10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate: 13 March 2025
The market premium for the US 10-year Treasury yield ticked up in February to the highest spread since 2008. The estimate is based on the average “fair value” calculation via three models run by CapitalSpectator.com.
The slight increase in the average market premium last month follows a sharp rise in the spread in January, which reversed the previous slide that had taken the estimated premium down to levels that were close to the “normal” range that prevailed before the pandemic.