Governing的动态

Control of the Senate next year is on the line in 2024, but what about control of the Senate for the rest of the decade? In Impact, Inside Elections LLC’s Nathan Gonzales looks at possible scenarios that could lead to the beginning of political dynasty on Capitol Hill, as well as what could thwart it https://lnkd.in/e3nGfSei

"House Republicans' narrow majority could get even smaller if Democrats flip Santos' old seat on Tuesday. Former Rep. Tom Suozzi faces off against relative newcomer Republican Mazi Pilip in a costly and closely watched race. The outcome could provide early indications of November's elections. Republicans hope to maintain a competitive edge in the nation's suburbs, while Democrats seek to flip the seat. Immigration policies and ties to former leaders are key issues in the campaign. One vote could make a major difference in the House. #Election2022 #HouseRepublicans #TomSuozzi #MaziPilip #SuburbanPolitics"

As I try to explain, the key is the outcomes of the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections. Those will help redefine what's a "blue" and "red" state for the near term and lay the groundwork for Senate races. It's pretty unlikely the the 2024 and 2028 electoral college breakdowns will be exactly the same as 2020.

CQ (part of FiscalNote) Webinar: May 8, 2PM ET — With 34 Senate seats up for grabs in 2024, there’s a lot to keep an eye on this year. Democrats will have a challenge maintaining their 51-49 control of the Senate, with 20 seats on the ballot. Incumbents are likely to be reelected in many states, but there are plenty of contested seats to watch, including Arizona, Montana, and Ohio. With the Senate minority leader retiring from the post and several close races, organizations should be prepared for any outcome and have strategies in place for pre- and post-election scenarios. Join us to get insights about what to watch in the Senate race this year, key players, and how to prepare. In a 30-minute lightning round, CQ and Roll Call reporters Daniela Altimari and Mary Ellen McIntire will share insights from the Hill to amplify your strategy for the election year. ? Register now!?https://fnlink.co/49r0jdY #election2024 #senate #campaignstrategy #federalgovernment

It appears that the long saga related to the #redistricting of the 26 #Congressional seats in #newyorkstate has come to an end. As lohud reports, after minor modifications to the Independent Redistricting Panel's map, the state legislature has approved new districts that will be used for the June 25, 2024, primary and November 5, 2024 #elections. At this time, it does not appear that the new map will be challenged in court. According to The Record (see comments below for full article), the new maps leave 16 of the state's 26 districts intact. However, they do make changes to the districts now held by U.S. Representatives Mark Molinaro (R), Pat Ryan (D), Tom Suozzi (D), and Brandon Williams (R). The changes will likely shore up seats held by Ryan and Suozzi while presenting some level of challenge to Representatives Molinaro and Williams in their reelection bids. Additional articles from CNN and Troy Record are posted below in the comments for those who are interested. #politics #congress

CQ (part of FiscalNote) Webinar: May 8, 2PM ET — With 34 Senate seats up for grabs in 2024, there’s a lot to keep an eye on this year. Democrats will have a challenge maintaining their 51-49 control of the Senate, with 20 seats on the ballot. Incumbents are likely to be reelected in many states, but there are plenty of contested seats to watch, including Arizona, Montana, and Ohio. With the Senate minority leader retiring from the post and several close races, organizations should be prepared for any outcome and have strategies in place for pre- and post-election scenarios. Join us to get insights about what to watch in the Senate race this year, key players, and how to prepare. In a 30-minute lightning round, CQ and Roll Call reporters Daniela Altimari and Mary Ellen McIntire will share insights from the Hill to amplify your strategy for the election year. Register now!?https://fnlink.co/49r0jdY #senate #congress #election2024 #governmentaffairs

CQ (part of FiscalNote) Webinar: May 8, 2PM ET — With 34 Senate seats up for grabs in 2024, there’s a lot to keep an eye on this year. Democrats will have a challenge maintaining their 51-49 control of the Senate, with 20 seats on the ballot. Incumbents are likely to be reelected in many states, but there are plenty of contested seats to watch, including Arizona, Montana, and Ohio. With the Senate minority leader retiring from the post and several close races, organizations should be prepared for any outcome and have strategies in place for pre- and post-election scenarios. Join us to get insights about what to watch in the Senate race this year, key players, and how to prepare. In a 30-minute lightning round, CQ and Roll Call reporters Daniela Altimari and Mary Ellen McIntire will share insights from the Hill to amplify your strategy for the election year. Register now! https://fnlink.co/49r0jdY #senate #congress #election2024 #governmentaffairs

"Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell projects confidence in the GOP's chances to regain control of the Senate, citing a strong map for Republicans in the upcoming elections. The battle for the Senate amid a likely Biden-Trump rematch is expected to be intense. Both parties are strategizing to secure key seats and maintain their standing. Stay tuned for more updates on this high-stakes political showdown. #SenateElections #GOP #Democrats #2024Elections"

If you want some pointers on what to watch during the Senate race this year, join my colleagues for this ?? webinar on 8 May.

Early voting is underway in #Arizona where Democrats hope to flip the House or Senate -- or both. But there are only few competitive districts to accomplish that. Here are the key races that could end #Republican-grip. #election #politics