Breaking Down the Walls: LLMs and USAID's Evaluation Challenge

Breaking Down the Walls: LLMs and USAID's Evaluation Challenge

By Hisham Jabi, the CEO of Jabi Consulting www.jabiconsulting.com

The Challenge of Siloed Development Evaluations

In many USAID missions, development objective evaluations and analyses are often conducted independently, limiting their ability to provide a comprehensive understanding of overall USAID program impacts on the country local system. This isolated approach can hinder the identification of broader trends and patterns that are essential for effective decision-making on the next USAID’s CDCS, local system, and how mission’s development objectives and their activities work together within each other's OD and Activities.

The Power of Large Language Models

Large Language Models (LLMs) can revolutionize the way USAID missions collect, analyze, and utilize evaluation data. By combining data from various sources, ODs, and Activities, LLMs can help identify, correlations, connections and trends that may not be obvious when evaluations are conducted separately for each DO or Activity.

Key Benefits of Using LLMs:

  • Centralized Knowledge Base:?LLMs can create a centralized repository of evaluation data, making it easier for staff to access and analyze information on the OU level.
  • Trend Analysis:?By examining large amounts of data, LLMs can identify emerging trends and patterns that may be difficult to detect through traditional methods that focus on the project-level evaluation.
  • Cross-Program Comparisons:?LLMs can compare different development projects and activities allowing for the identification of best practices and lessons learned.
  • Policy Recommendations:?Based on their analysis, LLMs can provide evidence-based suggestions for improving USAID programs and policies across DOs to inform a solid CDCS.
  • Enhanced Collaboration:?LLMs can encourage teamwork among different USAID offices by providing a shared platform for data analysis and knowledge sharing.
  • Real-Time Insights:?LLMs can process and analyze data in real-time, providing USAID missions with up-to-date information for decision-making. USAID wants knowledge to make decision, not only data. LLM can offer knowledge.
  • Risk Assessment:?LLMs can help identify potential risks and challenges that may impact USAID programs in certain country.

Enhancing USAID's Decision-Making


By leveraging LLMs, USAID missions can gain a deeper understanding of the local context and the effectiveness of their Development Objective offices. This enhanced knowledge can inform decision-making at all levels, from program design to policy development.

?Conclusion

?Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a transformative potential to enhance the effectiveness of USAID missions. By synthesizing vast amounts of evaluation data from diverse development objectives, LLMs can provide a more comprehensive and nuanced understanding of OU impacts. This enhanced analytical capability empowers USAID to make more informed decisions, allocate resources more strategically, and ultimately achieve greater local developmental outcomes.

Moreover, LLMs can bridge the knowledge gap between disparate teams and departments within USAID.?By facilitating the sharing of insights and best practices, LLMs can foster a more collaborative and cohesive working environment. This, in turn, can lead to more innovative and effective development programs.

In conclusion, the integration of LLMs into USAID's evaluation processes represents a significant step forward in the agency's mission to improve the lives of people around the world.?By providing deeper insights, fostering collaboration, and enhancing decision-making, LLMs can help USAID achieve its localization goals more efficiently and effectively.

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Francisco Molina

Senior Advisor Socio-Economic Studies, Program/project Evaluations

1 个月

Sounds very promising. It could be useful for OCAs and SOs. Like all models LLMs are falsifiable. One of the main challanges for all evaluations is establishing causality between interventions and outcomes. LLMs models could be a useful tool.

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