38% of SRAS-Cov2 victims killed by improper decisions (?)
Dr. Christophe THOVEX
Head of Data - Research Scientist / MLOps : Architecture data et pipelines ML/Network Science en Production, Stratégie scientifique et Industrielle de R&D Data Intelligence.
The John Hopkins University collects Covid-19 data from about 230 countries since 2019.
Based on external data sources [Source1] [Source2] , it makes appear a worldwide excess of about 38% more prematured deaths from SRAS-Cov2 in countries having limited the use of HCQ (Hydroxychlorquine) since the begining of epidemia.
At the end February 2021, available data were showing a population of 1.195 billion people in 90 countries concerned by governmental limitations of HCQ (red bars in Fig.1). Meanwhile, 5.819 billion people in 76 countries were left free to use it (blue bars in Fig.1).
Fig.1: Percentages of prematured deaths from SRAS-Cov2 in worlwide populations (2019-2021).
(For practical reasons, all 166 countries were not named in Fig.1. - vertical axis)
With 5 victims a million people (0.000539%) in "no HCQ" countries against 3 victims a million (0.000336%), in "HCQ" countries, including China, India, Brazil, Russia and Japan, the average percentage of victims within worldwide populations felt down to 62% of the one observed in "no-HCQ" zones.
It means you had, in general, about 38% more chance to die from the epidemia living in "no-HCQ" zones than in "HCQ" zones. For a country such as France, suffering about 85 700 prematured deceases from SRAS-Cov2/Covid19 at the end Februray 2021, it should have created more than 32 000 victims yet killed by improper governmental decision. According to wordlwide facts, as an HCQ zone France could have reduced to 54 000 her prematured deaths from SRAS-COv2, while reducing hospitals overwhelming, public costs and sequela within sensible populations.
领英推荐
Regarding economical consequences, Covid-19 data show Sweden reduced the prematured death percentage per inhabitant to 0.127% without lockdown from 2019 to February 2021, while France was to 0.131%, close to Sweden with successive lockdowns. It might be constructive to further investigate the causes and consequences of such checked facts so as to preserve worldwide economy.
[Source1] https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/population-by-country/ [Source2] https://c19study.com/countries.html.
Annexed data
No HCQ zones
33 931 San Marino 74 0.2181%
11 589 623 Belgium 22 077 0.1905%
2 078 938 Slovenia 3 836 0.1845%
67 886 011 United Kingdom 123 083 0.1813%
60 461 826 Italy 97 699 0.1616%
628 066 Montenegro 1 003 0.1597%
3 280 819 Bosnia and Herzegovina 5 071 0.1546%
2 083 374 North Macedonia 3 137 0.1506%
46 754 778 Spain 69 142 0.1479%
6 948 445 Bulgaria 10 191 0.1467%
128 932 753 Mexico 185 715 0.1440%
77 265 Andorra 110 0.1424%
38 128 Liechtenstein 54 0.1416%
32 971 854 Peru 46 299 0.1404%
4 105 267 Croatia 5 526 0.1346%
65 273 511 France 85 741 0.1314%
10 099 265 Sweden 12 826 0.1270%
37 846 611 Poland 43 769 0.1156%
2 963 243 Armenia 3 192 0.1077%
19 116 201 Chile 20 572 0.1076%
4 033 963 Moldova 3 949 0.0979%
9 006 398 Austria 8 561 0.0951%
17 134 872 Netherlands 15 688 0.0916%
17 643 054 Ecuador 15 811 0.0896%
4 937 786 Ireland 4 319 0.0875%
1 886 198 Latvia 1 618 0.0858%
441 543 Malta 315 0.0713%
11 818 619 Tunisia 8 001 0.0677%
2 877 797 Albania 1 796 0.0624%
39 242 Monaco 24 0.0612%
37 742 154 Canada 21 990 0.0583%
1 160 164 Eswatini 652 0.0562%
8 737 371 Serbia 4 443 0.0509%
10 203 134 Jordan 4 701 0.0461%
393 244 Bahamas 179 0.0455%
1 326 535 Estonia 589 0.0444%
5 792 202 Denmark 2 362 0.0408%
17 915 568 Guatemala 6 393 0.0357%
40 222 493 Iraq 13 406 0.0333%
10 139 177 Azerbaijan 3 220 0.0318%
6 871 292 Libya 2 179 0.0317%
586 632 Suriname 172 0.0293%
