AI in Fertilization: Variable Rate Application
AI-powered VRA not only improves the efficiency and sustainability of fertilization practices but offers significant economic benefits for farmers

AI in Fertilization: Variable Rate Application

Artificial Intelligence in fertilization, particularly through Variable Rate Application (VRA), represents a transformative advancement in precision agriculture.

  1. By leveraging machine learning algorithms and real-time data from soil and crop sensors, AI-driven VRA systems can tailor fertilizer application rates to the specific needs of different field zones.
  2. This approach optimizes nutrient use, enhances crop yields, and reduces environmental impact by preventing over-fertilization and minimizing runoff.
  3. The integration of remote sensing technologies, such as NDVI, further refines these applications by providing accurate, up-to-date assessments of crop health and soil conditions.

As a result, AI-powered VRA not only improves the efficiency and sustainability of fertilization practices but also offers significant economic benefits for farmers through more precise input management and increased productivity.

Let's look closer at specific use cases of VRA of fertilisers for potatoes, grapevine and maize in Belgium, Italy and South Africa respectively.


Smart Fertilisation for Potato Farming

This study has been recently published by the researchers from Belgium ????. They investigated the benefits of variable rate nitrogen (VR-N) application in potato farming by integrating visible and near-infrared spectroscopy and remote sensing data to optimize nitrogen use and increase crop yield.

The methodology involved the use of an online vis-NIR spectroscopy sensor to measure various soil properties, and Sentinel-2 satellite imagery to obtain the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). Soil data and NDVI were combined to create fertility management zones (MZs), which guided the variable application of nitrogen fertilizers. The experiment compared VR-N to uniform rate (UR) treatments across different MZs, adjusting nitrogen levels according to soil fertility.

Key findings indicated that VR-N led to a reduction in nitrogen use by 50% in high-fertility zones (VR-H) and a 25-50% increase in low-fertility zones (VR-L), resulting in an 8.1% increase in potato yield for VR-H zones and overall higher yields in VR-ML and VR-L zones. The VR-N treatment provided a relative gross margin of 374.83 €/ha over the UR treatment, demonstrating both economic and environmental benefits.

Farmers and agronomists can apply these findings to enhance potato yields and reduce environmental impacts through precision nitrogen management.

Technologies used:

  • Online vis-NIR spectroscopy sensor
  • Sentinel-2 satellite imagery
  • Differential Global Positioning System (DGPS)
  • Partial least squares regression (PLSR) models
  • K-mean clustering analysis
  • ArcGIS software for spatial analysis

Location of experimental field in Belgium along with online spectral lines (red) and sampling points (green point). Source: Qaswar, Bustan, Mouazen, 2024
Overall methodology followed in this study. PLSR, partial least square regression; NDVI, normalized difference vegetation index; MZs, management zones; VR-N, variable-rate nitrogen. Source: Qaswar, Bustan, Mouazen, 2024


Online multi-sensor platform used for soil data collection. Source: Qaswar, Bustan, Mouazen, 2024
Strip experiment map comparing between variable rate nitrogen (N) fertilization treatment (VR-N), against uniform rate N treatment. Abbreviations: UR, uniform rate application; VR-H,variable rate high fertile zone; VR-MH, VR medium high fertile zone; VR-ML, VR medium low fertile zone; VR-L, VR low fertile zone. Source: Qaswar, Bustan, Mouazen, 2024
Maps of online predicted soil properties [organic carbon (TOC) (a), pH (b), phosphorous (P(c), potassium (K) (d), magnesium (Mg) (e) and cation exchange capacity (CEC) (f)], and crop normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) (g) and crop yield (h). Source: Qaswar, Bustan, Mouazen, 2024
Crop yield calculated for the uniform rate nitrogen (N) treatment and the per individual management zone variable rate N treatment. Error bars depict the standard deviations (±), and distinct letters positioned above the bars indicate a significant difference (P ≤ 0.05) based on the Tukey's HSD test. UR, uniform rate (control); VR-H, variable rate in high fertile zone; VR-MH, VR in medium high; VR-ML, VR in medium low and VR-L, VR in low fertile zone. Source: Qaswar, Bustan, Mouazen, 2024
Variable importance determined by Random forest (RF) model by using spatial raster data as a predictor variables and crop yield as a response. Source: Qaswar, Bustan, Mouazen, 2024

Spatially Variable Rate Fertilizer Management in a Sicilian Vineyard Using Sentinel-2 Satellite Data

The next study, conducted by a consortium of researchers from Italy ???? and Portugal ????, aimed to optimize nitrogen fertilizer application in two Sicilian vineyard plots using Sentinel-2 satellite data to create spatially variable rate fertilization maps.

