
Russia, with its vast northern coastline and experience in Arctic navigation, is leading this initiative within BRICS. The development of port infrastructure, icebreaker fleets, and navigational technologies along the route is critical for making it a year-round shipping lane. As China, India, and other BRICS nations increasingly rely on efficient trade routes, the Arctic Sea Route presents a strategic asset that can strengthen BRICS' position in global trade.
Energy Transportation Network Proposals
Energy security is a key priority for the BRICS bloc, and several initiatives have been proposed to develop new energy transportation networks that enhance connectivity between member states and reduce dependence on external energy markets. The aim is to create a BRICS-centric energy infrastructure that supports both traditional energy sources such as oil and gas and renewable energy technologies.
- Oil and gas pipelines: Russia, as one of the world's largest energy producers, plays a leading role in these initiatives. Proposals for new oil and gas pipelines connecting Russia with China, India, and other BRICS members are designed to secure energy supplies for the bloc while bypassing Western-controlled energy routes.
- Electricity grids: China has also been active in promoting the development of transnational electricity grids that can distribute electricity generated from renewable sources such as wind and solar power. These grids would help BRICS nations meet their growing energy demands while reducing their carbon footprints.
- Renewable energy cooperation: BRICS nations are investing heavily in renewable energy projects, and cooperation between member states in the development of solar, wind, and hydropower infrastructure is a key component of the bloc’s energy strategy. Brazil’s leadership in biofuels, China’s dominance in solar panel production, and South Africa’s push for wind energy all contribute to the bloc’s energy diversification efforts.
By building and controlling its own energy transportation networks, BRICS aims to reduce its reliance on Western energy markets and increase energy self-sufficiency. This not only strengthens the bloc’s economic security but also enhances its geopolitical influence in energy-dependent regions.
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Grain Exchange Establishment
Another critical strategic initiative is the establishment of a BRICS Grain Exchange, designed to facilitate the trading of agricultural products within the bloc and beyond. Agriculture plays a vital role in the economies of several BRICS nations, particularly Brazil, Russia, and South Africa, which are major exporters of grain, soybeans, and other key agricultural commodities.
The BRICS Grain Exchange aims to:
- Improve price transparency: By creating a centralized platform for trading grain and other agricultural products, the Grain Exchange will improve transparency in pricing and reduce the volatility that often affects global food markets.
- Enhance food security: With its vast agricultural resources, BRICS has the potential to become a global food basket. The Grain Exchange will help ensure stable food supplies within the bloc, particularly in times of crisis, by promoting intra-BRICS trade and reducing dependence on imports from outside the bloc.
- Support sustainable agriculture: The Grain Exchange can also serve as a platform for promoting sustainable agricultural practices, encouraging member states to invest in technologies that reduce environmental impact and improve crop yields.
Russia and Brazil, as major agricultural producers, are expected to play leading roles in this initiative. By establishing the Grain Exchange, BRICS can leverage its agricultural strengths to secure food supplies for its growing populations and strengthen its influence in global agricultural markets.
Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) Support
Recognizing the importance of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in driving economic growth and job creation, BRICS has made SME support a key component of its strategic agenda. SMEs are the backbone of many emerging economies, accounting for a significant share of employment and GDP, particularly in sectors such as manufacturing, services, and technology.
BRICS nations have outlined several measures to support the growth and development of SMEs within the bloc:
- Access to finance: One of the main challenges facing SMEs in developing countries is access to affordable finance. BRICS is working to create credit facilities and microfinance institutions that can provide SMEs with the funding they need to grow and expand.
- Capacity building: Training and capacity-building programs are being developed to help SMEs improve their business skills, access new markets, and adopt modern technologies. These programs focus on areas such as digitalization, e-commerce, and sustainable practices.
- Intra-BRICS trade: By promoting cross-border trade within the BRICS bloc, SMEs can access larger markets and diversify their customer bases. Trade agreements and preferential trade terms between BRICS countries are being negotiated to facilitate this process.
Supporting SMEs is not only vital for economic growth but also for job creation, particularly in sectors that are crucial for emerging markets. The BRICS bloc views the development of SMEs as essential to achieving inclusive economic growth and reducing poverty within member states.
Local Currency Credit Lines
In line with the bloc's broader goal of reducing dependence on the US dollar, BRICS is actively working to establish local currency credit lines that facilitate trade and investment in local currencies rather than relying on the US dollar or other foreign currencies. This initiative is part of the larger effort toward de-dollarization and enhancing the autonomy of BRICS nations in global trade and finance.
