Behind the scenes: The heat pump calculator

Behind the scenes: The heat pump calculator


Let's have a quick look at the thinking process behind the creation heat pump charts and calculator, one of our most ambitious projects in 10 years, done in collaboration with the Canadian Climate Institute / Institut climatique du Canada .

First, we have created the visual identity. It’s based on the colour palette of the Institute, in line with previous projects. We picked a type of orange and teal to represent the warmth and coolness of heating and cooling.

That yellow row in the middle? It’s the comfort zone that heat pumps will bring you. The bubbles' effect represent the flow of air and water.

Heat pumps pay off. Unlocking lower-cost heating and cooling in Canada.

Now, the charts from the report.

This beeswarm chart shows that heat pumps are more cost effective than gas and air conditioning in a majority of cases. It took a lot of attempts to get the text just right, as it gives meaning to the visual. If it seems simple, then we have succeeded.

A beeswarm chart shows the annualized cost difference between heat pump and gas heating and air conditioning. There are some 40 dots and most of them show that heat pumps are cheaper than gas and air conditioning in 5 Canadian cities.

Next, a chart that shows the price ranges of all four technologies studied, across 5 Canadian cities and three building types. The point was to show that a certain type of heat pump, with electric backup, is the lowest cost option for most households. Yes, that's the title of the chart because your title should say what you chart is meant to show.

To draw the attention to the standard heat pump with electric backup, we made it green, while the other two heat pumps are grey. The comparator, the gas heating with air conditioning combo, is shown as an orange band in the background so that every heat pump can be compared to its cost easily.

This next chart shows the circumstances in which a heat pump will be less competitive, namely in a cold climate with low gas prices like Edmonton.

A million little design decisions had to be made to make this chart work, especially with two inserts so rich in information. One of the things that convinced the Institute is the round background, which links the reference bubble to the detailed explanation. We came to this solution late.

Beeswarn chart of annualized cost difference between a heat pump and gas heating and air conditioning. It shows that heat pump cost savings depend significantly on local gas and electricity costs. There are two inserts showing the cost breakdown for tw scenarios, one where heat pumps are cheaper, one where heat pumps are more expensive than gas with air conditioning.

One more chart, this time to show that given their environmental benefits, heat pumps can be made more competitive through government interventions, with policies and rebates.

The challenge was to show the final total price, but also the individual impacts of the rebates (which decrease the cost) and policies (which increase the cost). Lots of back and forth on whether to show the two totals and we ended up showing only the net total. One little detail is the white gaps on the baselines to separate the charts.

Note also how the policy and rebates are in high contrast black to attrack the eye because they are the main point of this chart.

Waterfall charts of annualized cost of space heating and cooling by technology in single-detached homes. It shows that Policy and rebates support the cost effectiveness of heat pumps. The examples are from Toronto and Vancouver.

You can see all these charts and more in the full report.


And now, the showstopper: the interactive calculator.

The Institute wanted something both technical and playful to present a detailed, customizable comparison of the costs associated with different types of heat pumps . A dashboard of detailed calculations that didn’t feel like work.

Landing page of the interactive with the title “Heat pumps pay off”.   Comparing heating and cooling options across Canada  Heat pumps can be a cost-effective way to heat and cool homes while reducing climate pollution.   This interactive allows you to compare the cost of heat pumps to other home heating and cooling options in five cities across Canada. It was developed by experts at the Canadian Climate Institute based on extensive economic analysis from the companion report, Heat Pumps Pay Off: Unlocking lower-cost heating and cooling in Canada. Results reflect average costs and do not reflect individual circumstances of each user.

The vertical line that crosses the screen, echoing the pipes in a heat pump, turns into a city landmark based on selection. It took some time to find a recognizable landmark for each city, especially one that fits in a simple line like this.

First, choose a city  Equipment costs, available rebates, energy prices, and climatic conditions vary across Canada.  Vancouver Edmonton Toronto Montréal (selected) Halifax If you live in another part of Canada, explore results based on an average of all five cities. Average of all 5

And then you add a building type and the path combines the two selections.

Now, choose a building type  Heating and cooling needs, equipment configurations, and available rebates vary between building types.  Single house Townhouse (selected) Apartment 20-unit building

The last step is to pick the year of build that will add to the rest.

Do you see how some of the bubbles are darker? They represent your current selection. They will be used as a transition to the next screen.

Finally, choose an approximate build year  The age of the building affects the heating and cooling needs and the rebates available.  1940 1980 2023

Now you get an overview of the cost comparison for your selection, with dynamic text. Note the small selectors on the bottom left that allow users to modify certain parameters such as electricity and gas prices.

A detail that took us some time to come up with is the gray for gas and green for heat pumps, to distinguish the two types of scenarios.

What is the lowest-cost heating and cooling option?  Based on our research, a standard heat pump with electric backup is the lowest-cost solution for heating and cooling a townhouse in Toronto built in 2023.   These numbers will depend on factors like the future prices of gas and electricity. Change the toggle to see how energy prices impact the results.

Want more details? Click on full results and get this full cost comparison. The cheapest option is highlighted, and also the one with the lowest emissions.

There are still toggles at the bottom that allow you to adjust the scenario you are exploring: such as changing the city, the building type, the gas prices, etc. This is the full dashboard mode.

Full cost comparison Based on our research, a standard heat pump with electric backup is the lowest-cost solution for heating and cooling a townhouse in Toronto built in 2023.  For all four technologies, there is a breakdown by equipment after rebates, electricity and gas+service fee. The carbon emissions are also shown.

Do you want? further details? Click on Details for any of the technologies. You can see the tremendous calculation work that the Canadian Climate Institute put in this, along with their assumptions. Truly impressive and very transparent.

Example of detailed costs:  Standard heat pump with electric backup Total annual cost: $1,610  Annualized equipment cost: $391  Equipment  Standard air source heat pump: $355  Electric resistance coil furnace: $35   Rebates Federal greener homes grant:$0  Provincial rebates: $0  Annual operating cost: $1,220  Electricity: $939  Gas: $0  Gas service fee: $275  Carbon taxes: $5   Annual energy usage: 17 GJ  Electricity: 17 GJ  Gas: 0 GJ   Annual carbon emissions: 0 tCO2e  Electricity: 0 tCO2e  Gas: 0 tCO2e

At the very end, you get your selection in context, showing that heat pumps are a cheaper option in most cases. Not to mention their smaller environmental footprint. And since you made it this far, perhaps you'd be interested in the report? There's a link for you.

In most cases, heat pumps are cheaper than gas and air conditioning.   This figure shows the cost difference per year for standard heat pumps with electric backup compared to gas heating with air conditioning for each of our city and building scenarios. In a majority of cases, heat pumps cost less.   Link to the report.

It’s worth clicking to experience for yourself. There’s a smoothness to the whole experience that the images cannot convey.

Also: get a heat pump!




Richard Bruno

Independent Innovation Management Consultant, Business Mentor, and Author

1 年

I have four issues with this information: 1. It does not identify the heat source and sink. This has a major impact on COP 2. It does not define why a cold climate HP in a cold climate has lower average COP than a standard HP (whatever that may mean). 3. It does not consider the impact of total net home R value on net energy expenditures and average COP 4. Finally it does not consider insolation effects on the house and HP location. The sum of the above is much larger than the cases demonstrated.

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