555 987 Cabo Verde 147 0.0264%
4 270 571 Kuwait 1 083 0.0254%
786 552 Guyana 195 0.0248%
6 524 195 Kyrgyzstan 1 466 0.0225%
1 207 359 Cyprus 231 0.0191%
183 627 Saint Lucia 35 0.0191%
2 540 905 Namibia 424 0.0167%
869 601 Comoros 144 0.0166%
97 929 Antigua and Barbuda 14 0.0143%
2 961 167 Jamaica 422 0.0143%
2 142 249 Lesotho 292 0.0136%
5 540 720 Finland 742 0.0134%
2 351 627 Botswana 310 0.0132%
287 375 Barbados 33 0.0115%
540 544 Maldives 62 0.0115%
98 347 Seychelles 11 0.0112%
1 399 488 Trinidad and Tobago 139 0.0099%
29 136 808 Nepal 2 774 0.0095%
341 243 Iceland 29 0.0085%
1 402 985 Equatorial Guinea 91 0.0065%
38 928 346 Afghanistan 2 443 0.0063%
2 416 668 Gambia 150 0.0062%
18 383 955 Zambia 1 091 0.0059%
17 500 658 Syria 1 027 0.0059%
19 129 952 Malawi 1 044 0.0055%
43 849 260 Sudan 1 880 0.0043%
25 499 884 Australia 909 0.0036%
32 365 999 Malaysia 1 130 0.0035%
1 968 001 Guinea-Bissau 48 0.0024%
11 402 528 Haiti 250 0.0022%
29 825 964 Yemen 634 0.0021%
12 952 218 Rwanda 261 0.0020%
5 057 681 Liberia 85 0.0017%
15 893 222 Somalia 239 0.0015%
4 829 767 Central African Republic 63 0.0013%
27 691 018 Madagascar 297 0.0011%
8 278 724 Togo 84 0.0010%
7 976 983 Sierra Leone 79 0.0010%
9 537 645 Tajikistan 90 0.0009%
112 523 Grenada 1 0.0009%
11 193 725 South Sudan 93 0.0008%
4 822 233 New Zealand 26 0.0005%
HCQ Zones
10 708 981 Czechia 20 339 0.1899%
10 196 709 Portugal 16 317 0.1600%
9 660 351 Hungary 14 974 0.1550%
4 314 767 Panama 5 845 0.1355%
5 459 642 Slovakia 7 189 0.1317%
212 559 417 Brazil 254 942 0.1199%
2 722 289 Lithuania 3 244 0.1192%
50 882 891 Colombia 59 766 0.1175%
8 654 622 Switzerland 9 966 0.1152%
45 195 774 Argentina 51 965 0.1150%
19 237 691 Romania 20 350 0.1058%
625 978 Luxembourg 637 0.1018%
11 673 021 Bolivia 11 649 0.0998%
51 269 185 South Korea 49 993 0.0975%
3 989 167 Georgia 3 510 0.0880%
59 308 690 South Africa 49 993 0.0843%
83 783 942 Germany 70 152 0.0837%
397 628 Belize 315 0.0792%
83 992 949 Iran 60 073 0.0715%
6 825 445 Lebanon 4 692 0.0687%
8 655 535 Israel 5 752 0.0665%
43 733 762 Ukraine 27 404 0.0627%
45 741 007 Uganda 28 569 0.0625%
10 423 054 Greece 6 504 0.0624%
145 934 462 Russia 84 700 0.0580%
5 094 118 Costa Rica 2 800 0.0550%
7 132 538 Paraguay 3 181 0.0446%
9 904 607 Honduras 4 151 0.0419%
84 339 067 Turkey 28 569 0.0339%
5 106 626 Oman 1 570 0.0307%
6 486 205 El Salvador 1 854 0.0286%
10 847 910 Dominican Republic 3 100 0.0286%
1 701 575 Bahrain 449 0.0264%
36 910 560 Morocco 8 623 0.0234%
9 449 323 Belarus 1 976 0.0209%
34 813 871 Saudi Arabia 6 494 0.0187%
3 473 730 Uruguay 608 0.0175%
18 776 707 Kazakhstan 3 162 0.0168%
273 523 615 Indonesia 36 166 0.0132%
9 890 402 United Arab Emirates 1 221 0.0123%
5 421 241 Norway 622 0.0115%
1 380 004 385 India 157 157 0.0114%
109 581 078 Philippines 12 318 0.0112%
102 334 404 Egypt 10 688 0.0104%
14 862 924 Zimbabwe 1 463 0.0098%
4 649 658 Mauritania 441 0.0095%
2 881 053 Qatar 258 0.0090%
43 851 044 Algeria 2 983 0.0068%
126 476 461 Japan 7 889 0.0062%
220 892 340 Pakistan 12 896 0.0058%
16 743 927 Senegal 872 0.0052%
164 689 383 Bangladesh 8 408 0.0051%
28 435 940 Venezuela 1 344 0.0047%
2 225 734 Gabon 83 0.0037%
53 771 296 Kenya 1 856 0.0035%
11 326 616 Cuba 322 0.0028%
6 624 554 Nicaragua 173 0.0026%
21 413 249 Sri Lanka 464 0.0022%
26 545 863 Cameroon 551 0.0021%
114 963 588 Ethiopia 2 365 0.0021%
31 255 435 Mozambique 641 0.0021%
31 072 940 Ghana 607 0.0020%
33 469 203 Uzbekistan 622 0.0019%
20 250 833 Mali 353 0.0017%
32 866 272 Angola 508 0.0015%
206 139 589 Nigeria 1 907 0.0009%
16 425 864 Chad 140 0.0009%
1 271 768 Mauritius 10 0.0008%
26 378 274 C?te d'Ivoire 192 0.0007%
24 206 644 Niger 172 0.0007%
20 903 273 Burkina Faso 142 0.0007%
13 132 795 Guinea 89 0.0007%
12 123 200 Benin 70 0.0006%
1 439 323 776 China 4 835 0.0003%