Accelerating Open Source growth: the ever expanding network effect? 3 key takeaways from fast growing companies and inputs from their founders
Emmanuel Cassimatis
Software Investments, Partnerships and Innovation, Data and AI, SAP. Opinions expressed here are my own.
Open source has been around for a while, however the scale of traction and adoption of some of the leaders has been so massive it was almost surprising for customers, the community and closed source software providers.?
Indeed, some of the open source leaders of verticals were able to grab massive adoption - and high valuations.? Here below some of these famous open source leaders and traction achieved (public information, Q1 2022)
Is this trend towards massive growth of open source going to accelerate?? With a world adopting new generations of technologies faster and faster, and community adoption and network effects that grow fast and faster, one may wonder if open source may become a much bigger channel in the future, winning against competing private closed source software.??There are however also many open source companies that do not make it to stellar community adoption or high valuations.?Actually, some of these open source companies do not need or want to have commercial offerings – for some their purpose is a community one.?
Open source companies may address similar problems as closed source software - differently.?The type of users and angle taken often allows coexistence of open and closed source software on the market.?A same problem can often be addressed in different ways that correspond to different customer profiles and desires.?For instance customers sensitive to a lower pricing, transparency, product led growth and community involvement may favor open source.?While others that are more comfortable with a product with closed end source code and do not require community involvement in the production of a product and its customizations will prefer to stick to closed end products. Hence one may believe that markets will continue welcoming both open and closed source software. ??
But for those open source companies that want to one day to have commercial offerings with massive adoption, is there a secret recipe??The founders of four top open source companies were asked about their thoughts on the challenges, opportunities and how they coordinated community growth to build their product and awareness.?It appears that:
Four fast growth open source companies were asked about the challenges and opportunities with open source
Why does open source help and how were these companies successful in growing community adoption and traction with open source?? Four companies below have been successful in getting fast open source adoption. They address complementary problems. They and their founders were kind enough to share some insights: ?
Now into more details for each:
With all this, Airbyte has achieved since 2020, hence in less than a year, 10K users, 5K stars on Github, 5K members on Slack and 2.2K followers on Linkedin.?Airbyte raised +$180M with investors including Accel, Benchmark, Coatue, Altimeter, Salesforce and Thrive, with the latest round of $150M at $1.5Bn valuation in late 2021.??
Since 2016, dbt has reached 4K stars on Github, 22K members on Slack and ~10K followers on Linkedin and +1K dbt customers. Over the years, dbt has attracted +$190M in funding from Sequoia, Andreessen Horowitz, Amplify and Altimeter, with the latest round in 2021 of $150M at $1.5Bn valuation.
Dbt Labs data growth in 2021 (source: dbt, Q2 2021)
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Since its creation in 2020, Jina raised +$35m from investors such as Canaan, Mango, GGV, SAP and Yunqi Partners among others.?The Jina developer community has +1K users, and many applications (video games, legal, corporate, etc.), 13K stars on Github and 5.5K followers on Linkedin.
Jina offering (source: Jina, Q4 2021)
Since launching publicly in 2019, Prefect has reached 13k Slack community members, 8k GitHub stars, 8k Twitter followers, and 5K LinkedIn followers. Prefect Cloud processed more than 500M tasks last year and is used by some of the largest companies in the world, including Cisco, Capital One, Progressive Insurance, and Block. They’ve raised over +$57M with investors including Bessemer and Tiger.
Prefect data flow automation (source: Prefect, Q1 2022)
So what were some key takeaways to accelerate open source growth??
Open source growth may seem enigmatic, difficult to predict and anticipate. Yet, three takeaways seem to emerge from these success stories, which may increase adoption and open source growth:
1.?While it may seem difficult to predict community adoption, these fast growing open source companies developed a coordinated and precise strategy to achieve it.? Open source relies on community adoption.?But communities can be volatile, and adoption difficult to predict and many find it difficult to predict which open source company will achieve community adoption.?However, the CEOs of some of the top performing companies mentioned how they took a very structured approach to building the communities.?From communications, to transparent everything, to community perks – it seems there was no chance involved in taking off.?Like social networks and social stars, those who make it actually have trained and strategized to make it. ?Best is to check out the communities to know more: https://airbyte.com/community, https://www.getdbt.com/community/, https://jina.ai/join/, https://www.prefect.io/community/updates/.