Local currency credit lines offer several advantages:
- Reduced currency risk: By using local currencies in trade, BRICS nations can reduce the risks associated with fluctuations in foreign exchange rates. This makes trade more predictable and less vulnerable to external shocks.
- Lower transaction costs: Settling transactions in local currencies eliminates the need for costly currency conversions, reducing transaction costs for businesses and boosting trade between BRICS members.
- Strengthening local financial markets: Promoting the use of local currencies in international transactions helps to strengthen the domestic financial markets of BRICS countries, increasing liquidity and enhancing the role of local banks in facilitating trade and investment.
The BRICS New Development Bank (NDB) is expected to play a key role in supporting these local currency credit lines by providing financing in local currencies for infrastructure projects, trade initiatives, and other economic activities. This will not only reduce the bloc's reliance on the US dollar but also increase the resilience of BRICS economies to global financial crises.
The strategic initiatives undertaken by BRICS—ranging from alternative transport routes and energy networks to the Grain Exchange and SME support—are designed to enhance the bloc’s economic independence and strengthen intra-BRICS cooperation. By creating local currency credit lines, promoting trade in local currencies, and reducing reliance on the US dollar, BRICS is taking significant steps toward de-dollarization and building a multipolar world order. These initiatives not only promote economic growth within BRICS countries but also position the bloc as a key player in shaping the future of global trade, finance, and development.
Governance and Decision-Making
The BRICS bloc's governance and decision-making model is a unique and defining feature of its approach to international relations. Unlike many other global organizations that are dominated by one or a few powerful nations, BRICS operates on principles of consensus, non-alignment, and non-confrontation, fostering a collaborative environment where each member state’s voice is equally respected. This governance structure enables BRICS to maintain internal cohesion despite the diverse political, economic, and cultural backgrounds of its members, while simultaneously positioning the bloc as a key player in global affairs without directly challenging other major powers such as the G7 or G20.
Consensus-Based Approach
At the heart of BRICS' decision-making is its consensus-based approach, which ensures that all key decisions are made through mutual agreement rather than a simple majority vote. This method prioritizes cooperation and diplomacy, preventing any single country from dominating the bloc's agenda.
- Equal footing: All BRICS members—Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and the newly added members (Iran, UAE, Ethiopia, Egypt)—are given equal importance in discussions and decision-making processes. This contrasts with other international organizations where power dynamics tend to favor wealthier or more politically influential countries.
- Balanced priorities: The consensus model encourages dialogue and compromise, ensuring that each member state's national interests are considered when shaping BRICS policies. This is particularly crucial given the varying political systems, economic priorities, and geopolitical concerns among BRICS nations. For instance, China’s global ambitions as a major economic powerhouse are weighed alongside the more regionally focused goals of South Africa or Brazil.
- Inclusive governance: By requiring unanimous agreement on major decisions, BRICS can effectively balance the interests of all its members, avoiding internal conflicts and promoting unity. This model also enhances the legitimacy of BRICS decisions on the global stage, as they represent the collective will of some of the world's largest and most influential emerging economies.
This consensus-based governance helps BRICS avoid the pitfalls of domination by more powerful nations, preserving the bloc’s spirit of equality and mutual respect. It has also allowed the group to navigate internal differences and remain cohesive in the face of external challenges.
Non-Alignment Principles
The non-alignment principles that guide BRICS’ foreign policy are rooted in the historical non-aligned movement, which sought to maintain neutrality during the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union. Today, BRICS has adapted these principles to the contemporary global landscape, emphasizing independence from major power blocs and flexibility in its international relations.
- Strategic independence: BRICS members prioritize their sovereignty and the freedom to make independent foreign policy decisions. While some members, such as China and Russia, have complex relationships with Western countries, BRICS as a bloc avoids taking direct sides in major global power struggles, particularly those involving the United States and its allies.
- Multipolar advocacy: BRICS promotes the idea of a multipolar world in which global power is distributed more evenly across different regions, rather than concentrated in the hands of a few Western powers. This aligns with the non-alignment philosophy, as BRICS nations work to reshape the global order without aligning themselves too closely with any single geopolitical bloc.
This non-alignment allows BRICS to engage constructively with a wide range of international partners, including both developed and developing countries, while maintaining its autonomy. It also provides the bloc with flexibility in forming alliances and pursuing diplomatic initiatives that serve its collective interests without becoming entangled in global power rivalries.
