Ahmed Moustafa writes: What to expect from the Munich Security Conference as we enter the second year of the conflict inside Ukraine?
Ahmed Moustafa
Director of Asia Center for Studies and Translation, which focuses on and analyzes deeply all current Asian affairs
Ahmed Moustafa writes: What to expect from the Munich Security Conference as we enter the second year of the conflict inside Ukraine??
Security is crucial:-
First of all, we commend the position of Algeria and South Africa at the African Union summit in Addis Ababa by expelling an Israeli delegation that tried to impose itself on Africa and obtain observer status in the African Union. But the fault is not on this delegation because the Zionist entity will try this more than once, but the responsibility is on the countries that allowed it to do so and did not stop it at its actual limit, against the background of all the grave violations and brutal war crimes that are taking place in our occupied territories in Palestine, Syria, and the Arab region, where he seeks unchecked corruption, and this brings us to the Munich Security Conference.
With the above headline inspired by the Brunswick Group article, we must ask the question - why is a security one of the most important things in the world? Because without security and with rampant instability, no focus of the world can achieve stability, development, and prosperity for the human race, the tasks entrusted to every sane human being on the surface of the planet, because any conflict and any war is a drain on wealth and the economy. The main objective of these major global conferences was to forge an international consensus on the prosperity of mankind and to resolve all types of conflict by peaceful means in accordance with logic, justice, and the spirit of international laws.
Unfortunately, because of the rampant selfishness, protectionism, and the domination of unipolar world order over the world for about 30 years after the dissolution of the former Soviet Union, there are great drawbacks, especially American hegemony, and arrogance, which tries to shape the world according to America's interests, regardless of the cultural specificity of peoples and countries - and the insistence of the West, dominated by America, that every country that violates American rules is a "rogue state" and must be punished.?
Just for America's control of the global financial digital system and the media, and the control of four decision-making lobbies in America, the lobby of the military complex, the US Federal Reserve lobby, which controls the banking network globally, the energy lobby and the media lobby that demonizes anyone who deviates from American rules, all of which belong to influential families who own transcontinental companies and are all supporters of Zionism.??
Munich Security Summit at stake:-
Every year since 1963, the Munich Security Conference has hosted governments, experts, and companies to meet to discuss Euro-Atlantic defense and security issues, and then expanded to discuss all security issues in the world.
Dominated by the presence of NATO countries, including a strong U.S. delegation (President Biden in 2021, Vice President Harris in 2022), the conference serves as a thermometer for European security discussions and helps determine future directions for security matters in the world. It is also a forum where leaders from outside the alliance come to convey messages, as Russian President Vladimir Putin did in 2007 when he first publicly accused the United States of supporting NATO's unacceptable expansion in the east. The fifty-ninth Munich Security Conference promises to set a rich agenda for European security agencies and companies interested in the European market.
One of the worst things we have seen in this conference is that the conference is opened by the notorious and low-profile Ukrainian President Zelensky, who does not go by a day without criticism from some European or American media. Also, the European popular anger is great because his name is mentioned because of the major economic disasters caused by this crisis in Europe in particular, especially on the European people, this is what Putin bet on from the beginning of the special operation, and his bet succeeded while we were in the midst of the almost daily mass demonstrations in Western Europe, either to leave NATO for insufficient salaries for the requirements of daily life, especially energy, whose value has multiplied by 4 or 5 times and associated with the survival of Germany as a global industry fortress and the strongest European economy.?
Here, the role of a large American consulting firm comes such as McKinsey Consulting, according to the criticism of the American Politico website itself, turned the conference from just a conference to discuss security visions in the world to a trade forum similar to the "Davos Economic Forum" to conclude the largest security and logistical deals for the participating countries, especially American arms and logistics companies, and this is what we will refer to in the second half of this article.
The idea of this year's conference - refocusing on European security:
The difficulties NATO has faced in recent years, marked by US President Donald Trump's financial demands for Europeans, President Macron's statements about the "mental death of NATO", the US strategic pivot towards Asia and the question of relations with China, have prompted the Munich Security Conference Council to reinvent itself, by increasingly focusing on the security aspects of global issues, including climate, biodiversity, digitalization, health, and food.
However, Russia's war against Ukraine caused the event to refocus on its origins: Europe's security system, which now needs to be completely reproduced, is known in Germany as “Zeitenwende – the historical paradigm shift” of German defense policy in the direction of a more assertive militarization.
