Automated parcel lockers - do it right! – based on more than 10 projects for lockers operators
Greg Urban
Business consulting in logistics, postal and parcel, supply chain professional, strategy, innovations, AI, IT, and due diligence in supply chain, Last Mile Expert
Parcel lockers have become an everyday part of online shopping in some countries, such as Finland or Estonia, with near nine machines per 10000 inhabitants. In many others, they are gaining popularity very slowly, and the actual use of machines is only a fraction of their real possibilities e.g., in the UK, only 0.6 machines per 10k. What is behind their success or failure, and will parcel lockers prove to solve problems with e-commerce deliveries? I will try to answer these questions in this material.
Recipient's perspective
?In the case of parcel machines or PUDO points, there is a fundamental change in the person deciding on sending the parcel. From the perspective of a company with a network of parcel machines, it is not the shipper with whom we have an agreement that decides about sending the parcel, but the recipient who chooses this delivery method when shopping online. He or she must be convinced of this service and considers it more attractive than home or work delivery. Convincing people who shop online to choose a parcel locker is difficult because the machine is not only a new delivery method. It is primarily a new technology related to abandoning old habits, such as, for example, physical control over the condition in which the package is handed over and learning new skills, such as operating the selection interface or the machine interface. There is a known phenomenon of the product life cycle, wherein in the initial phase, we can only count on early adopters for novelties, for which the parcel machine will become a new field for testing.
Moreover, the scale of our network geographically limits the influx of new users. The phenomenon of adapting new technology also occurs in mature markets where parcel machines are used every day. Newly set-up machines do not initially reach the target filling, which usually takes about three years. It also does not work to set up parcel machines near or inside current outlets or PUDO because it does not provide an incentive to change habits. So how can you increase interest in parcel machines? About this in the following paragraphs.
Processes perspective
The mistake we can make at the outset is treating the processes, whether customer service or logistics, as the same as in the traditional door-to-door delivery. Yes, the package will reach its destination using traditional processes, but whether the recipient will be satisfied and whether the process will be cheaper is an entirely different matter. All processes have to be redesigned. Let's start with a customer journey in which User Interface Experience will be of crucial importance. The parcel recipient has contact with UIX at all times, whether it is during the selection of the place of delivery, information about the shipment's progress, and upon receipt. From the point of view of logistics processes, there are new processes for planning delivery routes, managing the available capacity of machines, or many exceptions, as in the case of overcrowded parcel machines. Due to the physical limitations of a machine, greater standardization of the volume directed to parcel machines is needed, and the choice of technology will impact what we can and what not to send this way.
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Technology perspective
There is no standardization in the market among the available technology. Each manufacturer has different machines, although they do not differ fundamentally in their essential functions, but in such things as, for example, the size of the lockers or the way they interact with the machine, yes. We have a choice of internal and external machines, with or without a cooling system. The availability of our network and the types of goods that can be shipped in it will depend on what we choose. Parcel lockers with minimal ways of interacting with the recipient appear more and more often. Cheaper machines are not equipped with touch screens, and the only way to collect or send a shipment is via a phone application. For experienced users, it will not be a barrier. Still, where parcel lockers are not yet popular, such a limitation can effectively limit the popularization of picking up from the machine. So the decision on what technology to choose is a strategic one at the beginning, and then an operational and financial one.
Network perspective
The parcel locker has a limited geographical scope, the so-called catchment area. The appropriate size of such an area depends on the town's size because the inhabitants accept different distances required to get to the parcel locker, the nature of the urban development and the method of communication, or weather conditions. Observing the increase in the volume of parcel machines in Poland in the last eight years, you can notice a specific point in time around 2018 when the visible acceleration correlated with the increase in the number of machines. From this point, volume started to double every year. This fact shows that the scale of the network matters. There is a level from which the parcel lockers become popular and available on an appropriate scale.
On the other hand, constructing an extensive network will be associated with significant investment costs. A network occupied on the level of, e.g., 10%, can quickly lead to the investor's bankruptcy. The solution to this problem is the location of machines using geospatial analytics, considering many demographic factors. Depending on the availability of data, you can, for example, select places where there are clusters of people with a specific profile or use specific eCommerce applications such as Amazon or Ali Express on their smartphones.
Financial perspective
Finally, the most crucial question is whether it will pay off for us. In most cases, companies building parcel machine networks are in the phase of high investments and gaining market share in terms of taking over the volume from traditional courier companies and geographical expansion. It isn't easy to judge what the financial future of the entire industry will be. Still, it is necessary to emphasize a few facts that affect the profitability of the investment. Building a delivery network based only on parcel machines will be more expensive than a mixed network consisting mainly of PUDO and supplemented with parcel machines. The latter will, in turn, mean a slower increase in the popularity of parcel machines and higher running costs. The costs of the machines themselves vary widely. For the price of the simplest machine from one manufacturer, you can get a very advanced device from another. The question of maintenance costs and durability remains. The depreciation of such a machine is ten years on average. A good redesign of the processes should result in these significant savings on delivery costs as one driver can deliver 3-5 times more packages than door-to-door delivery. It will also alleviate the problem of shortages of drivers, which is a frequent and growing problem that will affect delivery costs. Finally, many business models are emerging aimed at reducing costs, primarily in terms of space rental.
In this article, I pay attention to many aspects that should be considered when investing in a network of parcel machines. I do not provide one ready-made solution because the market situation in different countries differs significantly. Still, there are already many examples of successful and unsuccessful investments from which you can conclude for yourself.
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Last Mile Expert, Independent Board Advisor & Business Angel. Specialises in CEP and e-commerce last mile with focus on PUDO/parcellockers and M&A due diligence support.
3 年Hi Greg Urban Lockers and Pudo's are indeed Hot, Hot, Hot and if you check out the next Last Mile experts European Out of Home report (comming out soon) you will see just how fast the numbers are growing! The key issue today is understanding what it takes to make a successful implementation, vs large, but poorly performing ones. The "secret sauce" appears to be elusive for many.....
Head of Communications @PwC Polska | MBA
3 年??
Founder, CEO & Co-Chairman
3 年Greg Urban thanks for sharing. Here in Canada parcel lockers are seeing good traction in multi-family buildings (condominiums and apartments) as they ensure a safe delivery point for a resident's delivery at the building where they live rather than at a PUDO point. Carrier agnostic lockers in a building also decreases failed delivery attempts by carriers since they have somewhere to deliver at the building, therefore reducing carrier failed delivery costs plus diminishing the environmental/traffic impact as a failed delivery could conceivably see 4 trips of a vehicle (1 original delivery attempt, 1 delivery to PUDO point, 1 customer PUDO point pickup and 1 customer trip back home from PUDO point).
Value Creation in Deals | Deals Origination | PwC Polska
3 年Good read. Thank you Greg Urban!