Non-Confrontational Stance
While BRICS represents an emerging economic and political force in global affairs, it has consistently maintained a non-confrontational stance in its international engagements. Rather than positioning itself as a direct challenger to Western-led institutions such as the G7 or NATO, BRICS has sought to carve out an alternative path that focuses on cooperation and peaceful dialogue.
- Avoiding conflict escalation: BRICS members, especially in times of rising geopolitical tensions, have been careful not to provoke or escalate conflicts with other global powers. For example, even as China and Russia have faced increased scrutiny and sanctions from Western nations, BRICS as a whole has refrained from adopting an aggressive posture. Instead, it promotes peaceful resolutions to disputes and advocates for dialogue-based solutions.
- Focus on development: A key element of BRICS' non-confrontational approach is its emphasis on economic and developmental cooperation rather than military or political rivalry. BRICS initiatives like the New Development Bank (NDB) and the BRICS Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA) are designed to address the needs of developing economies, reducing reliance on Western-dominated financial institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank without directly undermining them.
- Diplomatic engagement: BRICS prefers diplomatic engagement to direct confrontation when dealing with global issues such as trade disputes, climate change, or international security. The bloc frequently calls for reforms in global governance structures—such as the United Nations and the IMF—rather than seeking to dismantle or oppose these institutions outright. This diplomatic approach allows BRICS to build partnerships with a broad range of countries and institutions.
By adopting a non-confrontational stance, BRICS is able to present itself as a constructive force in global governance, one that seeks to reform the international system rather than disrupt it. This helps to mitigate tensions between BRICS and other global powers, while still advancing the bloc's long-term goals of greater representation and influence in global decision-making.
Relationship with Other International Bodies (G7, G20)
BRICS’ relationship with other key international bodies such as the G7 and G20 is complex but crucial to understanding the bloc's position in global governance. While BRICS was initially seen as a counterweight to the G7—an informal group of the world’s most advanced economies—its engagement with the G20 highlights its more cooperative stance toward global economic governance.
- G7 comparison: The G7, comprising the United States, Canada, Japan, Germany, France, Italy, and the United Kingdom, has traditionally represented the world’s wealthiest nations and exerted significant influence over global economic policy. In contrast, BRICS represents the interests of emerging markets and developing nations, often highlighting the disparities in wealth, power, and influence between the Global North and the Global South. However, BRICS has not sought to directly challenge the G7, instead advocating for reforms that would make the global financial system more inclusive and equitable.
- Engagement with the G20: BRICS plays a proactive role within the G20, a broader international forum that includes both developed and developing economies. Within the G20, BRICS countries have pushed for reforms to the global financial architecture, greater inclusion of emerging markets in decision-making processes, and a shift in focus from short-term economic policies to long-term sustainable development. The G20 provides BRICS with a platform to engage with Western powers while advocating for its own vision of global governance.
- Collaboration and divergence: While there are areas where BRICS and the G7/G20 collaborate, such as in climate change initiatives and addressing global financial instability, there are also significant divergences. For example, BRICS’ push for de-dollarization and the creation of an alternative to the SWIFT payment system contrasts with the G7’s support for the existing global financial infrastructure. However, rather than framing these differences as antagonistic, BRICS seeks to present its initiatives as complementary, focusing on building a more diverse and multipolar global economy.
BRICS’ ability to engage constructively with the G20 while advocating for changes in the global governance structure demonstrates its nuanced approach to international relations. The bloc's strategy of working within existing frameworks to promote reforms rather than opposing them outright has allowed BRICS to gain legitimacy and influence on the global stage, particularly among developing nations that feel underrepresented in institutions like the G7.
The governance and decision-making structure of BRICS, with its emphasis on consensus, non-alignment, and non-confrontation, reflects the bloc’s commitment to creating a more inclusive, equitable global system. By engaging with other international bodies like the G7 and G20, BRICS seeks to promote a multipolar world order where emerging markets and developing countries have a greater voice in shaping global policies. These principles of governance enable BRICS to navigate the complex global landscape while maintaining internal cohesion and fostering a spirit of cooperation that is essential to its long-term success.
Challenges and Future Outlook
As the BRICS bloc continues to expand its influence and assert its position in the global economic landscape, it faces a range of challenges that could affect its ability to fulfill its objectives. These challenges stem from the diverse makeup of member states, implementation hurdles for key initiatives, and the practicalities of operating in an increasingly multipolar world order. Nevertheless, BRICS’ growth potential remains significant, offering opportunities for further economic and geopolitical influence if these challenges can be addressed effectively.