The methodology involved using Sentinel-2 satellite imagery to calculate Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) for assessing vegetative vigour and leaf water content. These indices were used to produce management zones and determine the optimal fertilization time. The study focused on two vineyard plots, one with Syrah and the other with Nero d’Avola grape varieties. The data were processed using ArcGIS software, and temporal and spatial variability was analyzed.

Key findings showed that the optimal fertilization time for both plots was determined to be 12 April 2021. The spatially variable rate fertilization approach helped in reducing production costs and minimizing environmental impact. The study highlighted the significant temporal and spatial variability in vegetative vigour and leaf water content in the two vineyard plots. Applying the recommended variable rate fertilization improved the overall efficiency and sustainability of vineyard management.

Viticulturists and vineyard managers can practically apply these results to enhance vineyard management practices, optimize fertilizer use, and improve grape yield and quality.

Technologies used:

  1. Sentinel-2 satellite imagery
  2. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)
  3. Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI)
  4. ArcGIS software
  5. Statistical data analysis


Vineyard plot (1.75 ha ca.) cultivated with the variety Syrah (step-over espalier fruit tree form).
Vineyard plot (1 ha ca.) cultivated with the variety Nero d’Avola (marquee fruit tree form).
Physical and chemical soil parameters of Syrah and Nero d’Avola plots (from the soil analysis carried out in January 2021)
Specifications of the powder organic fertiliser Fomet “Humus Vita Stallatico Super” applied to Syrah and Nero d’Avola plots (average contents).
Meteorological data (average values of 10 days) logged by the station closest to the surveyed area, i.e., located in Delia (Caltanissetta, Sicily, Italy), from the beginning of April to the end of October 2021 (Sicilian Agrometeorological Information System, Sicilian Region—Department of Agricultural and Food Resources—Section Infrastructural Interventions).

Agronomic Management, Soil and Remote Sensing Variables in Maize Farming

Finally, the study, conducted and recently published by researchers in South Africa ????, aimed to evaluate the predictive accuracy of machine learning (ML) models for maize yield predictions and identify key yield-limiting factors in a data-intensive farm management (DIFM) setting.

The research employed multiple linear regression (MLR), multilayer perceptron (MLP), decision tree (DT), and random forest (RF) models, using data from 2019/2020 and 2020/2021 maize seasons. The models were trained and tested on datasets consisting of crop management, soil properties, and NDVI data. The process involved preprocessing data, splitting it into training and testing sets, and applying the respective ML algorithms.

Key findings revealed that the RF model achieved the highest predictive accuracy with R2 values of 0.69 and 0.80, and low MAPE values of 5.4% and 8.4% for the two seasons. Feature importance analysis showed that urea application was the most critical factor influencing yield variability. The study also indicated that incorporating NDVI data significantly improved model performance.

The integration of remote sensing data, such as NDVI, with machine learning models significantly enhances the predictive accuracy and efficiency of yield predictions. The use of Random Forest models, which incorporate both soil and crop management data, allows for precise identification of critical factors like urea application rates that influence yield variability, thereby enabling more effective and site-specific fertilization strategies.

The results of this research can be practically applied by farmers and agronomists to optimize input management and improve yield predictions.

Technologies and Hardware Used in this Study:

  • Python Keras libraries
  • Google Colaboratory
  • NDVI remote sensing data
  • Machine learning algorithms (MLR, MLP, DT, RF)

The maize (


A map illustrating the locations of the soil sampling points used in the maize (
The agronomic management and soil variables used in model development. Source: Maseko et al., 2024
The remotely sensed variables used in model development. Source: Maseko et al., 2024


