Bank of Canada interest rate hike schedule｜The central bank raised interest rates to 3.25% in September, will rates rise again in 2022?

The Central Bank of Canada raised its key interest rate by 0.75% on September 7, 2022. The policy rate is now 3.25%. This is the fifth rate increase in 2022 since March. The total increase over the six months of 2022 is 3%. The Central Bank conducts monetary policy by influencing short-term interest rates. It does this by adjusting the overnight interest rate target on eight fixed dates each year. The next dates for rate adjustments are as follows:

October 26, 2022

December 7, 2022

January 25, 2023

March 8, 2023

April 12, 2023

July 12, 2023

September 6, 2023

October 5, 2023

December 6, 2023

There are two rate adjustment dates left in 2022 that could see a rate change. The Bank of Canada's Sept. 7 announcement said "the Board of Governors is still judging whether interest rates need to be raised further given the outlook for inflation." Industry experts hold different views on how much interest rates will change by the end of 2022.

Beata Caranci, Chief Economist at TD Bank, said the Bank of Canada said it believes more action is needed to reduce inflation and predicted the Bank of Canada would raise rates to 4%.?

Josh Nye, the Senior Economist at Royal Bank of Canada, said the Bank of Canada's statement suggests the Bank of Canada is pushing back against "calls for a pause in rate hikes" after September's hike. He predicted another 0.25 % rate hike in October, with rates peaking at 3.5 % in 2022.

Benjamin Reitzes, Managing Director of BMO Capital Markets, said the tone of the Bank of Canada's statement showed it remains "very concerned" about rising inflation, and he said there is no doubt that further rate hikes are coming, but the magnitude of the hike will be based on upcoming data.

Interest rates are rising, and if your current mortgage is a variable rate mortgage, your loan may soon reach a trigger point. This means:

1.) you may have to increase your monthly payments to keep the same amortization period, or

2.) you may have to pay off partial principal to keep the same monthly payment, or

3.) convert to a fixed-rate mortgage.

Hopefully, inflation will soon fall and the rate hike cycle will soon be over.

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