Member State Differences
One of the most pressing challenges for BRICS is the internal diversity among its member states. The original five members—Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa—are already a highly diverse group in terms of economic structures, political systems, and geopolitical interests. The addition of new members in 2024—**Iran, UAE, Ethiopia, and Egypt**—has further amplified this diversity, introducing new complexities in decision-making and collaboration.
- Economic disparities: The economies of BRICS nations vary significantly in size, structure, and growth trajectories. For example, China and India are major global economies with substantial manufacturing and service sectors, while South Africa and Brazil are emerging markets that rely heavily on natural resources. The newer members, such as Ethiopia and Iran, are still developing economies with unique challenges, such as political instability or sanctions. These economic disparities can create difficulties in forming unified policies, as each nation may prioritize different aspects of the BRICS agenda based on its own economic needs.
- Geopolitical interests: The geopolitical objectives of BRICS members are not always aligned. For example, China and India have historically had border disputes, while Russia’s relationship with the West has become increasingly strained due to geopolitical conflicts. The new members also bring their own regional concerns—such as Iran’s tensions with Western powers and the UAE’s strategic interests in the Middle East. Balancing these competing interests while maintaining a cohesive BRICS agenda will be an ongoing challenge.
- Political systems: BRICS encompasses a wide range of political systems, from democracies like Brazil and India to more authoritarian regimes like China and Russia. This diversity can make it difficult to reach consensus on governance issues, human rights, and international diplomacy, as member states may have fundamentally different perspectives on how to approach global problems.
Despite these differences, BRICS has shown a remarkable ability to navigate internal diversity through its consensus-based decision-making model, which ensures that all members have a say in shaping the bloc’s policies. However, as the group grows in size and complexity, maintaining this level of unity will become increasingly challenging.
Implementation Challenges
Beyond internal differences, BRICS faces significant implementation challenges when it comes to realizing its ambitious economic and geopolitical goals. Many of the initiatives proposed by BRICS, such as the development of alternative payment systems and local currency trading, require substantial coordination and investment.
- Technical infrastructure: One of the key objectives of BRICS is to reduce reliance on Western-dominated financial systems like SWIFT by creating alternative payment networks. However, building the technical infrastructure needed for such systems is a major undertaking. The implementation of a robust, secure, and widely accepted alternative payment system will require significant investment in technology, cybersecurity, and international cooperation.
- Regulatory harmonization: BRICS countries have different regulatory environments, particularly when it comes to finance, trade, and technology. Harmonizing these regulations to facilitate smoother intra-BRICS trade and investment is a complex challenge. For example, establishing standardized frameworks for local currency settlements will require significant negotiation and coordination between central banks and financial regulators in each member state.
- Political will: While BRICS leaders may agree on the broad objectives of the bloc, translating these agreements into actionable policies at the national level can be difficult. Political will can vary from country to country depending on domestic priorities. For instance, a country like Brazil may focus more on economic recovery post-pandemic, while Russia might prioritize energy deals. Sustained commitment to the long-term BRICS agenda is essential for ensuring successful implementation of its initiatives.
Addressing these implementation challenges will require a combination of political coordination, technical expertise, and financial resources. The BRICS bloc must find ways to streamline decision-making and overcome the bureaucratic and logistical hurdles that often slow down international cooperation.
Growth Potential
Despite these challenges, BRICS’ growth potential is considerable. The bloc already represents some of the world’s largest and fastest-growing economies, and the addition of new members in 2024 has further increased its global economic clout. The combined population and GDP of BRICS nations give the bloc a strong foundation for future growth.
- Economic growth drivers: BRICS countries, particularly China and India, are projected to remain major drivers of global economic growth in the coming decades. Both nations have large, growing populations, expanding middle classes, and rapidly developing industries. Other members, such as Brazil and South Africa, are rich in natural resources, which positions them well to benefit from the increasing global demand for commodities. The new members, such as the UAE and Ethiopia, bring additional economic diversity and growth opportunities, with the UAE’s strategic position in global trade and Ethiopia’s emerging market potential.
- Expanding trade networks: One of the key areas of growth potential for BRICS is the expansion of intra-BRICS trade. The bloc is already working on developing alternative trade routes, such as the Arctic Sea Route and energy transportation networks, which will enhance connectivity between BRICS countries and reduce reliance on Western-controlled trade routes. In addition, BRICS’ efforts to promote local currency trading and alternative payment systems could further boost trade by making transactions between member states more efficient and less dependent on the US dollar.
