AI Will Not Eliminate Jobs

AI Will Not Eliminate Jobs

That title is a bold statement in a world where AI, ChatGPT and other technologies are doing many tasks that employees have typically performed. Sometimes, the technologies perform even better.

Earlier this year, Goldman Sachs economists predicted that generative AI tools could impact 300 million full-time jobs worldwide, which could lead to a significant disruption in the job market. That is a lot of jobs, but it’s important to note that the word used was “disrupt,” not “eliminate.” According to Statista, there are approximately 3.32 billion workers in the world. At first, one might think that 300 million is just 10% of the 3.32 billion workers on the planet, but consider some of these jobs fall under the labor category and won’t be impacted at the level other jobs are.

While it may appear to be doom and gloom for many employees, I have a rosier outlook. I’m not so na?ve to think AI won’t eliminate any jobs. Of course, there will be some elimination, but perhaps we should be more focused on the word “displacement” when discussing AI’s impact. If you look at trends in business, it’s very typical that as one product becomes obsolete, another product resurfaces and replaces lost jobs. For example, the vinyl record industry lost out to 8-track tapes, which were eventually replaced by cassette tapes, followed by CDs, which now are being replaced by streaming services. In the music industry, the jobs shifted to new products, or people found similar work in other industries.

As new technologies like AI and ChatGPT increase in capability, employees must be flexible, learn new skills and be willing to go where the jobs are available. One of the big areas of concern is the customer service and support world.

Almost everyone has experienced a digital self-service customer support tool like a chatbot or interactive voice response system. My annual customer experience research found that just 31% of customers prefer using these self-service digital customer support solutions. The phone still continues to be the No. 1 preferred method of communication.

I had the opportunity to collaborate with Capterra on its recent CX survey to understand how companies are investing in technology that drives a better customer experience. The Capterra 2023 CX Investments Survey was conducted in June 2023 to explore CX strategies and investment decisions at U.S. businesses with 5,000 or fewer employees with respondents being decision-makers at the manager level. When we asked about the impact AI has on increasing or decreasing CX staff, here’s what we found:

· 63% of companies have increased staff.

· 28% indicate no change.

· Just 9% of have reduced staff as a result of AI.

With all the hyperbole surrounding the elimination of jobs in the customer support world, only 9% of companies have reduced staff, far from eliminating all staff. In fact, the majority of companies increased staff. What AI and other technologies are doing in the customer support world is taking care of lower-level questions and problems that simply require automated responses, allowing agents to focus on bigger, more complicated issues.

As an example, it was in the 1990s when airlines started selling tickets online. Before that, the only way to purchase a ticket was to call and make a reservation or go to the airport. In just a few years, almost all airlines were going digital. The customer service agents, also known as reservationists, feared for their jobs. While the shift to passengers booking their own tickets reduced the demand for traditional travel and reservation agents, new jobs were created in the airline industry. More employees were needed to manage and maintain online booking platforms and to support passengers with problems or more complicated travel itineraries. Furthermore, the convenience and accessibility of online reservations made air travel more accessible to more people, allowing airlines to expand their operations, and in turn, hire more customer service agents and other employees important to the overall passenger experience.

The airline example is similar to many other industries. Undoubtedly, AI eliminates some jobs, especially those requiring low cognitive skills, but it also creates new jobs due to the need for people to develop, maintain and improve new technologies. And consider that new industries will be discovered and developed because of more advanced technologies. They will need workers.

The point of all this goes back to the title of this article. AI will not eliminate jobs—but it will change the job market. Just as some people see a glass of water as half-full or half-empty, you can decide if AI will create scary or exciting times.

Shep Hyken?is a customer service and customer experience expert, keynote speaker, and New York Times bestselling business author.?Learn more about Shep's?virtual?training programs?and follow?#ShepHyken?for more insights on customer service and experience.

This article was originally published on Forbes.

Check out Shep's latest research in his?Achieving Customer Amazement Study, Sponsored by Five9.?


Customer Service & CX Research



Robert Davis, MBA, CSPO?, AIPMM CPM

Product Manager | Data Strategy & Process Optimization | Systems & Workflow Strategist

2 个月

Shep, this is an insightful and refreshing perspective on the evolving job market with AI. The distinction between “disruption” and “elimination” is key - AI is reshaping roles rather than erasing them outright. I particularly appreciate the parallels you drew with historical technological shifts, like the airline industry’s transition to online bookings. Your emphasis on adaptability and skill development resonates strongly. As AI handles repetitive, lower-level tasks, it opens opportunities for employees to focus on higher-value, more complex responsibilities, ultimately enhancing customer experiences. The stats from the Capterra survey are a testament to this transformation - it’s encouraging to see that a majority of companies are increasing staff, not reducing it. This perspective is a great reminder that while AI changes the game, it also expands the playing field. It’s not just about what’s lost but also about what’s gained. Thank you for sharing such a balanced and optimistic take on a topic that often sparks fear rather than curiosity!

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Dean Macri

Helping you build automated, actionable Returns Management Workflows. ? Returns | Repairs | Refunds | Exchanges | Fraud Reduction.

1 年

Thank you for contributing to the “???????????? ???? ??????????????.” The C-suite has always viewed customer service as a huge cost center – despite the evidence that, better CX adds to the top line.? So its natural for them to see advancements in AI as a way to eliminate agents. ? ? Shep Hyken, you are correct, AI won't eliminate agents.? The strategy, though, remains the same: automate low-touch issues, freeing up agents to focus on higher touch contacts. The progress with LLMs and Generative AI simply means we’ll get better at automating the low touch issues. This will raise the percentage of customers who prefer self-serve from 31% to a number which makes the ROI attractive. ? Once final thought: what do we do with the lower cognitive agents??They become highly valuable ?????? ??????????????????????, intervening when the bots get stuck. Like Chiamaka Adine said: "upskill and know more of his/her niches." ? Bottom line: the voices of reality know this is not a wholesale replacement of customer service agents, but rather a transformation of the agent workforce value network.

In as much as AI and ChaGPT are currently in existence, one need to upskill and know more of his/her niches and develop more on them There are limites to what AIs will do. Thank you ? Shep Hyken I learn alot from you.

Don Phin

Advisor, Speaker, Coach

1 年

Shep- won't replace any magicians any time soon!

Anita Toth

Hidden Revenue Hunter | Find $5K-$50k in overlooked revenues in 6 weeks--without chasing new customers or adding more stress | Champion for better customer experiences for everyone |

1 年

I'm more concerned about the future work expectations. What will be the level of production and expectation when ChatGPT and AI are in your corner? Did any of the survey results indicate this as a concern ? Shep Hyken?

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