AMRO Roundup - June 2024

AMRO Launches Inaugural AFTN Seminar with Focus on Population Aging

Representatives from the AFTN members, international organizations, and regional academies convened in Shanghai to discuss the economic opportunities and challenges of population aging, as well as solutions catered to the ASEAN+3 region.

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AMRO, AFDI Sign MOU to Promote Knowledge Sharing and Capacity Building

AMRO and the Asia-Pacific Finance and Development Institute (AFDI) signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to strengthen collaboration on areas of common interest toward ensuring the macroeconomic and financial resilience and stability of the ASEAN+3 region.

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PUBLICATIONS

A Large Open Economy Model to Assess Macroeconomic Policy Performance in Japan

The paper develops and estimates a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model representing several key characteristics of Japan, a large open economy with large fiscal deficits.

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Monitoring Privately-held Firms’ Default Risk in Real Time: A Signal-Knowledge Transfer Learning Model

In this working paper, AMRO, IMF and Oxford University jointly developed a signal-knowledge transfer model to assess the default risk of privately held firms, using data from publicly-traded companies to construct a probability of default function.

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Nowcasting ASEAN+3 Goods Exports: Bridge and Machine Learning Models and Shipping “Big Data”

Real time trade statistics are not readily available in the ASEAN+3 region. To address this information gap, AMRO's working paper presents two frameworks for nowcasting export growth across 14 regional economies.

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COMMENTARIES

Brunei: Challenges and Opportunities in Becoming a ‘Smart Nation’

Boosting the Tourism Sector in Brunei

Investing in Thailand’s Future: Beyond the Digital Wallet

It is Time for ASEAN+3 to Transition to Fiscal Normality

Policy Priorities to Safeguard Longer-Term Fiscal Sustainability in Brunei