The Dollar Index recorded a notable rise, returning to mid-year levels. This positive movement aligns with recent trends in non-farm productivity, which indicates continued productivity gains. Concurrently, Consumer Sentiment improved, reaching its highest point in six months. Additionally, it is noteworthy that Trump won the election, and the Federal Reserve implemented a 25 basis point rate cut.
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INTEREST RATES STATUS IN THE UNITED STATES The U.S government decides to target a 2% inflation rate which is the neutral stabilization rate for an advanced economy. Yesterday, the Fed lowered interest rate by adjusting it with 25 basis points with the interest rates currently sitting at 4.50%, significantly moving closer to the 2% neutral base. The fed lowered the interest rates by a total of 100 basis point this year with 50% rate cut in Sept. 18 and by 25 basis point move on Nov. 7. And with the 100 basis points cut achieved this year, the Fed’s projects a significant less easing over the next two years which will come to affect both governments and citizens positively. We pray for a subsequent inflation rates which would aid both citizen and governments positively.
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The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as inflation remains above 2%. Jim Iuorio of TJM Institutional notes that upcoming tech earnings and the latest PCE report will provide critical insights into the future direction of interest rates.
Interest Rates Unchanged as Inflation Remains Above 2%
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Dollar eased on Monday ahead of key US data ? ? The South African rand strengthened against a weaker dollar on Monday, as investors awaited key U.S. data that could offer clues on the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path. ? The euro has resisted falling to parity with the dollar for now, thanks to a rosier economic backdrop, to the relief of European Central Bank policymakers who could be struggling to detach themselves from the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook. ? The dollar was steady on Tuesday as investors awaited the crucial inflation report this week that will likely shape the U.S. rates outlook, while the yen was hovering near a two-week low, stoking intervention worries. ? After strong UK growth data, the strength of the UK economy will now be tested on the grounds of labor market data, which will be published on Tuesday. Economists expect that the ILO Unemployment Rate for the three months ending March rose to 4.3% from the prior reading of 4.2%. DG Capital Group Gerhard Beeslaar Matthew Axelrod Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters
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<Finance Trend> In June, the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged for the seventh straight meeting, citing moderate progress in reducing inflation. Most economic indicators show signs of a slowdown, although job growth and some manufacturing data remain strong. The market anticipates a nearly 60% chance of a rate cut by September, with another possible by year-end. Despite this, the Fed has not clearly supported rate cuts soon. With economic uncertainty high, the U.S. Dollar Index remains strong. Meanwhile, political shifts in Europe, particularly the rise of the far-right in France, pose risks to the Euro’s stability. To read more: https://bit.ly/3XI8MHr #HantecGroup #Hantec #Forex #Finance #Analysis #FED #InterestRate
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Hey Molly Smith at Bloomberg! The 'most famous inflation guage' has always been the M2 chart. (https://lnkd.in/eTc4Xt4) Shows them 'inflating' the quantity of tokens (formerly dollars pre-1970). Quantity rose by about 40% since 2020. Matches the rise in prices... Does anyone think the official govt inflation data would be accurate? Federal workers and NGOs want money, lots of money. They support the FedReserve ruse that creates money, lent to Fed Gov, then doled out to government workers, NGOs, etc. https://lnkd.in/gptMASia
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Global inflation continues to be a problem, meaning the imported inflation pressure we have been seeing here will continue. Interest rate reductions forcast for mid year to spring this year here are now looking to be early 2025 at the earliest, with some suggestion of a further rate increase before declines start. Pressure on households is at an all time high and seeking advice on options if you are feeling it should be your first point of call. https://lnkd.in/gpmM8FrC Federal Reserve signals that rates will remain higher for longer
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Global inflation continues to be a problem, meaning the imported inflation pressure we have been seeing here will continue. Interest rate reductions forcast for mid year to spring this year here are now looking to be early 2025 at the earliest, with some suggestion of a further rate increase before declines start. Pressure on households is at an all time high and seeking advice on options if you are feeling it should be your first point of call. https://lnkd.in/giW8B8b9 Federal Reserve signals that rates will remain higher for longer
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Recent figures show that U.S. inflation has risen slightly for the first time in eight months, with annual inflation moving to 2.6% in October. Despite this uptick, the Federal Reserve remains confident in its trajectory of gradual interest rate cuts, aiming to keep inflation in check. Economists are also wary of potential inflationary pressures under the new administration, highlighting concerns over proposed tax cuts and tariffs. As U.S. monetary policy influences international capital flows, potential rate cuts may drive investment shifts, impacting property finance and interest rate trends here in the UK. These developments highlight the importance of staying informed and adaptable in an ever-evolving financial framework. https://lnkd.in/gFpBkHDW
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?? North American Equity Indexes: Third Quarter 2024 Overview ?? The third quarter of 2024 saw some significant movements in the markets, primarily driven by monetary policy shifts in both Canada and the U.S. Here's a quick summary of what went down: 1?? Rate Cuts: The Bank of Canada cut rates three times this quarter, totaling a 0.75% reduction. The Federal Reserve followed suit with a 0.5% cut in September. 2?? Inflation Eases: U.S. inflation slowed, as shown by the PCE price index rising only 0.1% in August. This creates optimism for continued rate reductions in the coming months. 3?? Employment Gains: The U.S. added 142,000 jobs in August, leading to a better-than-expected September recovery across major indices. 4?? Oil Prices Fall: Saudi Arabia's shift in oil pricing strategy has driven oil prices down, which could further ease inflationary pressures. Despite early September declines, North American equity markets bounced back, fueled by these macroeconomic factors.
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