A 6-month moratorium on AI?
What's next?

A 6-month moratorium on AI? What's next?

The news that over 1,000 luminaries in the technology and artificial intelligence (AI) field have signed a petition calling for a six-month moratorium on training AI systems that surpass the capabilities of OpenAI's GPT-4 has sparked a lot of discussion on social media.

According to The Vox, signatories considered that “This pause should be public and verifiable, and include all key actors. If such a pause cannot be enacted quickly, governments should step in and institute a moratorium.” Signatories also include Elon Musk, along with Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak and Skype co-founder Jaan Tallinn.

The letter reads:

Contemporary AI systems are now becoming human-competitive at general tasks,[3] and we must ask ourselves: Should we let machines flood our information channels with propaganda and untruth? Should we automate away all the jobs, including the fulfilling ones? Should we develop nonhuman minds that might eventually outnumber, outsmart, obsolete and replace us? Should we risk loss of control of our civilization? Such decisions must not be delegated to unelected tech leaders. Powerful AI systems should be developed only once we are confident that their effects will be positive and their risks will be manageable.

What happens if the moratorium went into reality

If a six-month moratorium on the training of artificial intelligence (AI) systems more powerful than OpenAI's GPT-4 were to be put in place, it would likely have several implications for the AI industry and research community. Here are some possible outcomes:

  1. The pause in AI training could give researchers and policymakers time to assess the risks and benefits of highly advanced AI systems, and to develop guidelines and regulations for their development and use.
  2. The moratorium could encourage the industry to focus on using AI technology for applications that have a positive impact on society, such as healthcare, education, and environmental sustainability.
  3. The pause in AI development could create a temporary slowdown in the industry, but it could also lead to long-term benefits by ensuring that AI systems are developed responsibly and ethically.
  4. Companies that have been investing heavily in developing advanced AI systems could pivot their efforts toward improving the safety and explainability of AI technology, in order to address concerns about the potential misuse of highly advanced systems.

What's thing that developers should do?

  1. Developers could focus on improving the safety and transparency of their AI systems, in order to address concerns about the potential misuse of highly advanced AI.
  2. They could use the moratorium period to research and develop AI systems that have a positive impact on society, such as those aimed at solving environmental or health issues.
  3. Developers could collaborate with policymakers and regulatory bodies to help create guidelines and regulations for the development and use of highly advanced AI systems, ensuring that they are developed responsibly and ethically.
  4. They could also use the pause in AI development to review and improve their data privacy and security practices, as these issues are becoming increasingly important to consumers and policymakers alike.


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