16-JUNE BIDEN-PUTIN SUMMIT IS A CHANCE FOR BOTH APEX LEADERS TO SOFTEN UP STANCE TOWARDS SOUTH ASIA&MIDDLE EAST.PAKISTAN IS IN THE EYE OF STORM(MA)

Worthy audience President Joe Biden is meeting President Vladimir Putin on June 16 in Geneva, Switzerland, in what will be their first face-to-face meeting since Biden took office. The summit takes place amid sanctions and allegations of election interference, human rights violations, and differences over the Middle East and many other issues. There are a lots of real issues that are different, but also there are really a lot of misunderstandings and we at least need to engage and start communicating much more, because when we see things being done, there are really lots of wrong assumptions in the decisions that are being made,” In the latest escalation between both sides, Russia has suggested ditching dollar-based oil contracts if the U.S. were to impose fresh sanctions. Also on Thursday, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov confirmed that U.S. dollar assets will be cut from its $186 billion National Wealth Fund. In the latest escalation between both sides, Russia has suggested ditching dollar-denominated oil contracts if the U.S. were to impose fresh sanctions. Also on Thursday, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov confirmed that U.S. dollar assets will be cut from its $186 billion National Wealth Fund. U.S.-Russia relations are like ‘a falling knife’ that must be caught, says RDIF CEO. The upcoming U.S.-Russia summit will be a critical moment in trying to revive poor relations between the two countries.Pakistan, Iran, Turkey,India,Afghanistan,China,Syria,Egypt,Iraq,Lebanon,Palestine,KSA would remain pronounced and most of Fragile States/undeveloped states would take a sigh of relief in Post Covid new geopolitical World Order/Disorder?Let us pray for the peace and prosperity of the humanity.Few developments before the summit are as follows:-

• Joe Bidden is very clear about the objectives of the future understanding between the two leaders,after NATo, EU&G-7 meetings as well as meeting Erdogan face to face
• China has answered back very bitterly to the Bidden B3W proposeal?
• Russia has high stakes in Ukrain &Syria after Basharul Asad reelection.
• China and Russia have been targeted for the same allegations and exposed to the threa of sanctions, it seems impossible to deal both the emerging powers with any military strategy?
• US to think manytimes for Pakistan backing US in Afghanistan against Talibans Govt. Joe Bidden instead of Turkey indirect diplomacy speak to PM Imran Khan straight away.
• Israel has got rid of Natanyahu. World hopes peace in the region not aneexation of territory or anti religion /Islamic sentiments anywhere in the World.
• Pakistan is indispensible for Soputh Asian peace initiatives.Gen Qamar Bajwa and Govt of Pakistn have done more than enough for the west. it is time to move hand in hand, US must review the response of FATF, IMF&WB towards pakistan.PM Imran Khan has delivered what was needed to US therefore Kashmir needs to be part of US political remedies for SA/ME/Gulf.

1. In recent decades, Russian-US summits have taken place in Reykjavik, Washington, Moscow, Vancouver, Helsinki (twice), Ljubljana, Bratislava and Prague, but not in Geneva for a good 35 years. The breakthrough in the nuclear agreement with Iran took place in Vienna in 2015. Donald Trump met Kim Jong-un in Singapore. International Geneva has long hoped for a top-level meeting, and the Swiss government has been working towards it. This has now been achieved once again, strengthening Geneva’s role as a diplomatic hub. This is important because the competition is fierce. Such summits usually provide an opportunity for tête-à-têtes with participants. Guy Parmelin, who holds the rotating Swiss presidency this year, should therefore get the chance to present Swiss concerns.White House’s statement on Tuesday that President Biden will meet with Vladimir. This will be the first top-level US-Russia meeting in Geneva since the Reagan-Gorbachev summit in November 1985 and is being hailed as a diplomatic success for Switzerland.The specter of the President Biden sitting down with the Russian leader was too much for critics, given that Russian allies in Belarus grounded an international Ryanair flight to arrest a rebel on board that the United States had just sanctioned Russia for its Solar Winds hack and that Russian troops are massing along the border with Ukraine. In foreign policy, engagement, such as the Geneva summit, it is a means to concrete ends not a goal in and of itself. At a minimum, high-level meetings can reduce misperceptions between countries, a worthy if modest goal for Biden and Putin given the low number of contacts between U.S. and Russian senior officials these days.What swayed their choice of venue? When choosing a summit venue for such a sensitive and high-profile event, there are three main criteria.

First, Russia and the US maintain large missions in Geneva, complete with lavishly funded secret service departments.The security experts from Moscow and Washington know the local conditions – an advantage when it comes to protecting the two leaders.

Second, it is about the signal one wants to send. A Biden-Putin meeting in the US or Russia was out of the question this time. Relations are too bad for one or the other to accept an invitation to “enemy territory. Under the current circumstances, neutral Switzerland was therefore an obvious choice.

Third, bilateral relations between the summit participants and the host country play a role. Switzerland is well-liked by the Kremlin, especially since it has not joined Western sanctions against Russia. And from the US point of view nothing spoke against Switzerland this time.

