AI Business Planning Excellence for Semiconductor Industry via Logical AI Collaborative Innovation
AI graph is credited to Midjourney.

AI Business Planning Excellence for Semiconductor Industry via Logical AI Collaborative Innovation

With the rapid development of generative artificial intelligence (AI) technology, especially the rise of services such as OpenAI's ChatGPT, Microsoft's Bing, and Google's Bard, various industries are in a crucial phase of AI transformation. The previous article explored how the semiconductor manufacturing industry, such as TSMC, utilizes AI and machine learning (ML) techniques for AI transformation excellence strategies. Through three steps of intuitive AI collaborative innovation, we proposed four major aspects of AI transformation pillars, including optimization and adaptability of business planning, innovation in manufacturing process technology, construction and application of common AI technology platforms, and operational strategy planning. Readers interested in this transformative trend can refer to the previous LinkedIn articles for a deeper understanding, including "AI Transformation Excellence for Semiconductor Industry via Logical AI Collaborative Innovation" and published book of "AI Power: Logical and Collaborative Innovation" in Amazon.

This article discusses how the leading semiconductor manufacturing industries like TSMC can use artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) technologies for business planning excellence. The article details four main aspects through three steps of intuitive AI collaborative innovation: wafer product demand forecasting, wafer manufacturing supply chain management, wafer factory capacity prediction and optimization, and business strategy planning.

In these areas, various algorithms such as deep learning, decision tree analysis, expert systems, integer programming, and network optimization models are utilized. These strategies cover market trend analysis, risk management, supply chain optimization, as well as employee training, customer relationship management, and environmental sustainability, aiming to enhance the company's competitiveness and social image in the market. The article provides structured business planning and AI application schemes based on the Minto Pyramid model, assisting leading semiconductor industries like TSMC to maintain a leading position in the rapidly changing market environment.

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Regarding the AI collaborative proposal, the following is the response from the previous article's discussion on AI collaborative business planning:

Pyramid Layer 1 - Main Objective One: Optimization and Adaptability of Business Planning

Pyramid Layer 2: Market Analysis and Forecasting

  • Dynamic Data Analysis: Using advanced AI and ML tools for real-time analysis of extensive market data to capture subtle changes in market trends and predict future demand patterns.
  • Supply Chain Model Optimization: Applying machine learning technology to optimize supply chain decisions, such as predicting logistics delays and fluctuations in raw material supply, to manage inventory and production plans more effectively.
  • Risk Prediction: Using AI models to analyze and predict market, policy, and technology risks, providing businesses with comprehensive risk assessment and management strategies.
  • Customer Segmentation and Customization: Utilizing deep learning algorithms to analyze customer behavior data for precise market segmentation and providing more personalized products and services to different customer groups.

Pyramid Layer 2: Risk Management and Response Strategies

  • Geopolitical Risk Analysis: Using AI tools for in-depth analysis of the global political and economic environment to predict its potential impact on the business and develop corresponding response measures.
  • Supply Chain Redundancy Design: Optimizing supply chain design through machine learning to establish stronger redundancy mechanisms, thereby reducing dependence on specific suppliers or regions.
  • Agile Response Mechanism: Building a rapid response mechanism with AI to adjust operational strategies quickly in the face of market fluctuations or supply chain disruptions.
  • Crisis Simulation Drills: Using AI for various crisis scenario simulations to assess potential impacts and develop response strategies in advance, thereby enhancing the company's ability to handle emergencies.

The optimization and adaptability of business planning use advanced artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) technologies to enhance the flexibility and market adaptability of business strategies. In market analysis and forecasting, the focus includes using AI and ML tools for dynamic market data analysis to capture trends and predict future demand patterns, optimizing the supply chain model to manage inventory and production more effectively, and using AI for comprehensive risk assessment and management. Additionally, deep learning is used to analyze customer behavior data for market segmentation and customization.