More broadly, this war requires a rethinking of the set of principles and values underpinning the international system, which is now subject to competing "visions" between democracies and authoritarian regimes from a Western perspective. Whereas, the initial report of the 2023 conference, entitled "Re-Vision", calls for rebuilding a new common vision within the international community, through 6 areas for review as follows:
1. Ukraine
The Ukrainian crisis first began days after the 2022 Munich Security Conference. With the return of spring, the current strategy seems to accept endless war for the foreseeable future. This approach does not seem to face challenges in the short term, despite the enormous losses and damage, perhaps even more at the expense of Western peoples. In this context, German and French support for the Ukrainian war effort will continue to generate intense media coverage. In an apparent disagreement with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Christoph Heusgen, the new charismatic head of Germany's military air defense forces, called for the delivery of fighter jets to Ukraine.?
2. NATO
NATO's ability to maintain the alliance's long-term solidarity, as well as the growing division between NATO's east and west, is likely to be subordinated. Many Eastern European countries increasingly feel that Western countries are acting indecisively. The future of the Alliance depends on the speed of its movement, its response to this division, and its ability to meet the demands of the current security environment. Other discussions will focus on the issue of expanding NATO to Sweden and Finland, which is ultimately subject to Turkey's agreement and is likely to remain paralyzed until Turkey's presidential election later this year. Those who advocate European strategic autonomy have been marginalized because the priority is for the entire coalition to form a bloc against Russia.
3. Defense spending
Both Germany and France announced billions of euros in funding to support and modernize their militaries in this new geopolitical context, raising important questions for businesses about how these funds will be accessed, how much will go to national companies, the possibilities of foreign companies to do so such as receiving funding, etc. The concept of "defense Europe" is at the heart of new EU legislation, especially for Germany, in Germany's long-awaited first national security strategy, which is likely to be released at the conference.
4. China
Determining what the European relationship with China, as a bloc and individual countries, should look like will be a key focus of the conference. The relationship between economic growth and national security makes this debate more difficult than it used to be, whether it's technology, trade, energy, or pandemic preparedness. The Sino-Russian relationship will remain in the spotlight a year after the "Borderless Partnership" agreement between the two countries, while China continues to provide essential materials to Russia. New Politburo member Wang Yi is participating.
5. Energy & Climate
Energy will prove to be an important topic as the commitments of countries to green energy options continue to be jeopardized due to the ongoing energy security crisis, and what we have investigated on the subject of a ceiling for Russian energy prices reflects the economic weakness of European budgets in the short term, due to the continued purchase of energy at market price or even fair, and it is difficult to solve it because it is a "producer market" and not a "consumer market" and this is confirmed by many experts. Europeans will continue to discuss their answer to the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act and ways to relax their strict collective rules on government subsidies. There may also be a focus on the urgent need to strengthen resilience to climate impacts, such as migration, particularly in global regions already heavily affected by climate change, such as Africa and Southeast Asia.
6. Technology and Cybersecurity
There is a focus on strengthening cooperation through the development of common standards on technology and cybersecurity, especially between the EU and the United States, and an ongoing commitment to a democratic and trustworthy information environment from the point of view of Europeans. However, the focus will be on European technology regulation, including the Digital Services and Digital Markets Act, both of which seek to create a safer digital space, protect basic user rights, identify and dismantle gatekeepers, and level the playing field for companies.
How McKinsey is leading the agenda of the Munich Security Conference:
U.S.-based consulting firm McKinsey dominated the event's agenda, and its program shaped the guest list for years. Over the past decade, consulting firm McKinsey has influenced the conference agenda, according to current and former employees and documents leaked to Politico, to guide everything at the conference from focus in the presentation report to the event program, to guest lists.?
The extent of McKinsey's influence behind the scenes in shaping the conference's agenda raises questions about the governance and oversight of an event that sells itself as a neutral forum for discussing global affairs.
The Politico report also notes that the number of sponsors rose to nearly 30 compared to just six in 2010 and contributions jumped to more than €2 million. Even as money flowed, the conference's advisory board – which at the time included several German CEOs, a Saudi prince, and the former governor of Bavaria – was wary of expanding the organization and gaining a reputation for sacrificing substantive security issues and dilemmas in Europe and then in the world for financial gain. They did not want the Munich Security Conference Committee to become a replica of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
Politico previously reported in 2019 about the poor selection of "Ursula von der Leyen" as president of the European Commission, (first) because of the weakness of her CV and that she was not a good choice for the position of German defense minister due to her weak personality, especially with senior commanders and officers, accusing her of the weakness of character, naivety, and lack of experience. (second) Politico exposed the corruption that has occurred between the Defense Department under her leadership and some American companies at the time since 2013, the woman who became Minister of Defense, and Politico continues here her presence in this position that also gave her a major role in the conference in her native Germany. Some senior German employees within McKinsey won a ready ally in the German government (von der Leyen).