2.?While continuous product improvements may seem challenging with open source - since it relies on many constituents - an approach that was process-driven, rewarding and with personalized channel approached worked. One recurring piece of skepticism against open source is the difficulty in harnessing productivity towards product improvement.?In the course of this article creation, an interviewed customer spoke about the ‘idealistic developer’ who wants changes and improvements in existing software and, tired of waiting for these, resorts to open source as an alternative.?The detractors here mention the difficulty in coordinating a community towards structure software construction.?However, founders of top performing open source companies mentioned that the main benefits of open source is that products are continuously worked on and improved by the community.?The ability to funnel this network-like collaboration can enable much greater productivity. Through a super structured continuous improvement approach, great coordination and a personalized approach to welcoming and engaging with the community, successful open source companies are able to act on queries, gather and improve on feedback and develop products much better.?Usage of the right channels and tools (Github, Slack, LinkedIn, etc.) is key, as are community rewards.
3.?While the initially free business model may seem counterintuitive with regards to commercial success, strategized adoption leading to better utilization and lower price point was successful when done properly. Open source is all about an initial free component.?The community adopts, then additional premium services are sold on top, usually around custom build components, or added layers of security, identification, hosting, etc.?Enterprises are ready to pay significant amounts for these. ?The timing of the monetization is a question– wait for fully fledged community growth, or start testing monetization options sooner? With the world increasingly becoming deflationary in nature for certain tech areas (mass consumption of software goods leads to a decrease in price), community adoption, lends itself very well to lower pricing.?But open source is a great way to take this relationship the other way around – first lead with community adoption, then create community adoption share, and finally conquer actual paid market share by providing lower priced but equally good quality software for those who want these.?A good business model from the outset, that is aligned to the community can help the community broadly. This initially enables any developer to take advantage of amazing technologies without paying an arm and leg for it.?So it serves best all users.?The open source business model is not free forever for those that want customized and added premium layers, ?it is strategized to start with community adoption and end with monetized and often lower priced software for the benefit of both the community and companies that choose the premium options they need on top.?This is sometimes better aligned with the current world’s consumption model – lower price for mass consumption and premium options/prices for those that need premium features.?
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Overall, both open and close source software will likely continue to see great growth ahead.?Open source especially will likely continue seeing bright days as the network effects and community involvement become faster and more prevalent. Some customers (developers and companies) will always prefer close source for the ability to resort of a single company with coordinated management for instance.?Other customers will favor open source for the transparency, community involvement leading to a product led growth and often lower pricing - at least initially and depending on premium features then added on case by case basis.?For those open source companies wishing to reach high growth and fast community adoption (not all do, and some do not lend themselves to commercial offerings), the world has never been more welcoming: communities grow fast and network effects are large.?But it requires carefully laid out strategies, as is evidenced by the four open source companies described, Airbyte, dbt, Jina and Prefect.
Three elements stood out: 1) a coordinated and precise strategy to achieve community growth; 2) continuous product improvements enabled by structured processes, rewards and personalized channel management and 3) an initially free or lower pricing business model leading to adoption and utilization with the activation then of key premium layers (hosting, privacy, security, etc.) and customizations that allow monetization.
Open source, and both open and closed source software seem to have bright days ahead.?The world has never been more welcoming of great software with network effects, carefully developed to address community and/or individual company needs.?For those that success, growth will likley happen faster and faster!
Special thanks to all contributors , including the four companies and founding teams but also other the select investors, customers, partners and other open-source entrepreneurs interviewed.
Software Investments, Partnerships and Innovation, Data and AI, SAP. Opinions expressed here are my own.
2 年Big thank you to the key contributors who helped with reflections, introductions and feedback, including and not limited to Sakib Dadi and Mary D'Onofrio at Bessemer (investors in Prefect, Hashicorp, etc.), Suranga Chandratillake at Balderton, Megan Reynolds at Crane, Carlos Gonzalez-Cadenas at Index, Janessa Lantz at DBT, as well as open source founders Adam Probst, Quentin de Quelen Cyril Allard among others for their invaluable entrepreneur feedback + many others. Thanks so much!