- Investment in infrastructure: The New Development Bank (NDB) and other BRICS-led initiatives are expected to play a key role in funding infrastructure projects across member states. These investments will not only stimulate economic growth in individual countries but also enhance regional integration and cooperation. By funding projects in transportation, energy, and digital infrastructure, BRICS can help create new economic opportunities and strengthen its collective economic resilience.
BRICS’ growth potential is bolstered by its collective commitment to creating a more multipolar global economy, where emerging markets have greater influence over global financial governance. As the bloc continues to pursue initiatives that reduce dependence on Western-dominated institutions, its economic influence is likely to expand.
Role in a Multipolar World Order
BRICS plays a pivotal role in the ongoing shift toward a multipolar world order, where global power is distributed more evenly across regions rather than concentrated in the hands of a few Western nations. This multipolarity is characterized by the rise of new economic powers, particularly in the Global South, and a growing demand for more inclusive global governance structures.
- Challenging Western dominance: BRICS has consistently advocated for reforms to global institutions like the United Nations, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the World Bank, which have historically been dominated by Western powers. By pushing for greater representation for emerging markets and developing countries, BRICS seeks to create a more balanced global system where the interests of the Global South are better represented.
- Building alternative institutions: One of the ways BRICS is advancing its vision of a multipolar world is by creating alternative institutions that offer viable alternatives to Western-led organizations. The New Development Bank and the BRICS Contingent Reserve Arrangement are prime examples of this, providing financial support to member states without the stringent conditions often imposed by the IMF or World Bank. These institutions also promote the use of local currencies in international trade, which reduces reliance on the US dollar and fosters a more diversified global financial system.
- Fostering South-South cooperation: BRICS is a leading force in South-South cooperation, promoting partnerships between developing countries to address common challenges such as poverty, inequality, and climate change. By building stronger ties between countries in the Global South, BRICS aims to create a more equitable global economic system that offers greater opportunities for growth and development.
In a multipolar world, BRICS is positioning itself as a key player in shaping the future of global governance. The bloc’s ability to drive reforms and promote greater inclusivity in international institutions will be crucial to its long-term success and relevance.
The challenges BRICS faces—ranging from internal diversity to implementation difficulties—are significant, but they are counterbalanced by the bloc’s immense growth potential and its important role in the emerging multipolar world order. By continuing to strengthen economic cooperation, enhance infrastructure development, and advocate for global governance reforms, BRICS is poised to become an even more influential force on the global stage. Its future success will depend on its ability to navigate internal differences and implement its ambitious initiatives in a rapidly changing world.
Conclusion
The expansion of BRICS in 2024 marks a pivotal moment in the ongoing transformation of global economic governance. With the addition of new members like Iran, UAE, Ethiopia, and Egypt, the bloc not only increases its geopolitical reach but also strengthens its influence in shaping a multipolar world. The growing BRICS alliance, now representing over 50% of the global population and a significant share of the world’s GDP, underscores the shifting balance of power from traditional Western-dominated institutions to a more diverse global order.
In terms of future expansion prospects, BRICS continues to attract interest from countries such as Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Turkey, signaling that the bloc’s appeal to emerging markets and developing nations is only set to grow. As more nations seek to align themselves with BRICS’ vision of economic multipolarity, the bloc’s relevance and bargaining power in global affairs will continue to rise. This potential expansion will further consolidate BRICS' position as a key player in international finance, trade, and diplomacy.
The implications for the international financial system are profound. By actively promoting de-dollarization, encouraging local currency trading, and developing alternatives to the SWIFT system, BRICS is challenging the long-standing dominance of the US dollar in global commerce. The rise of the New Development Bank (NDB) and other BRICS-led financial institutions provides a viable alternative to Western financial bodies like the IMF and the World Bank. As these initiatives gain traction, they will not only diversify global financial systems but also offer emerging markets and developing nations more equitable opportunities for trade, investment, and development.
Ultimately, the BRICS bloc’s continued growth and strategic initiatives signal a shift towards a more inclusive, multipolar global economy—one that is less dependent on Western financial hegemony and more reflective of the diverse interests and aspirations of the Global South. As BRICS forges ahead with its ambitious agenda, its impact on global economic governance will likely reshape the international financial landscape for decades to come.
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Capital market Researcher , Technofunda analyst, PMS Consultant
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