Analysis of COVID-19 Software Wilmott Magazine November 2020

Coming up to the 5th anniversary of COVID-19

"Ferguson’s team produced modelling early in the pandemic that suggested the UK would suffer 500,000 Covid deaths – before the onset of?vaccines or a lockdown. But the disaster scenarios often proffered in these models are averted due to changes in government policy." Interesting viewpoint. Correlatiion is not causaton.

Omicron could overwhelm NHS if it is as virulent as Delta, Neil Ferguson says https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/10/omicron-could-overwhelm-nhs-if-virulent-as-delta-neil-ferguson-says But Ferguson said: “Even the best-case scenarios involve several-fold more admissions per day than we’re getting at the moment – we are at about 700 right now.” The stark figure of 10,000 hospitalisations a day is more than double the current highest level, with 4,582 admissions on 12 January this year.

What really happened in March 2020? "While allowing people to become infected early on to reach herd immunity was not an official government strategy, there was a "policy approach of fatalism about the prospects for Covid in the community", the report noted." Seemed like that. https://www.rte.ie/news/uk/2021/1012/1253135-uk-covid-response/