Payrolls bump up in October: ADP
Leisure and hospitality hires overwhelmingly led October's gain in private payrolls, which rose by a more-than-expected 239,000, ADP reported. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had forecast an increase of 185,000. Payrolls processor ADP also reported gains were concentrated in the West, while the Midwest and South saw declines — as did the information, manufacturing and financial services industries. Wage gains among job changers, meanwhile, maintained a monthslong descent, to 15.2% from a year ago. For those remaining in their positions, pay rose a median annual 7.7%.
- ADP’s report precedes the Labor Department’s U.S. jobs report for October on Friday, in which payroll gains are expected to have slowed, while nudging the unemployment rate higher, to 3.6%.
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Back when I was in college, my Economics professor taught us that "full employment" was a 4% unemployment rate. We also were taught that any effort on the part of the government to drive the unemployment rate below 4 would disturb the job market equilibrium and produce other consequences, such as driving up wages (as employers competed for talent) which produces inflationary pressures. Seems like that economic theory we were taught still holds true.