No, Bitcoin is not a Safe Haven in 2020

No, Bitcoin is not a Safe Haven in 2020

There was always a vague argument that the Bitcoin was a digital gold that was inversely correlated with the stock market.

However, it's coronavirus 1, Bitcoin 0. Digital gold? Not so much.

While a retreat into gold has occurred, a flight from stocks and bonds, the same cannot be said for the leading cryptocurrency and the one all other cryptos are tethered to.

It’s not just stocks that are getting hammered. The cryptocurrency market saw a huge sell-off in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin holds up the entire cryptocurrency plight, and its drop is a drop for everyone.

Bitcoin was down 48% from 24 hours before at 10:24 a.m. Singapore time at $4,001.60. It's up barely to $5,056, about as anemic as the Friday recovery on the stock market.

The case for Bitcoin as the digital gold is over. The verdict is that it's not a safe asset, where we haven't seen this kind of volatility in years.

Bitcoin's price was $9,000 at the start of March. With a liquidity crisis coming for businesses, SMBs, corporate debt, banks and the retail sector, crypto just doesn't seem like a safe bet. Or does that dip make it too a buying opportunity?

On the 5th worst day of the stock market in history this week, Bitcoin itself dropped 28.35%, marking the largest single-day loss since December 2013. That's not a good sign for Bitcoin's future. It lost more than $93 Billion in market cap.

Why Did Bitcoin's Price Drop?

Investors are concerned about the global economic fallout from the coronavirus as businesses are disrupted and cities are locked down.

Usually when sentiment overtakes market norms, Bitcoin does well - but not this time.

Bitcoin is not a safe haven, and is not immune to panic. Bitcoin tanked 50% in just 2 days amid coronavirus market panic and it shows how vulnerable and volatile the cryptocurrency market is.

  • The Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index fell as much as 49%, hitting a historic low.
  • Bitcoin's epic fall comes as markets also reel over the coronavirus pandemic. 
  • Over the past few years, bitcoin has been likened to “digital gold” and has been seen by some as a safe haven asset to park money when markets are facing turmoil.
  • The case for Bitcoin as either a digital gold or a safe haven has to be re-assessed after this drop.

Bitcoin can't save the world from a virus, and has behaved with less stability than either Gold, fiat currencies or stocks.

That places a stamp of doubt on the chosen-crypto with limited upside in the fear-factor gripping the world. The Bitcoin bulls will just suggest its temporary as the Bitcoin halving event is on the horizon. There's always another excuse.

The price action of that day (Thursday) means Bitcoin’s 2020 gains are completely wiped out. Cue the negative CNBC articles on Bitcoin and Cointelegraph's spamming. Cue the LinkedIn Mods to create some pro-Boomer narrative. But this time, I sort of agree with them.

If you invest in crypto, you might have to rethink your position in 2020.

Matthew B

IT Manager / Senior Systems Consultant / Application & Infrastructure Specialist / Senior Virt Specialist / Cyber Sec. / Web3

4 年

Bitcoin has continuously dropped then spikes back up - since this article was posted it is back to $11k USD right now....

回复
Gareth Stephens

Bitcoiner | Founder | Investor | Product

4 年

This aged well ??????

回复
Kandy Z.

Cyber Strategist, Cyber OSINT

4 年

#CRIMECOIN

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Vedran B.

Junior DBA and Full-Stack Developer

4 年

toilet paper is... toilet paper is new bitcoin

Kandy Z.

Cyber Strategist, Cyber OSINT

4 年

#CRIMECOIN

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