After von der Leyen's 2014 speech at the conference, the CEOs of defense contractors Raytheon and Airbus took the podium, along with former NATO Secretary-General Javier Solana. Von der Leyen introduced them to Frank Matern, a senior manager at McKinsey in Germany.
It was also an opportunity for McKinsey to set the agenda. In its inaugural chapter, the report claims, quoting McKinsey: "Europe can save €13 billion a year by pooling defense purchases."
The report cites McKinsey as in the middle of a list of think tanks and government departments for "research and input." What has not been disclosed is that the report was largely designed and funded by McKinsey itself.
People close to the conference say the conference's organizing committee made an effort to conceal McKinsey's involvement. Many German officials did not respond to Politico's queries in this regard.
Although McKinsey was regularly included in Munich conference acknowledgments and as a sponsor of individual articles, such as the 2019 article on artificial intelligence, the extent of her involvement was deeper, and the company even paid the bill for printed reports, according to people close to the conference.
Some McKinsey employees worked at the Munich conference under the company's so-called "social leave program," under which employees are given leave to join a nonprofit, and the Politico report talked about the employment of Secretary Von der Leyen's two sons at McKinsey linking the work of the Munich Security Conference.?
The final and important part of the Politico report is McKinsey's quest to shift the report's focus to issues that matter to its clients from arms and security contractors, not even European people. Topics promoting cybersecurity companies to U.S. drones or U.S.-sanctioned drones are covered, people close to the conference say.?
Others said the contributors to the Munich Security Conference were mostly "fresh graduates and inexperienced," making it easier for senior advisers to push their line to their desired goals. However, McKinsey has been keen to stay in the shadows and steer the direction of reporting, and McKinsey has provided advice on how to organize the conference program and even guest lists, people close to the Munich Security Conference said.
Remarks:-
This justifies how some U.S. officials made some irresponsible statements at the conference regarding "Russia and China," notably the U.S. Deputy Secretary of State and former ambassador to Ukraine in 2014, Victoria Nuland: "If Netanyahu succeeds in pushing Putin and Zelensky into negotiations, we will bless him with the Nobel Peace Prize" – so it is clear how the Nobel Peace Prize is awarded to a Palestinian and Syrian "vampire war criminal," and who is actually recommending these prizes that are supposed to be humanly high and that these awards are no credibility.
Her statement that "Russian military targets in Crimea are legitimate for Ukrainian forces" is also provocative and unacceptable and shows the world how America is the sponsor of conflicts and chaos in the world. Because if she really wanted peace, she would have forced Zelensky to sit at the negotiating table with President Putin to put an end to this conflict.
And other provocative statements about China and an attempt to demonize China in the media by dropping a Chinese research balloon that entered the American airspace due to the wind, and was not equipped with any weapons, according to American statements, after it was shot down with the blackout on the number of American bases, which are not less than 100 bases distributed over the world. As well as the violation of the US Air Force for violating the airspace of many countries, including China. With the indifference of US officials to the interest of middle- and low-income earners inside America, consumers of Chinese products, where the volume of China's imports to America reaches 400 billion dollars.
Europeans are also unaware, as mentioned above, that the guests of these major global conferences are inexperienced and fresh graduates, and do not realize that the daily volume of trade between China and Europe daily, which exceeds one billion euros according to the financial reports of the European Central Bank.
Here it is also clear to us the double standards, lies, and corruption of the current President of the European Commission and the former Minister of Defense, and that Europe is not the garden or paradise as claimed by Joseph Borrell, the official of the Foreign Affairs in the European Union because corruption is rampant even with senior European leaders and without account or deterrence from the European peoples as long as this office receives the complete satisfaction of Washington, and therefore why does not Europe join as a 56th state to America as long as the regimes of European countries come only according to Washington's consensus?!?
And that these criticisms also will not become in favor of the European citizen after the European citizen listened to the Western media lying machines in America and Western Europe about Russia at the beginning of the Ukrainian crisis, and therefore he became hungry and cold, while not being able to get warm in this biting cold.
And the last point - where are the security solutions to the problems of Western-made terrorism with regard to ISIS, Al-Qaeda, Al-Nusra, and all those like them - and what is their vision for the future of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and whether the West will fulfill the two-state solution, or is it consumption of time in order for the world to forget the Palestinian cause, the issue of the century and the fate of humanity since Israel is the last occupying and apartheid state in the world.
Will the Syrian-Turkish earthquake lift the sanctions on the Syrian people, or are the Israeli and Ukrainian people in a better position?!!!
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