Ask the Appraiser - How are Regional Jet and Turboprop aircraft values performing?

In the second edition of our ‘Ask the Appraiser’ webinars, our experts Jonathan McDonald and Phil Seymour examined the trajectory of regional jet and turboprop aircraft values, identifying the hottest trends and the impact of macroeconomic factors on the market.

Turboprop and Regional Jet value trends

Aircraft?values data?from?IBA Insight?reveals that the ATR72-600 leads the way in value stability amongst turboprops, and the Embraer E175LR for regional jets. Both aircraft have shown more resilience to the impacts of Covid-19 than other types.

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Regional Jet and Turboprop availability and storage rates

The general availability of turboprop and regional jets has been decreasing since November 2021, but with significant variations between aircraft types. Data from IBA Insight revealed 21 ATR72-600 aircraft available in November 2021, but just 12 available in November 2022. By contrast, there were only two Embraer E175s available in November 2021, but this had climbed steeply to 11 of the type a year later.

Our insights reveal that the total number of parked and stored aircraft has decreased overall since November 2021, but with some exceptions. 46% of the Bombardier CRJ 1000 fleet was either parked or stored in November 2021, falling to 38.1% by November 2022. By contrast, 22.9% of the ATR 72-600 fleet was parked or in storage in November 2021. As of November 2022, this had increased to 30.3%.

The bottom line - key takeaways

• There is a duopoly in the regional and turboprop marketplace between the Embraer E175 and ATR72-600. This is largely due to the Embraer E2 and Airbus A220 being more closely aligned to mainline aircraft
• The Ukraine conflict continues to cause disruptions. Leased aircraft with operators including Ikar Airlines, S7 Airlines and UTAir are currently stuck in Russia
• The pandemic had less of an impact on regional jets and turboprops than on the narrowbody and widebody aircraft market, with the ATR72-600 and E175LR proving the most resilient
• There are likely to be rising operational costs for airlines, with increased labour and jet fuel costs. Furthermore, a strong US dollar combined with sanctions on Russian oil will add further pressure
• Inflationary pressure on consumers and producers are expected to last until the end of the year, with values and lease rates unlikely to track 10% inflation

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