The descriptive statistics of input application, maize yields, top and subsoil physical and chemical properties for 2019/2020 and 2020/2021 seasons. Source: Maseko et al., 2024
Rainfall distribution for the two seasons (2019/20 and 2020/21) covering the period from planting to harvesting. Source: Maseko et al., 2024
Pearson correlation analysis for the relationship between agronomic management, soil, remotely sensed, and weather data and maize yields for the 2019/2020 and 2020/2021 seasons, and combined data for the seasons. (Plant_pop: plant population, Urea: urea application, ph_top: soil pH in topsoil, bray_top: phosphorus in topsoil, K_top: potassium in topsoil, Mg_top: magnesium in topsoil, Na_top: sodium in topsoil, S_top: sulphur in topsoil, Clay_top: clay content in topsoil, Bray_sub: phosphorus in sub soil, K_sub: potassium in sub soil, Mg_sub: magnesium in sub soil, Na_sub: sodium in sub soil, S_sub: Sulphur in sub soil, Clay_sub: Clay content in sub soil, Soil_d: soil depth). Source: Maseko et al., 2024
Comparison of the performance of machine learning algorithms for season 1 (2019/2020) and season 2 (2020/2021) and combining the data from the two seasons with and without NDVI (MLR: multiple linear regression, MLP: multilayer perceptron, DT: decision tree, RF: random forest). Source: Maseko et al., 2024
Statistical analysis comparison of machine learning regression models on the DIFM trial maize field for 2019/2020, 2020/201, and the combined dataset with and without NDVI evaluated using the 80/20 training and testing analysis (MAPE: mean absolute percentage error, RMSE: root mean square error). Source: Maseko et al., 2024


Feature importance from the random forest for 2019/2022, 2020/2021, and the combination of the two-season data with and without normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) using the 80/20% training and testing analysis (Plant_pop: plant population, Urea: urea application, ph_top: soil pH in topsoil, bray_top: phosphorus in topsoil, K_top: potassium in topsoil, Mg_top: magnesium in topsoil, Na_top: sodium in topsoil, S_top: sulphur in topsoil, Clay_top: clay content in topsoil, Bray_sub: phosphorus in sub soil, K_sub: potassium in sub soil, Mg_sub: magnesium in sub soil, Na_sub: sodium in sub soil, S_sub: Sulphur in sub soil, Clay_sub: Clay content in sub soil, Soil_d: soil depth). Source: Maseko et al., 2024

References for "AI in Fertilization: Variable Rate Application"


??What's next in AI in Fertilization?

In the next 'AI in Fertilization' edition, we will continue exploring the cases of utilizing satellite imagery and NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) to monitor crop health and guide fertilization strategies.

?What do you think about this topic - would you like to suggest anything else?

Please, share your thoughts with us in the comments below ??


Wishes of proper variability of fertilizer application,

Maryna Kuzmenko, Ph.D ????, Chief Inspiration Officer at Petiole Pro Community

#fertilizers

Photo credit for the cover:

Qaswar, M.; Bustan, D.; Mouazen, A.M. Economic and Environmental Assessment of Variable Rate Nitrogen Application in Potato by Fusion of Online Visible and Near Infrared (Vis-NIR) and Remote Sensing Data. Soil Syst. 2024, 8, 66. https://doi.org/10.3390/soilsystems8020066


Muhammad Abubakar Amir

Agricultural Engineer| MS.Water Resources Engineering and Management | President SAE.

8 个月

Productive. ??

Abdul Manan

Engineer || AgTech || Precision Crop Protection Researcher || UAV's

8 个月

Thanks for sharing

Luca Testa

Co-Founder & CEO di @DROMT || Ex-Senior Growth Specialist in @MiraiBay || Ingegnere Gestionale @PoliTO

8 个月

Very interesting Maryna Kuzmenko, Ph.D ???? thank you for sharing! I agree also with Avinash Chandra Pandey as regard the benefits that regular drone monitoring can bring to the field management. That’s why in Dromt we developed DromtAG, an all-in-one platform to streamline the process of data-acquisition with drones. Our software is compatibile with commercial drones and integrates both the flight management and data-analysis parts to make agronomists and companies autonomous in using drones, in order to increase the monitoring frequency. We generate prescription maps directly communicating with VRT machineries. If we want to discuss more in depth about the theme and explore possible opportunities I’m in, I think this will be the future!

Avinash Chandra Pandey

Crop Improvement Researcher

8 个月

fertilization is a key factor in the cost of cultivation. Nowadays in India, more than 99% area is under granular application of NPK where more than 50-80% of fertilizer remains unutilized, foliar spray on specific vegetative stages not only reduces fertilizer cost dose application but also improves efficacy and helps local soil biome from adverse chemical toxicity due to unutilized fertilizer dose application. Here hope for foliar spray via drone where AI can play an important role with environmental data that can simulate previous data and predict the date, time, and dose of fertilizer. Also aerial data via drone before the spray can simulate where the dose can increase or decrease the fertilizer application or could be escape the spray as sufficient fertilizer already there. The second generation of AI can play like printer cartridges and AI can simulate the different fertilizer doses as per plant requirements where a drone scans the plant canopy and only sprays the fertilizer that is required by the each plant. It will not only reduce the cost of cultivation but also monitor each plant per acre from fertilizer and other agrochemical need-based services. ??

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