2021: Space odyssey

2021: Space odyssey

How can we forget 2001:Space Odyssey?

Fast forward twenty years and we have a new space odyssey-what space do (physician) entrepreneurs use to work post COVID?

By now you know about all the prognostications about whether people will continue to work from home or return to a coworking space or an office building or some hybrid model.

Tiffany will join a small list of large New York companies that have required employees to return to the office, including JPMorgan Chase.

These folks estimate that 56% of the U.S. workforce holds a job that is compatible (at least partially) with remote work. We know that currently, only 3.6% of the employee workforce works at home half-time or more. Gallup data from 2016 shows that 43% of the workforce works at home at least some of the time. Their prediction is that the longer people are required to work at home, the greater the adoption we will see when the dust settles.

They note that based on historical trends, that those who were working remotely before the pandemic, will increase their frequency after they are allowed to return to their offices. For those who were new to remote work until the pandemic, we believe there will be a significant upswing in their adoption. Our best estimate is that we will see 25-30% of the workforce working at home on a multiple-days-a-week basis by the end of 2021.

But, what about the future of coworking spaces? Will they survive COVID-19? According to some estimates, there are more than 5,000 co-working spaces in the U.S. and more than 19,000 around the world. Occupancy in co-working spaces fell to 51% in the fall, down from 78% in February, according to a survey by data company CoworkIntel. Now coworking owners are rethinking their business models.

Then, there is the commercial real estate apocalypse. Remember, last year, when downtowns were bustling with live, work and play innovation districts?

Are innovation clusters dying?

Now that I have been vaccinated, the kitchen table talk includes whether I should find another place to work than my home office.

Lately, when I ask my wife to open the pod door, I get, " I'm sorry Arlen, I'm afraid I can't do that"

Arlen Meyers, MD, MBA is the President and CEO of the Society of Physician Entrepreneurs on Twitter@SoPEOfficial

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Arlen Meyers, MD, MBA

President and CEO, Society of Physician Entrepreneurs, another lousy golfer, terrible cook

4 年

From a linkedin comment: Based on what we know about problem-solving styles and preferences for working with structure, ideally, we should reimagine performance evaluations based on work productivity with less concern on where people are working. Of course, health concerns are most important. But for mental wellbeing, each person has a preference for a particular degree of structure (more or less) with respect to their problem-solving style (more adaptive or more innovative). If we put innovators in a place with too much structure, or adaptors in a place with too little structure during the transition period, productivity will be lost.

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John A Liebert, MD

Psychiatrist, Scottsdale, AZ: Master Psychopharmacology, Neuroscience Education Institute. Licensed in AZ

4 年

We will need to get more data on effectiveness of vaccines in vivo. How effective are they in reality? How long do they last? Even if easily available, how many will get them?

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the process continues to evolve. I do not anticipate remote working will go away. some professions are of necessity hands-on senses-on. now that we no longer are in high-speed reverse gear, we can begin to project outcomes from this well-predicted avoidable inevitable pandemic and what will be the workplace. fun to watch. fun to anticipate. fun to participate. and digital health issues and concerns have been and continue to expand delivery. and Arlen is one leader aiding the charge forward. thanks.

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