2 .As President Vladimir Putin meet with in Geneva on 16 June 2021, we can be sure that their talking points won’t include suggestions for “improving relations with the United States.” Putin has rarely walked into a meeting with any head of state with the aim of improving relations. That certainly wasn’t his goal in meetings with U.S. and European leaders after 2014, when Russia annexed Crimea, intervened in eastern Ukraine and permanently ended aspirations for cordial relations with the West. As per the experts/critiques or in Putin’s worldview,the United States is Russia’s main adversary. Putin, therefore, will not be offering Biden creative initiatives for win-win outcomes between the United States and Russia. He only hopes for concessions.Biden’s national security team should take the same approach — and observers of the Geneva summit should adjust their analytical framework for evaluating winners and losers accordingly. Biden’s goal should not be “improved relations with Russia.” Instead, Biden and his team should define concrete security, economic and value-related goals they seek to achieve, and then brace for disappointment.As a means, engagement between leaders also can produce momentum toward mutually beneficial objectives, or “deliverables” in State Department-speak. At earlier moments in U.S.-Russian relations, the agenda of win-win outcomes was large, be it cooperating on arms control in the Reagan-Gorbachev era, working together on domestic reforms and international integration during the Clinton-Yeltsin years, or fighting global terrorism during the early Bush-Putin period. When President Barack Obama met his counterpart Dmitry Medvedev, concrete summit objectives included New START (Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty), multilateral sanctions against Iran, securing supply routes through Russia to U.S. soldiers in Afghanistan, and increasing trade, investment and people-to-people ties.

3. Aforesaid in view none of these agenda items will be on the table in Geneva. Putin’s recent belligerent behavior abroad and growing repression at home make such cooperation impossible. Judging by his actions, Putin does not want a stable, predictable or normal relationship with Washington. He needs the United States as a friendly enemy. There is, however, a narrow agenda available for bilateral cooperation for Geneva. The two leaders could launch strategic stability talks. Biden and Putin have rightly extended New START. But a subsequent arms-control treaty will be difficult to complete before New START expires five years from now, since nonstrategic nuclear weapons and new delivery vehicles must be part of a new deal. Negotiators need to start now. Next, a series of consulate closures and diplomatic expulsions, as well as reduced hiring of Russian staffers at U.S. diplomatic missions, have brought public diplomacy and visa issuance to a near halt. Biden and Putin should reverse this trend. And that’s it that’s the cooperative bilateral agenda. The remaining time in Geneva should focus on issues of disagreement, such as Putin’s persecution of opposition leaders, the detention of Americans, Belarus, Ukraine, cyber attacks, assassination attempts and microwave-radiation attacks.

4. The multilateral agenda is potentially broader. Working together with their international partners, Biden and Putin should commit to cooperating on stopping Iran’s nuclear weapons program, providing humanitarian assistance to Syrians, fulfilling the Minsk agreement on eastern Ukraine, and working together on covid-19 and climate change. Even in multilateral settings, however, the possibilities for cooperation are limited.Once the Geneva summit is over, Biden and his team should not hope to forget about Russia. They cannot freeze U.S.-Russia relations in place to focus on the greater challenge of China. As Putin recently proved by amassing Russian soldiers on the Ukrainian border or unleashing more cyberattacks, he’s not going to allow that. Nor should Biden’s Russia policy become a derivative of his China policy. (For Biden to pursue his own version of the Nixon-goes-to-China strategy would be a huge mistake. It won’t work.)Instead, Biden and team must develop a comprehensive strategy to contain and sometimes engage Putin’s Russia. This grand strategy should include enhancing NATO’s deterrent capacity, strengthening U.S. cyber-resilience, blocking Russian transnational repression through organizations like Interpol, exposing Russian corruption in the West, sanctioning Russian individuals and companies in response to Russian aggression abroad, and starting new programs for support of democratic values in Russia and the region. It could also entail figuring out how to reform U.S. international broadcasting once Putin closes down Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty’s office in Russia.

5. Talking to Putin is just one component of an effective Russia policy. Yes, a frank conversation in Geneva about issues of cooperation and disagreement is vital. But just as important is what Biden does after Geneva with other countries to deter Putin’s belligerent behavior abroad and to support those still fighting for freedom within Russia.The face-to-face meeting scheduled to take place in Geneva on June 16 comes amid deeply strained relations between the United States and Russia. Tensions are running high over a litany of issues including the jailing of Kremlin critic Alexey Navalny and the conflict in Ukraine, as well as allegations of hacking and election meddling. “We need to find ways of looking for a settlement in our relations, which are at an extremely low level now,”Putin told the Saint Petersburg International Economic Forum on Friday. Putin said that disarmament, the coronavirus pandemic and environmental issues will also be on the agenda.Both Russia and the US have downplayed expectations of any breakthrough at the Geneva meeting.The Kremlin has said that differences between Moscow and Washington run too deep for a major “reset” in relations, with Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov warning earlier this week that Russia would send what he described as “uncomfortable” signals to the US ahead of the summit. Ryabkov’s comments on Monday came a day after Biden said he would press Putin to respect human rights when the two leaders meet.