In risk management and response strategies, the approach includes using AI to analyze geopolitical risks and develop corresponding measures, optimizing supply chain design through machine learning to increase redundancy, establishing an agile response mechanism to quickly adjust operational strategies, and using AI for crisis simulation drills to enhance the company's emergency response capabilities.

After gaining a basic understanding of business planning, we continue with in-depth research, using the three-step intuitive AI problem-solving approach (Minto Pyramid Model) as follows.

Figure 1: Intuitive AI Problem-Solving Approach – Minto Pyramid Model.

1. Intuitive Experience Decomposition - For AI Business Planning Excellence of Semiconductor Industry

  • 2-4 Items and Others: The AI collaborative response covered two main directions: market analysis and forecasting, and risk management and response strategies. This classification method offers a broad perspective. After studying the website data and annual reports of TSMC, I adopted a function-based classification approach, covering demand forecasting, supply chain management, capacity planning, and other related areas. Through this function-centric classification method, we can more clearly delve into the design and implementation details of each functional area, thereby providing TSMC with more specific and targeted strategic recommendations.

Figure 2: Decomposing into three items (wafer product demand forecasting, wafer manufacturing supply chain management, and wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization) and others.


  • Minto Pyramid SCQA Narrative Flow:

o?? Scenario: TSMC is a leading global semiconductor wafer manufacturing company (information including company website introduction, planning, and financial reports).

o?? Complication: The imbalance of the supply chain in the post-pandemic era, the expansion of regional conflicts, and demands for localization of production and technical cooperation due to regional protectionism have led to unpredictability in business planning and global manufacturing.

o?? Question: How can TSMC utilize generative AI and Machine Learning (ML) to enhance its business planning excellence? Please consider three aspects including wafer product demand forecasting, wafer manufacturing supply chain management, and wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization. Also, suggest any other directions that could be considered.

o?? Answer: Please provide an AI collaborative response.

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2. AI Interaction and Collaboration - For AI Business Planning Excellence of Semiconductor Industry

  • First Step Content: TSMC is a global leader in semiconductor wafer manufacturing (information including company website introduction, planning, and financial reports). The imbalance of the supply chain in the post-pandemic era, the expansion of regional conflicts, and demands for localization of production and technical cooperation due to regional protectionism have led to unpredictability in business planning and global manufacturing. How can TSMC utilize generative AI and Machine Learning (ML) to enhance its business planning excellence? Please consider three aspects including wafer product demand forecasting, wafer manufacturing supply chain management, and wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization. Also, suggest any other directions that could be considered.
  • Required Output Format: Use the specified Minto Pyramid structure to answer the question (for the format explanation, please refer to the prior article and reference book).

Here is the interaction with ChatGPT:

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AI Prompt:

TSMC is a global leader in semiconductor wafer manufacturing (information including company website introduction, planning, and financial reports). The imbalance of the supply chain in the post-pandemic era, the expansion of regional conflicts, and demands for localization of production and technical cooperation due to regional protectionism have led to unpredictability in business planning and global manufacturing. How can TSMC utilize generative AI and Machine Learning (ML) to enhance its business planning excellence? Please consider three aspects including wafer product demand forecasting, wafer manufacturing supply chain management, and wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization. Also, suggest any other directions that could be considered. Use the specified Minto Pyramid structure to answer the question.

ChatGPT:

Based on the Minto Pyramid model, the following is a detailed analysis and recommendations for TSMC to enhance the precision and execution of business planning excellence using generative AI and machine learning.

Pyramid Level One - Main Objective One: Wafer Product Demand Forecasting

Market Trend and Demand Analysis

  • Utilize big data to analyze global market trends and consumer behavior.
  • Use time series analysis to forecast product demand.
  • Combine competitive intelligence to analyze market opportunities and risks.

Customer Behavior Insights

  • Use machine learning to analyze customer purchase history and preferences.
  • Apply sentiment analysis to understand customer feedback on products.
  • Integrate social media data for deep customer insights.

Technology Development Trend Analysis

  • Track how technology innovations impact product demand.
  • Analyze industry reports and forecasts of technological developments.
  • Study the impact of new technologies on product life cycles.

