April 8, 2022 - ESG and Climate News
How F^&*ed are we?
This week began with another report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).? This was their third installment of the sixth assessment report - and, yes, it can be confusing to keep up with the cadence of these reports. A meme floating around social media all week boiled it down this way:
On a more serious note, the report is a damning assessment of how global mitigation pledges fall short of the progress required to avoid the worst effects of climate change. UN Secretary General António Guterres called the report “a litany of broken climate promises” saying that “some government & business leaders are saying one thing, but doing another. Simply put, they are lying.”
Backing up his greenwash rhetoric, Guterres announced an expert group to help organizations “walk the talk” by creating better standardization around net-zero goals and speeding up implementation.
The heat is on
The report concluded that current policies put the world on track for warming within a range of 2.3C to just above 4C by 2100, with the consensus at 3C. If countries meet their current nationally determined contributions (NDCs) for 2030 under the Paris Agreement it would shave a few tenths of a degree off future warming – but a large gap remains between 2030 commitments and the magnitude of emissions reductions needed to put the world on track for below 2C or 1.5C warming by 2100.
?The good news is this report tells us how we can get out of this mess. Nearly all scenarios that limit warming below 2C rely on some degree of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technology to accelerate the pace of emissions reductions, to offset residual emissions, and to provide the option for net negative CO2 emissions in case global temperatures need to be brought back down.
Climate concerns overshadowed??
Highlighting the harsh global situation, on the same day as the IPCC release, Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan, released an open letter calling for an “immediate approval for additional oil leases and gas pipelines.”? With soaring fuel prices adding to pandemic-fueled inflation and the ongoing war in Ukraine, there is an increasingly unstable political environment that has pushed climate concerns down the list of priorities.??
Watered down
Similar to what happened with the COP26 final report, the IPCC wording was changed at the last minute and a section of the report critical of the oil and gas industry’s ‘climate blocking activities’ was cut from the final draft. Reportedly, Saudi officials and big oil companies pushed the watered down language about fossil fuels.?
It's now or never
The report is a call to nations and companies to bring their net zero ambitions into reality.
Prof Jim Skea, a co-chair of the report, says “it’s now or never to limit global warming to 1.5C”. To maintain 1.5C, the IPCC states rising emissions must peak before 2025—a mere 32 months away—and that immediate action and deep emission reductions across every sector is necessary.? To put this in context, the amount of CO2 that the world has emitted in the last decade is the same amount that's left to us to stay under this key temperature threshold.
When calls for drastic and immediate changes are juxtaposed with an unstable geopolitical environment, it seems unlikely that we will change course. But, the report lists some hopeful signs of progress. For example, renewable energy is now as cheap or cheaper than fossil fueled power. And, even though emissions have increased in the last decade, they grew more slowly than they did in the previous decade.?
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The message of this report is that we have cost-effective technology to avoid the worst effects of climate change, but lack the political will to take the actions needed.?
Carbon sucks
One of the key takeaways from this report is that natural carbon sinks and carbon capture technology are needed. The report recommends a wide range of actions for agriculture, forestry, and even a greater shift to plant-based diets to reduce carbon in the atmosphere, concluding that such measures could provide as much as 20%-30% of the emissions reductions needed to remain within 1.5-2C of warming.
Carbon capture technologies are contentious because they have been used to justify extraction of oil and gas. These technologies got a big boost this week when Climeworks, a Swiss carbon capture company, announced a massive $650 million investment. They forecast that the new cash will take them from the 4,000 tonnes of CO2 they capture today to over 1 million tonnes captured per year by 2030.?
The backlash begins?
Surprising no one, the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) landmark climate disclosure proposal is drawing pushback from Senate Republicans who are urging its withdrawal, arguing the move is outside of the agency’s authority. The opposition won’t derail the rule-making process but is a preview of the legal challenges that are certain to follow.?
Announcing: Full Disclosure?
My colleague, Kristina Wyatt, has launched a new weekly newsletter: Full Disclosure.?
Ms. Wyatt is a globally recognized expert on ESG disclosure policy.? As a seasoned attorney, she has worked on a long list of ESG policy matters, including the SEC climate disclosure proposal.???
This newsletter breaks down the complex and dynamic policy developments from around the world and provides readers a succinct summary and call to action.? The inaugural edition summarizes how global climate reporting requirements are converging.? Please read, share and subscribe to this wonderful newsletter.?
Notable news of the week:
Notable podcasts:
Notable events:
Senior Partner at Bain & Company and Global Sustainability Lead for Financial Investors
2 年Great insights, as always, Tim
Strategic Communications I Climate I Environment I Energy I Tech I Sustainability I Healthcare
2 年I look forward to your reports every Friday, Tim and have been sharing them with my network and clients. Thanks for all the great analysis and occasional winks (as in this week's title!).
Harvard Lecturer Emeritus | Uncertainty Risk Management | Pollution Prevention | Process Improvement | ESG | Organizational Sustainability | Author
2 年In September 2020, the six organizations that provided information to companies for reporting on sustainability signed an agreement that they would work together if there was a need do do so. Today there are only two sustainability standards organizations remaining - GRI and IFRS (they will be merging four of the original six organizations into their organization. CDP had divested itself of the component that dealt with sustainability "standards." IFRS may see some advantage in talking to GRI before seeking to merge their organization into the other organizations. The MOU may provide IFRS with the information it needs to invite them to join the IFRS team. This alternative has been left out of previous articles written about the merger. #centerforcps
Harvard Lecturer Emeritus | Uncertainty Risk Management | Pollution Prevention | Process Improvement | ESG | Organizational Sustainability | Author
2 年The US SEC is the designated "jurisdiction" of the international effort to address climate change standards and activity. An important part of being a jurisdiction is to work closely with IOSCO and ISSB! The SEC has not performed well on this requirement. SEC rushed the climate change draft filing knowing that IOSCO and ISSB were about to issue information about the climate change focus of their work. Many of us that are following this activity are encouraging IOSCO and ISSB to take part in the comment period and make it clear that key items need to be added to the submission. I believe there is a difference between filing in a US program and filing to respect international norms for the climate change reporting. It would have been better to file a "disclosure" to follow the international work of IOSCO, ISSB, and the other 130 jurisdictions that are following the ISOCO and ISSB activity. Had the US SEC followed the jurisdictional role emphasis in IOSCO and IFRS, it may have been possible to avoid a Republican bill to cancel the rulemaking approach. It is up to ISOCO, IFRS, ISSB, and your organizations to respond to the SEC process to change the focus to the jurisdiction approach #centerforcps