Till Christian Budelmann的动态

Nasdaq vs Russell 2000 convergence This is something we have been discussing and positioning for, but it’s still incredible to see the severity of the rotation away from the Nasdaq and into other segments, notably smid-caps, in the last couple of weeks. The #Nasdaq was > 20% ahead of the #Russell2000 what seems like days ago, but they’re now just ~6% apart YTD

Small caps performance relative to Nasdaq 100 skyrocketed ~4X after the Nasdaq bubble burst in 2000. Following the Great Financial Crisis in 2008, its performance relative to Nasdaq 100 has been crushed by -80% and just hit new lows today. Chart of Russell 2000 (IWM) vs Nasdaq 100 (QQQ).

Trading the trend: long Nasdaq 100 Since the recent decline in the Nasdaq 100 looks corrective, we'd like to use it as an opportunity to go long with a stop loss - on a daily chart closing basis only - below Tuesday’s low and an upside target in new record highs.

Did you know - While the Nasdaq has underperformed in the past three months, being a few hundred points away from its all-time high, two other Nasdaq indices have closed at all-time highs last week. One is the Nasdaq Equal Weight Index - see the chart below. I have discussed the performance of the other highflyer in the latest edition of the Closelooknet newsletter. Just click here for all the details: https://lnkd.in/eVwWCZNJ #nasdaq #nasdaq100 #sp500 #djia #closelooknet

there is no harm in getting your analysis wrong. But it is absolutely important that we react to the market dynamics. We were short on dow jones. But as the nasdaq started to rally, we were watching to see if nasdaq will fail. we even took shorts on nasdaq but we were stopped out. So we closed our short position and took longs on nasdaq and dow. we are up. the nasdaq is headed back to the daily fvg that will be last line of resistance. If nasdaq overcomes that resistance, then we are headed to the weekly fvg. Watch our nasdaq analyis on youtube.#nasdaq # nasdaqanalysis # portfoliomanagement

This chart shows how the trend of Nasdaq 100 / S&P 500 has evolved over the past three decades. What is the biggest difference between the Nasdaq 100 today vs at the turn of the century??

Here’s a comparison of the annual and 5-year returns for the Nasdaq 100 and #Nasdaq Composite Index, which would have more than #doubled your #returns over 5 years. 5-Year Cumulative Returns (2019-2024) Nasdaq 100: Approximately 150% Nasdaq Composite: Approximately 140% Tap potential >100% returns from $5 to $10 with the #sustainability #revolution https://bit.ly/3XHi7ik #innovation #investing for all

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Chart from Sentimentrader showing periods when the 10-day advance/decline ratio increase above 2 with the index above its 200-dma. According to their research, after other periods where this was triggered, the Nasdaq 100 was up a year later 88% of the time and the mean return was 17.6%. #nasdaq100 #advancedecline #returns

Chart from BTIG showing that there has been a record streak of consecutive trading days without a -2.5% daily decline for the Nasdaq 100. According to Jonathan Krinsky, technical strategist at BTIG, notes that the Nasdaq-100 has not suffered a daily retreat of 2.5% or more for 379 days, the longest run in history. However, when two of the prior three longest such streaks for the Nasdaq 100 finally ended, the index saw 16% and 18% pullbacks. He goes on to state that the Nasdaq 100 index, has risen for the past 16 consecutive Julys with the average July gain over that period being 4.62%. #nasdaq100 #july #seasonality