Product Portfolio Analysis

  • Assess the impact of different product combinations on market demand.
  • Use a data-driven approach to optimize the product mix.
  • Consider market diversity and product innovation.

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Pyramid Level One - Main Objective Two: Wafer Manufacturing Supply Chain Management

Supply Chain Network Optimization

  • Use machine learning to optimize supply chain structure and processes.
  • Implement dynamic inventory management and forecasting models.
  • Enhance supply chain transparency and flexibility.

Risk Management and Response Strategies

  • Use risk assessment models to predict supply chain disruptions.
  • Establish contingency plans and alternative supply chains.
  • Monitor global events for their impact on the supply chain.

Supplier Collaboration and Relationship Management

  • Strengthen relationships with key suppliers.
  • Use AI for supplier performance assessment.
  • Establish win-win cooperation models and strategies.

Logistics and Transportation Optimization

  • Use AI to optimize logistics routes and transportation methods.
  • Implement intelligent logistics tracking and management systems.
  • Analyze and optimize transportation costs and efficiency.

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Pyramid Level One - Main Objective Three: Wafer Factory Capacity Forecasting and Optimization

Capacity Demand Forecasting and Planning

  • Use data analysis to predict short-term and long-term capacity needs.
  • Optimize production scheduling and resource allocation.
  • Implement flexible production strategies to respond to demand changes.

Production Process and Technology Optimization

  • Use AI and machine learning to optimize production processes.
  • Implement automation and intelligent manufacturing technologies.
  • Continuously innovate and upgrade manufacturing processes.

Quality Control and Continuous Improvement

  • Use data-driven methods for quality control.
  • Apply predictive maintenance to reduce production interruptions.
  • Encourage employee participation in improvement plans and innovation.

Technology R&D and Innovation

  • Invest in new technology development to enhance production capabilities.
  • Explore new materials and process applications.
  • Collaborate with academic and research institutions for technical innovation.

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Pyramid Level One - Additional Recommendations

Talent Development and Skill Enhancement

  • Strengthen employee training in AI and machine learning.
  • Encourage cross-departmental learning and skill sharing.
  • Establish a culture of internal innovation and learning.

Customer Relationship and Market Communication

  • Use AI to enhance customer service and support.
  • Apply data analysis to improve market communication strategies.
  • Develop data-based customer loyalty programs.

Environmental Sustainability and Social Responsibility

  • Implement green manufacturing and energy management strategies.
  • Explore renewable energy and carbon emission reduction methods.
  • Participate in community and environmental activities to enhance corporate image.


Action Method Recommendations

  • For Main Objective One: Implement a demand forecasting system that integrates market trend analysis and customer behavior insights.
  • For Main Objective Two: Optimize supply chain management, implement risk management strategies, and improve logistics efficiency.
  • For Main Objective Three: Strengthen capacity planning and production processes and enhance quality control and continuous improvement.
  • For Additional Recommendations: Develop AI talent, enhance customer relationships, and strengthen environmental sustainability and social responsibility.

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3. Logically Reassembling Proposal into 3-layer Pyramid - For AI Business Planning Excellence of Semiconductor Industry

  • Determining the Main Logic Line of Pyramid: Based on the collaborative answers provided by AI, I will follow the original AI hierarchical classification method without reordering. As for other aspects suggested by AI, I will incorporate them into the category of "Business Strategy Planning" as an important part of future planning and implementation.
  • Solution Suggestion in 3-Layer Minto Pyramid Structure: Based on the above reorganization analysis, we can derive the following three-layer pyramid scheme with four priority aspects.

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For the four aspects, let’s divide into four separate Minto pyramids to explain the business planning excellence.

Figure 3: Three-Layer Minto Solution Pyramid - Focusing on how TSMC can utilize generative AI and Machine Learning (ML) to enhance business planning excellence, considering four aspects including wafer product demand forecasting, wafer manufacturing supply chain management, wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization, and business strategy planning. Detailed planning and execution are covered for first aspects of wafer product demand forecasting.

