Bookmarked: Book Summary of Fooled by Randomness
Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund (ABSLMF)
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s book ‘Fooled by Randomness’ by and large delves into the aspects of luck, uncertainty, and randomness in people’s lives, especially in the dynamic world of finance. Taleb, being a former trader and risk analyst, manages to challenge conventional perceptions and emphasizes on the merits of understanding the impact of randomness on decision-making.
The book commences with the premise that humans tend to undervalue the element of randomness in their accomplishments and defeats. In his opinion, humans often attribute their accomplishments to skills and their defeats to external factors, instead of assessing the significance of luck. He then introduces the concept named "fooled by randomness," where people misconstrue the reasons behind the outcomes due to their lack of understanding/comprehension of the nature of randomness.
Taleb immerses into the world of financial markets, by referring to his life and experiences as a trader. He calls out the belief that success is solely due to skill and expertise and further claims that many finance professionals fail to acknowledge the impact of being lucky in their achievements and, eventually, do not prepare well enough for the inevitable volatilities.
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