6. Putin view on ‘political’ use of dollar. Speaking on other issues, Putin announced that the laying of pipes for the first of two lines of the prospective Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline to Germany has now been fully completed, leaving only welding works to finalize its construction. He said the second line will follow suit soon.The Russian leader hailed the project as a better economic option than an existing pipeline via Ukraine, rejecting Ukrainian and Western criticism that it is designed to rob Ukraine of transit fees.Putin said Russia will continue pumping 40 billion cubic metres of gas via Ukraine a year in line with the existing five-year contract, and could continue doing so after it expires if Ukraine shows “goodwill”.Russia and Ukraine have been locked in a tense tug-of-war following Moscow’s 2014 annexation of Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula and its support for separatists in the country’s east.The US has strongly opposed construction of the new Russian pipeline, but last month waived some sanctions on the project – a move Biden justified by saying that the project was nearly complete, and that continuing sanctions could have harmed ties with Europe.The Kremlin has hailed that decision as a “positive signal” before the Putin-Biden summit.Putin also said European nations should pay for Russian gas in euros, as Moscow pursues its de-dollarization efforts amid US sanctions. “The euro is completely acceptable for us in terms of gas payments. This can be done, of course, and probably should be done,” he said.Putin went on to deplore what he said was Washington’s use of the dollar as an economic and political tool, saying that “its use as an instrument of competition and political struggle has hurt its role as the world reserve currency”.

7. Russia announced on Thursday it will completely remove the US dollar from its National Wealth Fund and turn the dollar-denominated assets into euros, yuan and gold.Russia has long moved to reduce the dollar’s share in its hard currency reserves amid the waves of US sanctions imposed on the country.As White House press secretary Jen Psaki patiently explained to reporters on Tuesday, “Well, we may have forgotten over the last couple of years, but this is how diplomacy works.” She continued, “We don’t meet with people only when we agree. It’s actually important to meet with leaders when we have a range of disagreements as we do with Russian leaders.” She stressed that “we don’t regard the meeting with the Russian president as a reward. We regard it as a vital part of defending America’s interests.”Good behavior from despots has never been the precondition for U.S. presidents meeting with adversarial powers. President Ronald Reagan met multiple times with the world leader and recent presidents have met with China’s leaders despite that country’s atrocious human rights violations, trade violations and other objectionable conduct. Biden’s agreement does not elevate Russia to major-power status (as his predecessor’s solicitations to the North Korean dictator did); Russia is a serious player whether we like it or not. Summits with these nations, rather than “rewards," are meant to avoid escalation of tensions and misunderstandings, and if possible, to make progress on some discrete issues.

8. The notion that holding a summit with the Russians is a sign of weakness is absurd.We should, without a doubt, be talking to the Russians, especially after we have just significantly ramped up our sanctions on them. He added that the problem with President Donald Trump’s summit with Putin in Helsinki wasn’t that they held the event; it was that “Trump just bought what Putin was selling. He underscored that Biden’s summit “is an opportunity to identify the few areas where the U.S. and Russia can cooperate and more importantly for the Biden administration to draw some clear red lines.Trying to time a summit for a moment when Russia is less aggressive than usual is therefore folly. The more important concerns are what is said and obtained in the summit. Get-to-know-you meetings without preordained outcomes have not proved effective. At times, such get-togethers have resulted in miscalculations and faulty assumptions. Biden has enough foreign policy experience to know that soft-pedaling U.S. concerns to Putin would only embolden him.

9 .One hopes there will be some minimal achievement, even if it is merely a joint statement worked out in advance. But following a president who was Putin’s personal doormat, Biden would also accomplish something simply by resetting expectations and reasserting U.S. interests. Putin needs to know that Biden is no lap dog like his predecessor. In this administration, there will be adverse consequences for Russia’s international aggression, cyberattacks and meddling in democratic elections. Biden can make clear, for example, that the United States will be unable to pursue better relations with Russia should further harm come to Nalvany. What Republican critics in Congress seem to miss is that, in a real sense, Biden needs to repair the damage done to the stature and credibility of the United States by his predecessor, who clearly encouraged Putin to conclude there were no consequences for Russia’s bad behavior. If nothing else, a meeting in which Biden signals the free pass from the United States has expired may prompt Putin to more carefully assess the costs and benefits of future conduct. If that is the outcome, it will have been worth the trip.

10. Wait and See Good Times Ahead.The relationship between Moscow and Washington deteriorated in 2014 after Russia’s annexation of Crimea, which led to U.S. sanctions. But, according to Andrey Kostin, the chairman of Russia’s VTB Bank, the link hit its “lowest possible level” during the Donald Trump Presidency. “I am little bit skeptical because the previous records do not give us too much ground for enthusiasm,” Kostin told CNBC about the upcoming summit, adding that it is nonetheless “very, very good that the two leaders will meet. “Speaking to CNBC Friday at the same event, he said that Putin and Biden will “definitely” not make the relationship worse.