Wafer product demand forecasting includes key areas such as market trend analysis, customer behavior insights, technology development trend analysis, and product portfolio analysis. Firstly, it involves using big data to analyze global market trends and consumer behavior, applying time series analysis to forecast product demand, and combining competitive intelligence to analyze market opportunities and risks. Secondly, in terms of customer behavior, it includes using machine learning to analyze customers' purchase history and preferences, applying sentiment analysis to understand customer feedback, and integrating social media data for deep customer insights.

Additionally, technology development trend analysis involves tracking the impact of technological innovations on product demand, analyzing industry reports and forecasts of technological developments, and studying the impact of new technologies on product life cycles. Lastly, product portfolio analysis involves assessing the impact of different product combinations on market demand, using a data-driven approach to optimize the product mix, and considering the importance of market diversity and product innovation.


Figure 4: Three-Layer Minto Solution Pyramid - Focusing on how TSMC can utilize generative AI and Machine Learning (ML) to enhance business planning excellence, considering four aspects including wafer product demand forecasting, wafer manufacturing supply chain management, wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization, and business strategy planning. Detailed planning and execution are covered for second aspects of wafer manufacturing supply chain management.

Wafer manufacturing supply chain management involves aspects such as supply chain network optimization, risk management and response strategies, supplier collaboration and relationship management, and logistics and transportation optimization. Firstly, it includes using machine learning to optimize the supply chain structure and processes, implementing dynamic inventory management, and forecasting models, and enhancing the supply chain's transparency and flexibility. Secondly, risk management and response strategies involve using risk assessment models to predict supply chain disruptions, establishing contingency plans and alternative supply chains, and monitoring global events for their potential impact on the supply chain.

In terms of supplier collaboration and relationship management, it involves strengthening relationships with key suppliers, using AI for supplier performance assessment, and establishing win-win cooperation models. Lastly, in logistics and transportation optimization, it includes using AI to optimize logistics routes and transportation methods, implementing intelligent logistics tracking and management systems, and analyzing and optimizing transportation costs and efficiency.


Figure 5: Three-Layer Minto Solution Pyramid - Focusing on how TSMC can utilize generative AI and Machine Learning (ML) to enhance business planning excellence, considering four aspects including wafer product demand forecasting, wafer manufacturing supply chain management, wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization, and business strategy planning. Detailed planning and execution are covered for third aspects of wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization.

Wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization cover key areas such as capacity demand forecasting and planning, production process and technology optimization, quality control and continuous improvement, and technology R&D and innovation. Firstly, it involves using data analysis to predict short-term and long-term capacity needs, optimizing production scheduling and resource allocation, and implementing flexible production strategies to adapt to market demand changes. Secondly, in terms of production process and technology, it includes using AI and ML to improve production process efficiency, implementing automation and intelligent manufacturing technologies, and continuously innovating and upgrading manufacturing processes.

In quality control and continuous improvement, it involves using data-driven methods for quality control, applying predictive maintenance to reduce production interruptions, and encouraging employee participation in improvement programs and innovation activities. Lastly, in technology R&D and innovation, it involves investing in new technology development to enhance production capabilities, exploring new materials and process applications, and collaborating with academic and research institutions to drive technological innovation.


Figure 6: Three-Layer Minto Solution Pyramid - Focusing on how TSMC can utilize generative AI and Machine Learning (ML) to enhance business planning excellence, considering four aspects including wafer product demand forecasting, wafer manufacturing supply chain management, wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization, and business strategy planning. Detailed planning and execution are covered for fourth aspects of business strategy planning.

Business strategy planning includes critical areas such as talent development and skill enhancement, customer relationship and market communication, and environmental sustainability and social responsibility. Firstly, in talent development, the focus is on strengthening employee training in AI and ML, encouraging cross-departmental learning and skill sharing, and establishing a corporate culture of internal innovation and learning. Secondly, in customer relationships and market communication, it involves using AI technology to enhance customer service and support, applying data analysis to improve market communication strategies, and developing data-based customer loyalty programs.

