Trend-Following strategies are currently having a rough August thanks to sharp reversals in stocks, currencies, crypto and some commodities. But this month is in no way special. Months like this happen -- a lot. Aug-24, so far, ranks as the 45th worst month dating back to Jan-87 for the BTOP 50 (top 10%). Short-term losses are often a terrible time to write them off. In the worst 45 months for the BTOP 50, the average 12-mo subsequent return is +8.9% while the 36-mo return is +25.1% (net of fees, expenses). [Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. This is for informational purposes only.]
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S&P UP 23% YTD ?? If you simply followed the S&P 500 this year, you would be up by over 23%. The question is do you want to capture some of these gains by tracking the S&P with an Index fund? Or are you happy for your cash/savings to be eroded away by inflation? Fiat currencies like the pound and dollar are getting debased because central banks are printing 100s of billions and even trillions, to pay off their debts. The solution for you is to educate yourself. The solution is to invest into assets like the S&P 500 or even Bitcoin. If you do this you have a good chance of protecting your financial future. If you want help and support with your investing and you want to learn how to invest in the stock market - you can join my Investing community on SKOOL... See below for more info ?? ??
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Key Considerations for Stocks and Crypto in the Short Term 1) Dollar Strength: The DXY is nearing 110, exerting significant pressure on global markets. 2) Fixed Income: As the dollar strengthens, foreign investors are selling U.S. bonds, pushing yields higher. With the US 10-year yield close to 5%, the strain on fixed income is palpable - a key signal for broader market movements. These dynamics are already creating significant headwinds for stocks and crypto, with the potential to amplify into much larger issues in the months ahead. This would force government intervention, through renewed money printing, to hold the dollar and yields down. This Week's Catalyst: The release of CPI numbers could provide much-needed clarity. A cooler-than-expected print might signal a short-term top for the dollar and rates, offering relief to risk assets. Crypto Spotlight: The Department of Justice is set to liquidate 69,370 BTC (valued at ~$6.5B), adding short pressure to the crypto market. However, this could remain headline news only, as the incoming administration may reassess or delay such actions. With new leadership about to take control, the direction of this decision is uncertain, and its impact on the market remains speculative. Good luck out there!!!
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A Positive Signal for #Bitcoin? #Gold Hits Record Highs! ??1-10) While the #Fed's statement maintained flexibility and did not explicitly signal a September rate cut, Chair #Powell's comments during the subsequent Q&A session hinted at the possibility, contingent on expected declines in inflation. ??2-10) Previously, Powell indicated that the Fed would only commence rate cuts when there was sufficient clarity for multiple reductions. If the Fed proceeds with a cut in #September, several additional cuts are likely to follow, providing substantial stimulus for financial markets, provided the economy remains stable. ??3-10) Full report -> https://lnkd.in/gJn78fSH
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$BTC nearing ATH’s, are you prepared? I’m predicting $250,000 this cycle, especially if quantitative easing comes back on the table, which I believe that it will. The Fed cut rates by 50 basis points in their last meeting, you would think that market rates would follow, but for right now they’re going up. Look at the 2 and 10 year yield curves, it’s crossed back above zero and is reinverting. The future is bright for BTC.
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Fed is expected to cut interest rates Historically, Rate cuts == Liquidity boost == Bull market for crypto Let’s see the top trending tokens ?? $QUICK +5.5% ?? $TOMI +12% ?? $QUBIC +7.8% ?? $SUI +7% ?? $AIC +15% ?? $FTM +10% ?? $NEIRO +10% ?? $TIA +15% ?? $TAO +14% ?? $ETH +4% ?? $AAVE +3.3% ?? PS: All price movements are based on the last 24 hours
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?? Current Market expectations for Fed Rate Cuts... -Sep 18, 2024: 25 bps cut to 5.00-5.25% -Nov 7, 2024: 25 bps cut to 4.75-5.00% -Dec 18, 2024: 50 bps cut to 4.25-4.50% -Jan 25, 2025: 25 bps cut to 4.00-4.25% -Mar 19, 2025: 25 bps cut to 3.75-4.00% https://lnkd.in/dH3_xKMv ~~~ #finance #web3 #FED #investors #interestrates #crypto #inflation #startups #stocks #wallstreet #IPOs #QT #VCs #bitcoin #Ethereum #ETF#ETFs #AI
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?? Current Market expectations for Fed Rate Cuts... -Sep 18, 2024: 25 bps cut to 5.00-5.25% -Nov 7, 2024: 50 bps cut to 4.50-4.75% -Dec 18, 2024: 25 bps cut to 4.25-4.50% -Jan 25, 2025: 50 bps cut to 3.75-4.00% -Mar 19, 2025: 25 bps cut to 3.50-3.75% https://lnkd.in/diTTswYc ~~~ #finance #web3 #FED #investors #interestrates #crypto #inflation #startups #stocks #wallstreet #IPOs #QT #VCs #bitcoin #Ethereum #ETF#ETFs #AI
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BTC Market Overview ?Liquidity Grab at $89K: Strong reaction and volume spike suggest institutional buying after sweeping liquidity below this level. ?Break the downtrend line is essential for reversal. ?Monthly Chart: Still searching for a bottom, likely aligning with daily oversold conditions near $84K-$83K. Scenarios 1.Bullish: ?$89K holds as support → Targets: $94,500 and $99,400. ?Breakout above $99,400 could signal a trend reversal. 2.Bearish: ?Breakdown below $89K → Targets: $87K and $84K-$83K. ?Oversold RSI at $84K-$83K could trigger a strong reversal and align with the monthly bottom.
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Buffet buying US ???? Treasuries is more about the most obvious TRADE CME FedWatch has the probability of Sep interest rate cuts at 100% When the cuts come the bet is the rest of the yield curve will decrease This means Buffet will be able to sell back debt to the market with a capital gain and buy back more stock We're not close to having a liquidity crisis - there's $6T waiting to buy. We're close to having an asset crisis Prices will rise faster than they did in 2020-21, prepare accordingly... Protect Purchasing Power #Bitcoin
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