Analysis of the Russian next generation Oreshnik system-latest Russian target in the Ukraine

In the recent days, there have been myriad of discussions and publications pertaining? to the new? Russian Ballistic missile Oreshnik (hazel tree). The official statement from? the Kremlin “On November 21 of this year, the Russian Armed Forces launched a combined attack on one of the facilities of the military-industrial complex of Ukraine.? In combat conditions, one of the newest Russian medium-range missile systems were tested, among other things”

According to the Russian defense department “The development of the Oreshnik missile system will expand the combat capabilities of Strategic Missile Forces to defeat various types of targets in accordance with the tasks set, both in non-nuclear and nuclear equipment. The high operational readiness of the complex allows you to retarget at any designated object in the shortest possible time and defeat it.” Hence, it means the system can utilize? regular and kinetic warheads. The kinetic warheads usage would mean reaching? supersonic or hypervelocity high flight speeds striking the target, whilst converting the kinetic energy and impulse into shock waves causing destruction.

Ukraine confirmed that city of Dnipro was hit by the Russian air strike.However, the details emerging from the alleged witnesses using verbatim as “unusual” Ukrainian officials immediately started embellishing details of the destruction felt. Russia is clearly testing a new generation missile, similarly Russia tested certain new systems in Syria in the past. The Pentagon believes it is based on the “RS-26 Rubezh” ICBM.

It can be assumed, if the main energy was released below the surface, the effect of a small earthquake could be felt. The return of energy should have occurred gradually, when the shock elements deepened and? the shock wave front stretch? mitigating the effect of the earthquake. Moreover, there are 36 elements, which were greatly stretched over time. At the same time, some stocks inside could explode.

Nevertheless, the energy release from the kinetics cannot be greater than the energy of the fuel. I.e.. One can estimate that the rocket? should be 20t equivalent. Hence it would have felt underground for under 10 seconds, that is not taking into the account aerodynamic losses and engine efficiencies. Kinetics make it almost impossible to have certain type of damages that were described by some of the reports. In addition, the shock wave in the air takes out glass? frames? at 5% excess pressure? above atmospheric pressure. The walls need about 50%.

Reviewing Sentinel satellite hub images and multiple videos:

-The arrival of 6 BB with three hit points. 4 for one, and one for each other.

-The separation process is not defined and is not visible.

-Each B at an indeterminate height (and at an indeterminate point in time) is divided into 6 SBPs coming? in plasma.

-SBP, most likely simulators against buried weapons of destruction (tungsten, uranium).

-With BP, they are uncontrollable, the spread not in a circle.

- If in the variant with SBH, then most likely - 6.

-SBP is a submunition.

There are many questions pertaining Oreshnik:

1)iThe?guidance control of each of the 6 BB,

2) Is SBB release in Bulk

3)When and at what point there can be SBB with its guidance?

4)Can the density of products be regulated depending on the tasks and the theater of military operations, per unit area.

In conclusion, the region of Ukraine was targeted by Russia. The reports are still preliminary but the system utilization? and characteristics remain to be seen. The trajectory of the Russian- Ukrainian war and dimensions remain to be seen.