Anything That Can Go Wrong Will Go Wrong
PHIL FRIEDMAN?
Guiding Aspiring Writers and Digital Creators in Achieving Their Publishing Goals | Audience Growth, Content Strategy, and Creative Development of Opportunities for Monetization
SHOULD A COPY OF MURPHY'S LAW BE POSTED ON THE WALL OF EVERY YACHT DESIGN AND PLANS-REVIEW OFFICE?
“As a naval architect having designed all manner of vessels, and worked in plan approval at [a major classification society] , I can tell you that Murphy's Law is definitely not ever considered….” ― DM from a FYBBO reader:
This snippet arrived in my inbox as part of a longer message received after I published an article on vessel stability and down-flooding, as they potentially related to the recent tragic sinking of the yacht Bayesian.
In that article, I remarked that my experience over the years has been that many naval architects and engineers working in yacht design and plans-review offices tend, at times, to forget Murphy’s Law — as do most of us involved in yacht building — when large, expensive, and profitable projects are at stake, and when demanding, ultra-wealthy buyers and owners focus primarily on aesthetics and convenience.
??[? Bayesian Disaster Follow-Up? ]??
To be honest, I am not sure whether the intent of that reader’s comment was to confirm my opinion or denigrate it. But that’s really of little matter because I’d already set about wondering how often we in the yachtbuilding industry wax overly optimistic about problem-specific solutions we craft that don’t perform in the real world as they do on the drawing board or sketch pad — solutions that lead straight to new problems which are worse than those we set out to solve, or solutions that simply enable us to hide from ourselves the fact it would be better simply to “go back to the drawing board”.
While I’ve been thinking about that, I’ve continued to read a several very good articles about a number of as-built design features of Bayesian which may have contributed to her sinking — some of which articles support my own early (some have said premature) speculations:
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Fair winds and safe harbors ― Phil Friedman
Copyright ? 2024 by Phil Friedman — All Rights Reserved
Guiding Aspiring Writers and Digital Creators in Achieving Their Publishing Goals | Audience Growth, Content Strategy, and Creative Development of Opportunities for Monetization
6 个月FYI - Jim Cutts, Travis Southard, Cliff DeFreitas, Jhuber Vasquez, Juan Carlos Espinosa, Juan Carlos Pérez, Bob Denison, Keith Ranieri, Chris Upton, Del Schmidt, Thomas McGowan, Robert Tagg, Bill Kulenguski, Richard Marney, Drew H., William Murray, David Wollard, Frederick Haas, Chris Weingarth, Sean Cassidy, Paul Robles, MSc, PE, Captain Nic Arnsby, Capt. Bruce Blomgren, Jim Bronstien, David Giannone, Capt. Dale Smith MNI -- greetings and cheers!