Lastly, in environmental sustainability and social responsibility, it includes implementing green manufacturing and energy management strategies, exploring renewable energy and carbon emission reduction methods, and actively participating in community and environmental activities to enhance the corporate image.

In conclusion, through collaboration with AI and using a three-step intuitive logical method and the Minto Pyramid logical tool, the strategy for TSMC's use of AI in business planning excellence to increase competitiveness covers four main aspects: wafer product demand forecasting, wafer manufacturing supply chain management, wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization, and business strategy planning, all aimed at achieving business planning excellence.

In wafer product demand forecasting, the focus includes using big data to analyze market trends and customer behavior and tracking the impact of technological developments on product demand. Wafer manufacturing supply chain management emphasizes using machine learning to optimize the supply chain, managing risks, and strengthening relationships with suppliers. Wafer factory capacity forecasting and optimization involve using data analysis to predict capacity needs, optimizing production processes, and continuous technological innovation. Lastly, the business strategy planning section highlights talent development, customer relationship management, and environmental sustainability and social responsibility, all aimed at enhancing the company's competitiveness and social image in the market.

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### ONE MORE THING

Now that we have delved deeply into the strategy and execution aspects of business strategy planning, I wish to further explore the AI and ML algorithms that can be used in the strategy execution phase, as well as the potential application scope of these technologies. My collaboration with AI continues with the following directive prompt:

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AI Prompt:

For each of the described items, add suggestions including algorithms and potential applications.

ChatGPT:

Based on the Minto Pyramid model, to provide more precise recommendations, I will propose specific algorithms and technical applications.

Pyramid First Layer - Main Goal One: Wafer Product Demand Forecasting

Market Trend and Demand Analysis

  • Algorithm: Use deep learning (such as Long Short-Term Memory Networks, LSTM) to predict product demand trends.
  • Application: Establish a real-time market monitoring system, using APIs to collect and analyze data from major news and financial reports.

Customer Behavior Insights

  • Algorithm: Use decision trees and association rule analysis (such as FP-Growth) to identify customer purchase patterns.
  • Application: Implement a Customer Relationship Management (CRM) system, integrating sales and customer service data.

Technology Development Trend Analysis

  • Algorithm: Use expert systems and fuzzy logic to assess the market potential of new technologies.
  • Application: Regularly hold internal seminars, inviting industry experts to share the latest technology trends.

Product Portfolio Analysis

  • Algorithm: Use multi-objective optimization (such as Pareto optimization) to balance product portfolios.
  • Application: Establish a dynamic product portfolio assessment system, adjusting based on market feedback.

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Pyramid First Layer - Main Goal Two: Wafer Manufacturing Supply Chain Management

Supply Chain Network Optimization

  • Algorithm: Use integer programming and network optimization models to plan the supply chain structure.
  • Application: Implement supply chain visualization tools, tracking inventory and logistics status in real-time.

Risk Management and Response Strategies

  • Algorithm: Apply Bayesian networks and simulation for risk assessment.
  • Application: Establish a supply chain risk management dashboard, responding promptly to potential disruptions.

Supplier Collaboration and Relationship Management

  • Algorithm: Use scorecards and KPI analysis to assess supplier performance.
  • Application: Implement a supplier performance management system, promoting long-term cooperation.

Logistics and Transportation Optimization

  • Algorithm: Use vehicle routing planning (VRP) and optimization.
  • Application: Deploy advanced logistics management systems, including the use of drones and automated transport tools.

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Pyramid First Layer - Main Goal Three: Wafer Factory Capacity Forecasting and Optimization

Capacity Demand Forecasting and Planning

  • Algorithm: Use regression analysis and machine learning to predict production volumes.
  • Application: Integrate production planning systems, automatically adjusting capacity arrangements.

Production Process and Technology Optimization

  • Algorithm: Use process simulation and optimization algorithms (such as Lean production).
  • Application: Introduce intelligent manufacturing solutions, such as automated assembly lines and robotic technologies.

