Was the Arab Spring a conspiracy or an unavoidable outcome ?
In late 2010, the flame of protest spread across some Arab countries?their slogan was bread, freedom, social justice, and human dignity?producing revolutions, government collapses, and civil wars. We will investigate the origins of this phenomenon and if it is a plot by the superpower, as some claim, or just a natural life cycle, especially inside the rotten Arab authoritarian corrupted regimes.
First, we should know that the term “Arab spring” comes from the “European spring” of 1848. This means the transition from the winter that represents authoritarianism to the spring of democracy.?We'll look at the internal situation in several Arab countries to figure out what happened there.
Before the Storm
Arab nations, according to reports, were experiencing economic growth before the uprisings. Despite this, it seems that income inequality and the marginalization of a huge section of the population, particularly the youth, had a considerable influence on the direction of events. Government financial mismanagement led to destroy the middle class, which is one of the most crucial groups for a country's stability, and reduced it to a disenfranchised poor class that has no voice in anything. All of these led to rising public discontent with the governments.
The Arab world's mood was gloomy, on the ground the Arab world felt depressed. According to the World Value Survey, Arab countries have the highest levels of dissatisfaction and unhappiness, especially among the youth.?
Some experts believe that unemployment, particularly among young people caused by historical sedimentation brought on by the Arab countries' character as rentier countries, increased fertility rates, and produced population explosions, with two-thirds of the population in Arab countries currently being under the age of 30 most of them is unemployed which I believe is one of the most fundamental, if not the most important, drivers of the Arab Spring revolutions. I believe this viewpoint is realistic since if young people are busy with their jobs or trades, they will not have time to stage protests or sit-ins.?
On the political side, the political situation was also terrible; some authoritarian governments rule with iron and fire, with little freedom of expression and none in certain nations. In certain nations, there is also no freedom to participate in decision-making, and the ruler has total control. The ruler's abilities, particularly in certain Arab nations, were unimaginable to Zeus, the Greek god. He makes decisions on his own, with no mechanism for the people to hold him accountable. Even if he made a mistake in his choices, as occurred in the Arab Spring upheavals, he does not have accountability; instead, others, such as a prime minister, ministries, or even the people themselves, hold responsibility. This generated a state of frustration, especially among young people who aspire to change and have a better life.
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After long Winter, Spring is Here
Based on information and the circumstances in which Arabs lived the revolution was a logical and natural progression. We're not talking about people in Scandinavian nations here; we're talking about people in Arab countries who are suffering from poverty, unemployment, oppression, a general lack of freedom, and the practices of brutal governments that have been in power for decades. The revolution was in the corner and just all it needs a small flame!
The flame was in Tunisia, Mohamad Bouazizi, a 26-year-old street vendor from Tunisia, had an excellent education but was forced to sell on the street by circumstances. He killed himself by burning himself in the street after receiving poor treatment from authorities. He had no idea that his actions would forever burn the Middle East and North Africa, causing governments to fall and civil wars to emerge.
After his death, demonstrations began in Tunisia, and the government attempted but failed, to control the unrest using traditional tactics of violence. In the end Tunisian dictator Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali stepped down and departed the country permanently on January 14, 2011.
Similar protests were planned among young Egyptians through social media, inspired by what happened in Tunisia. The Egyptian government, like the Tunisian government, attempted but failed to put a stop to the unrest, and after a month of the shock wave, the armed forces refused to use violence and abducted the old Egyptian tyrant Hosni Mubarak, forcing him to quit and leave office on February 11 of that year.
People deposed their governments in Tunisia and Egypt, which inspired other people in Syria, Libya, Yemen, Bahrain, Morocco, Algeria, Jordan, Oman, and Saudi Arabia. Unfortunately, the result was not the same. Morocco and Jordan, for example, have managed the situation by adopting political changes that led to the end of the protest and the survival of the regimes. In Bahrain, Oman, and Saudi Arabia, the governments managed to put end to limited unrest and they succeed.??Others have committed unilateral violence, which has resulted in an increase in uprisings It eventually led to the outbreak of a civil war that has destroyed whole countries such as Syria, Libya, and Yemen.
At the end
The spring begins with a slap and is unlikely to end very soon. Is it a coincidence that this happened? or was it pre-planned? Of course, there are some who believe in conspiracies. Some supporters of the politics-only theory say that the revolutions were the outcome of a global conspiracy. They refer to the current state of chaos in which Arab nations that have experienced revolutions find themselves, as well as the growth of ethnic and sectarian conflicts throughout the region as a result of the Arab Spring which was planned by the superpower and the deep state without providing any single evidence to this claim.
I think it's difficult to understand how causing chaos in the Middle East and North Africa, with the resulting conflicts, refugee exodus, rising terrorism, and large-scale migrant movements to Europe, could be in the strategic interests of the world's powerful states. the superpower generally wants stability and security in the region. Plus it's nearly impossible to plan and organize an uprising in all these countries at the same time. Of course, after the uprisings, many parties intervene in the area, including superpower countries, ISIS, AL Qaeda, Iran, Hezbollah, and others, but it is not necessary that they planned the chaos from the start. In the end, I believe that the seeds of the revolution were inside the soil and you only need one drop of water to start