Quality Control and Continuous Improvement

  • Algorithm: Apply Statistical Process Control (SPC) and quality analysis.
  • Application: Deploy quality monitoring systems, achieving real-time quality tracking.

Technology R&D and Innovation

  • Algorithm: Use data-driven R&D methods, such as Design of Experiments (DOE).
  • Application: Collaborate with research institutions to develop new materials and process technologies.


Pyramid First Layer - Business Strategy Planning

Talent Development and Skill Enhancement

  • Algorithm: Apply adaptive learning algorithms for personalized training content.
  • Application: Establish online learning and practical training platforms, fostering knowledge sharing.

Customer Relationship and Market Communication

  • Algorithm: Use group dynamics analysis (such as social network analysis) to optimize marketing strategies.
  • Application: Use data visualization tools to enhance market communication effectiveness.

Environmental Sustainability and Social Responsibility

  • Algorithm: Use ecological footprint analysis and carbon emission calculations.
  • Application: Implement energy management systems and sustainable production practices.

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Summary of algorithms and applications used in business planning:

  • Wafer Product Demand Forecasting: Use deep learning (such as LSTM) to forecast market trends, decision trees and association rule analysis for customer purchase patterns, and expert systems to assess the impact of new technologies on product demand. Additionally, apply multi-objective optimization (such as Pareto optimization) for balancing product portfolios, and establish real-time market monitoring systems and dynamic product portfolio assessment systems.
  • Wafer Manufacturing Supply Chain Management: Use integer programming and network optimization models for supply chain optimization, Bayesian networks for risk management, scorecards and KPI analysis for supplier performance, and vehicle routing planning (VRP) for logistics optimization. Also, implement supply chain visualization tools and smart logistics management systems, as well as a supply chain risk management dashboard.
  • Wafer Factory Capacity Forecasting and Optimization: Use regression analysis and machine learning for capacity demand prediction, process simulation and optimization algorithms (such as Lean production) for improving production processes. Additionally, apply Statistical Process Control (SPC) for quality control, and use data-driven R&D methods, like Design of Experiments (DOE), for technological innovation.
  • Business Strategy Planning: Use adaptive learning algorithms for personalized employee training, group dynamics analysis for optimizing marketing strategies, and ecological footprint analysis and carbon emission calculations for environmental sustainability. Moreover, establish online learning platforms and data visualization tools to enhance market communication effectiveness and energy management efficiency.

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This article discusses how the leading semiconductor manufacturing industries like TSMC can use artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) technologies for business planning excellence. The article details four main aspects through three steps of intuitive AI collaborative innovation: wafer product demand forecasting, wafer manufacturing supply chain management, wafer factory capacity prediction and optimization, and business strategy planning.

In these areas, various algorithms such as deep learning, decision tree analysis, expert systems, integer programming, and network optimization models are utilized. These strategies cover market trend analysis, risk management, supply chain optimization, as well as employee training, customer relationship management, and environmental sustainability, aiming to enhance the company's competitiveness and social image in the market. The article provides structured business planning and AI application schemes based on the Minto Pyramid model, assisting leading semiconductor industries like TSMC to maintain a leading position in the rapidly changing market environment.

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For further details, please refer to the Amazon publication of “AI Power: Logical and Collaborative Innovation”.

#AIPower #LogicalandCollaborativeInnovation #GenerativeAI #MintoPyramid #LogicalThinkingProcess #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #BusinessInnovationProcess #AITransformation #AICoE

#SemiconductorIndustry #BusinessPlanning #ProcessTechnology #AIPlatform

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# Prior LinkedIn Pulse Articles on Industry AI Transformation

In the previously published four articles, AI transformation strategies for three industries were suggested. Readers interested in these topics can refer to the following articles:

AI Transformation in Semiconductor Manufacturing Industry:

AI Transformation in Heavy Manufacturing Industry:

AI Transformation in Finance and Insurance Industry:

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